🛢️ Crude Oil Sentiment Dashboard

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⚡ Real-Time Engine

Status: RUNNING Polls: 110 Last Score: 2026-03-24 08:10 Last News: 2026-03-24 08:11 Last Trump: 2026-03-24 08:11

Trading Signal

BUY_OIL

HIGH confidence CAUTION Strength: 0.33 Trend: 5d

Composite Sentiment

+0.220

🟢 BULLISH | 21 articles from 9 sources
Last refresh: 2026-03-24 08:11

WTI Crude Oil

$89.48

per barrel

EIA Inventory

+6.2 MM bbl

BEARISH_BUILD

Market Regime

RANGE BOUND

Supply Outlook

TIGHTENING

Ukrainian strikes on Russian oil port and refinery
Elevated risk of Hormuz supply disruption from Middle East tensions

Demand Outlook

STABLE

No material new demand signals, Japan inflation slowdown has minimal impact on oil demand

News Sources

Finnhub:Reuters: 4
FMP: 4
SeekingAlpha: 3
GoogleNews: 2
AlJazeera: 2
Investing.com-Cmd: 2
OilPrice.com: 2
Investing.com: 1
Finnhub:CNBC: 1

⏱ Micro Velocity (15m scalping)ALERT

↘ -0.180

15m

↘ -0.130

30m

↘ -0.130

状态

FADING

急速下行 ❄️

动量: -0.1500 平均Δ: -0.1425 ⚠ 短线显著变化!

⚡ Sentiment Velocity

↘ -0.920

12h

↗ +1.340

24h

↗ +0.120

48h

↘ -0.340

趋势

STABLE

平稳

平均速度: +0.0500/day | 加速度: -0.5800 (短期减速快于长期)

🔀 Price × Sentiment Divergence DIVERGENT

窗口	象限	价格Δ	情绪Δ	背离
1h	派发预警	+0.38 (+0.4%)	-0.1300	●
4h	派发预警	+1.82 (+2.1%)	-0.1800	●
24h	吸筹信号	-8.80 (-8.9%)	+0.1200	●

➤ 主窗口(1h): 价格上涨但情绪走弱 — 高位派发预警

⚠ 已过滤 988 条无效记录 (score≤0.01，可能原因: 系统离线/重启)

🤖 AI Analysis — doubao-seed-2-0-pro-260215

+0.220

Confidence: 0.62

Elevated Iran conflict risk from UNSC force proposal and regime change deliberations
Ukrainian strikes on Russian oil infrastructure reducing near-term supply
Modest de-escalation signal from Trump's talk of Iran negotiations partially offset by Iran's denial

Trading: {"action": "LONG", "size": "quarter", "stop_loss": "WTI breaks below $87.50", "take_profit": "WTI hits $92.00", "timeframe": "swing_2d"}

{"action": "做多", "size": "四分之一仓", "stop_loss": "WTI跌破87.50美元", "take_profit": "WTI触及92.00美元", "timeframe": "2日波段"}

Key Risks: UNSC rejects Bahrain's use of force proposal for Hormuz, reducing geopolitical premium | U.S.-Iran de-escalation progresses materially, eliminating near-term supply disruption risk

联合国安理会拒绝巴林关于霍尔木兹海峡使用武力的提案，降低地缘政治溢价 | 美伊局势实质性缓和，消除短期供应中断风险

WTI faces modest bullish pressure from geopolitical supply risks, with volatility expected to stay in the 0.8-1.5% range. De-escalation signals limit upside potential while regional conflict risks cap downside.

受地缘政治供应风险影响，WTI面临温和上行压力，预计日内波动保持在0.8%-1.5%区间。局势缓和信号限制上行空间，地区冲突风险则支撑价格下方。

▶ Reasoning / 推理过程

Supply risks dominate the assessment: Ukrainian strikes on Russian oil infrastructure reduce near-term supply, while Bahrain's UNSC force proposal and U.S. deliberations on Iranian regime change elevate Hormuz disruption risk. Trump's de-escalation comments are partially negated by Iran's denial, limiting bearish pressure. Long-term Canadian pipeline expansion and stale signals have no material near-term impact. Confidence is moderate given conflicting geopolitical signals.

供应风险是当前评估的核心：乌克兰对俄罗斯石油基础设施的打击减少了短期供应，同时巴林向安理会提交的霍尔木兹武力保护提案及美国考虑伊朗政权更迭的消息提升了海峡供应中断风险。特朗普的缓和言论因伊朗否认而效力减弱，限制了下行压力。加拿大长期输油管道扩张及过时信号对短期价格无实质影响。因地缘政治信号存在冲突，信心处于中等水平。

📊 Per-Article Analysis (20 items)

Date	Source	Article	Supply	Demand	Geo Risk	Impact	Reasoning
2026-03-24 07:48	Investing.com	Japan’s core inflation slows below BOJ target, complicates r	NEUTRAL	NEUTRAL	NONE	+0.00	Japanese macro data has minimal impact on global oil demand outlook.
2026-03-24 07:26	SeekingAlpha	Dynagas LNG: European Sanctions And The Loss Of Qatar LNG Cr	NEUTRAL	NEUTRAL	LOW	+0.00	LNG market analysis, no direct relevance to WTI crude.
2026-03-24 07:18	Investing.com-Cmd	Gilead boosts immunology pipeline with over $2 billion buyou	NEUTRAL	NEUTRAL	NONE	+0.00	Pharmaceutical industry news, no relevance to crude oil markets.
2026-03-24 07:06	Investing.com-Cmd	California sues US Dept of Energy over Sable oil pipeline re	NEUTRAL	NEUTRAL	NONE	+0.00	Local regulatory dispute with no material impact on national or global crude supply.
2026-03-24 07:00	OilPrice.com	Middle East Chaos Hands Canada a $65 Billion Gift	NEUTRAL	NEUTRAL	LOW	+0.00	Analysis of Canadian oil industry revenue impacts, no change to actual supply/demand fundamentals.
2026-03-24 06:44	SeekingAlpha	Oil States selects CFO Hadjik as new President and CEO with	NEUTRAL	NEUTRAL	NONE	+0.00	Corporate management change, no impact on oil market fundamentals.
2026-03-24 06:25	Finnhub:CNBC	Jim Cramer says Monday’s market rally may be short-lived	NEUTRAL	NEUTRAL	NONE	+0.00	General market commentary, no direct relevance to WTI price drivers.
2026-03-24 06:00	OilPrice.com	Why Portugal and Spain Dodge Europe’s Energy Price Shock	NEUTRAL	NEUTRAL	NONE	+0.00	European energy policy analysis, no impact on WTI fundamentals.
2026-03-24 05:52	Finnhub:Reuters	White House eyes Iran’s parliament speaker Ghalibaf as poten	BULLISH	NEUTRAL	HIGH	+0.25	U.S. consideration of Iranian regime change elevates conflict risk, adding modest supply disruption premium.
2026-03-24 05:34	AlJazeera	Have Israel, the US and Iran violated international law?	NEUTRAL	NEUTRAL	LOW	+0.00	Legal analysis of conflict, no impact on near-term oil supply or demand.
2026-03-24 04:54	SeekingAlpha	Iran war shows need for energy diversification, Cheniere exe	NEUTRAL	NEUTRAL	LOW	+0.00	General commentary on energy strategy, no immediate impact on WTI fundamentals.
2026-03-24 04:43	GoogleNews	Oil Dives as Trump Backs Off Iran Threats, Says Talks Underw	BEARISH	NEUTRAL	MEDIUM	-0.20	Trump de-escalation signal is partially offset by Iran's denial, reducing geopolitical risk premium marginally.
2026-03-24 04:36	GoogleNews	Gregory Brew: The Middle East conflict threatens Iran’s regi	NEUTRAL	NEUTRAL	LOW	+0.00	Analyst commentary on geopolitical risks, no new actionable signal.
2026-03-24 04:35	AlJazeera	Ukraine strikes key Russian oil port and refinery	BULLISH	NEUTRAL	MEDIUM	+0.15	Strikes on Russian energy infrastructure reduce near-term Russian crude and refined product supply.
2026-03-24 03:33	Finnhub:Reuters	Oil execs warn of long-term damage from Iran war as US downp	NEUTRAL	NEUTRAL	MEDIUM	+0.05	Commentary on long-term conflict risks, no immediate supply disruption signal.
2026-03-24 03:31	FMP	CERAWeek Canadian crude re-exports from Gulf Coast set to su	NEUTRAL	NEUTRAL	NONE	+0.00	Long-term pipeline expansion plans will only impact supply over years, no near-term price effect.
2026-03-24 03:15	FMP	Halliburton (HAL) Outperforms Broader Market: What You Need	NEUTRAL	NEUTRAL	NONE	+0.00	Stale single stock performance news, no impact on WTI fundamentals.
2026-03-24 03:10	Finnhub:Reuters	Bahrain proposes UN Security Council approve use of force to	BULLISH	NEUTRAL	HIGH	+0.30	UNSC military force proposal for Hormuz elevates risk of regional conflict disrupting 20% of global oil supply.
2026-03-24 03:02	FMP	Valero Energy (VLO) Stock Sinks As Market Gains: Here's Why	NEUTRAL	NEUTRAL	NONE	+0.00	Stale refiner stock performance news, no impact on WTI fundamentals.
2026-03-24 02:18	Finnhub:Reuters	Exclusive: Russia delays change to fiscal fund after Iran wa	NEUTRAL	NEUTRAL	LOW	+0.00	Russian fiscal policy change has no direct impact on near-term crude supply levels.

Signal Notes

Rolling 7-day sentiment: +0.331
Direction: BULLISH for 5 consecutive period(s)
Sentiment velocity: +0.0500/day (平稳)
Micro(FADING): momentum -0.1500, 急速下行 ❄️
⚠ MICRO ALERT: Significant short-term sentiment shift detected
Divergence(1h): DISTRIBUTION_WARNING (price +0.38, sent -0.1300)
⚠ Divergence: 已过滤 988 条无效记录 (score≤0.01，可能原因: 系统离线/重启)
CAUTION: Price-sentiment divergence (DISTRIBUTION_WARNING)

🔍 Manual Analysis Input

📢 Trump / Truth Social (10 posts, 2 oil-relevant)

Time	Post
2026-03-24 07:18	There is a very important Special Election tomorrow, Tuesday, March 24th, for Florida State House District 87 in beautiful Palm Beach County — JON MAP
2026-03-23 22:29	RT @ realDonaldTrump I am a BIG proponent of ICE wearing masks as they search for, and are forced to deal with, hardened criminals, many of whom were
2026-03-23 22:29	OIL RT @ realDonaldTrump I AM PLEASED TO REPORT THAT THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA, AND THE COUNTRY OF IRAN, HAVE HAD, OVER THE LAST TWO DAYS, VERY GOOD AN
2026-03-23 22:28	For years, Democrats ignored Violent and Vicious Crime of all shapes, sizes, colors, and types. Violent Criminals who should have been locked up were
2026-03-23 22:10	Trump administration cancels $109M in environmentally focused transportation grants for Colorado: https:// coloradosun.com/2025/12/16/tru mp-administr
2026-03-23 22:09	Questions Grow as Lt. Michael Byrd, Who Shot Ashli Babbitt on Jan. 6, Operates a Taxpayer-Funded Home Daycare as $190 Million in Federal Child Care Fu
2026-03-23 22:09	https://www. theepochtimes.com/us/oklahoma- black-lives-matter-leader-indicted-over-alleged-3-15-million-embezzlement-5957229 [Link: Oklahoma Black Li
2026-03-23 22:08	Kelsey Grammer calls Trump ‘one of the greatest presidents we’ve ever had’ at Kennedy Center Honors: https:// nypost.com/2025/12/08/entertai nment/kel
2026-03-23 20:57	I am a BIG proponent of ICE wearing masks as they search for, and are forced to deal with, hardened criminals, many of whom were let into our Country
2026-03-23 19:23	OIL I AM PLEASED TO REPORT THAT THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA, AND THE COUNTRY OF IRAN, HAVE HAD, OVER THE LAST TWO DAYS, VERY GOOD AND PRODUCTIVE CONVERSA

Sentiment History

Timestamp	Score	Direction	Confidence	WTI	EIA Signal	Regime
2026-03-24 08:10	+0.220	BULLISH	0.62	$89.48	BEARISH_BUILD	RANGE_BOUND
2026-03-24 07:55	+0.400	BULLISH	0.68	$88.77	BEARISH_BUILD	RANGE_BOUND
2026-03-24 07:40	+0.350	BULLISH	0.68	$88.63	BEARISH_BUILD	RANGE_BOUND
2026-03-24 07:35	+0.350	BULLISH	0.62	$88.65	BEARISH_BUILD	RANGE_BOUND
2026-03-24 07:04	+0.350	BULLISH	0.68	$89.10	BEARISH_BUILD	RANGE_BOUND
2026-03-24 06:58	+0.300	BULLISH	0.58	$89.03	BEARISH_BUILD	RANGE_BOUND
2026-03-24 06:51	+0.350	BULLISH	0.68	$89.02	BEARISH_BUILD	RANGE_BOUND
2026-03-24 06:43	+0.250	BULLISH	0.60	$88.98	BEARISH_BUILD	RANGE_BOUND
2026-03-24 06:21	+0.250	BULLISH	0.72	$89.33	BEARISH_BUILD	RANGE_BOUND
2026-03-24 06:14	+0.000	NEUTRAL	0.72	$88.93	BEARISH_BUILD	RANGE_BOUND
2026-03-24 06:10	+0.000	NEUTRAL	0.72	$88.87	BEARISH_BUILD	RANGE_BOUND
2026-03-24 06:03	+0.000	NEUTRAL	0.68	$88.87	BEARISH_BUILD	RANGE_BOUND
2026-03-24 05:57	-0.100	NEUTRAL	0.72	$88.87	BEARISH_BUILD	RISK_OFF
2026-03-24 05:50	-0.150	BEARISH	0.72	$88.87	BEARISH_BUILD	RISK_OFF
2026-03-24 05:43	-0.150	BEARISH	0.68	$88.87	BEARISH_BUILD	RISK_OFF
2026-03-24 05:36	-0.300	BEARISH	0.75	$88.87	BEARISH_BUILD	RISK_OFF
2026-03-24 05:29	-0.400	BEARISH	0.75	$88.87	BEARISH_BUILD	RISK_OFF
2026-03-24 05:23	-0.450	BEARISH	0.72	$88.87	BEARISH_BUILD	RISK_OFF
2026-03-24 05:16	-0.350	BEARISH	0.72	$88.87	BEARISH_BUILD	RISK_OFF
2026-03-24 05:11	-0.250	BEARISH	0.70	$88.88	BEARISH_BUILD	RISK_OFF
2026-03-24 05:05	-0.150	BEARISH	0.72	$88.89	BEARISH_BUILD	RISK_OFF
2026-03-24 04:59	-0.420	BEARISH	0.72	$88.91	BEARISH_BUILD	RISK_OFF
2026-03-24 04:53	-0.400	BEARISH	0.72	$89.17	BEARISH_BUILD	RISK_OFF
2026-03-24 04:48	-0.150	BEARISH	0.72	$89.41	BEARISH_BUILD	RISK_OFF
2026-03-24 04:41	-0.300	BEARISH	0.75	$88.98	BEARISH_BUILD	RISK_OFF
2026-03-24 04:35	-0.300	BEARISH	0.72	$88.87	BEARISH_BUILD	RISK_OFF
2026-03-24 04:28	-0.350	BEARISH	0.82	$88.63	BEARISH_BUILD	RISK_OFF
2026-03-24 04:15	-0.150	BEARISH	0.72	$88.67	BEARISH_BUILD	RANGE_BOUND
2026-03-24 04:07	-0.150	BEARISH	0.68	$88.73	BEARISH_BUILD	RANGE_BOUND
2026-03-24 04:00	-0.250	BEARISH	0.72	$88.48	BEARISH_BUILD	RANGE_BOUND
2026-03-24 03:53	-0.150	BEARISH	0.72	$88.26	BEARISH_BUILD	RANGE_BOUND
2026-03-24 03:47	-0.250	BEARISH	0.65	$88.07	BEARISH_BUILD	RANGE_BOUND
2026-03-24 03:40	-0.250	BEARISH	0.72	$88.44	BEARISH_BUILD	RANGE_BOUND
2026-03-24 03:33	-0.300	BEARISH	0.70	$87.80	BEARISH_BUILD	RANGE_BOUND
2026-03-24 03:25	-0.400	BEARISH	0.75	$87.58	BEARISH_BUILD	RANGE_BOUND
2026-03-24 03:18	+0.400	BULLISH	0.72	$87.66	BEARISH_BUILD	RANGE_BOUND
2026-03-24 03:11	-0.100	NEUTRAL	0.75	$87.54	BEARISH_BUILD	RANGE_BOUND
2026-03-24 03:04	-0.200	BEARISH	0.65	$87.57	BEARISH_BUILD	RANGE_BOUND
2026-03-24 02:56	-0.250	BEARISH	0.75	$87.50	BEARISH_BUILD	RANGE_BOUND
2026-03-24 02:50	-0.300	BEARISH	0.75	$87.86	BEARISH_BUILD	RANGE_BOUND