🛢️ Crude Oil Sentiment Dashboard

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⚡ Real-Time Engine

Status: RUNNING Polls: 240 Last Score: 2026-03-20 06:10 Last News: 2026-03-20 06:11 Last Trump: 2026-03-20 06:11

Trading Signal

HOLD

HIGH confidence NORMAL Strength: 0.13 Trend: 8d

Composite Sentiment

-0.150

🔴 BEARISH | 26 articles from 3 sources
Last refresh: 2026-03-20 06:11

WTI Crude Oil

$94.59

per barrel

EIA Inventory

+6.2 MM bbl

BEARISH_BUILD

Market Regime

RISK OFF

Supply Outlook

TIGHTENING

Qatar LNG multi-year structural outage
Strait of Hormuz disruption risks

Demand Outlook

STABLE

High prices impacting consumers/businesses
No clear recessionary demand collapse signals

News Sources

GoogleNews: 15
OilPrice.com: 6
FMP: 5

⏱ Micro Velocity (15m scalping)ALERT

→ +0.000

15m

↘ -0.050

30m

→ +0.000

↘ -0.300

状态

FADING

急速下行 ❄️

动量: -0.0450 平均Δ: -0.0875 ⚠ 短线显著变化!

⚡ Sentiment Velocity

↘ -3.000

趋势

DECELERATING

快速衰减

平均速度: -3.0000/day | 加速度: +0.0000 (短长期速度一致)

🔀 Price × Sentiment Divergence

窗口	象限	价格Δ	情绪Δ	背离
1h	情绪降温	-0.05 (-0.1%)	-0.3000	○
4h	确认下跌	-1.25 (-1.3%)	-1.0000	○

➤ 主窗口(1h): 情绪降温但价格未明显变化

⚠ 已过滤 32 条无效记录 (score≤0.01，可能原因: 系统离线/重启)

⚠ 24h窗口: 有效数据不足 (仅覆盖456分钟)

🤖 Gemini (gemini-2.5-flash)

Error: not_run...

Confidence: 0.00

🤖 DeepSeek (deepseek-chat)

-0.150

Confidence: 0.65

U.S. signals no export ban despite price surge
Qatar LNG multi-year outage confirmed
Iran war headlines mostly stale/repetitive
Large weekly inventory build (+6.2M bbl)

Bearish pressure persists as fresh news is limited and the market digests a substantial inventory build, with U.S. policy signaling against export restrictions providing a key bearish anchor despite ongoing structural supply losses.

Reasoning

The most impactful fresh signal is the explicit U.S. administration stance against an oil export ban (article 12), which removes a potential bullish policy catalyst and signals a willingness to let the market absorb high prices, weighing on sentiment. While the Qatar LNG outage confirmation (article 17) is a significant, multi-year structural supply loss, it is a developing story from earlier cycles and its impact is partially priced in. The majority of Iran war headlines (articles 2, 3, 5, 8, 9, 16, 18, 19, 20) are rehashes of the same conflict narrative from the last 2-6 hours, providing context but not new forward-looking price pressure. The large weekly inventory build (+6.2M bbl) is a concrete bearish fundamental datapoint. The net effect is a slight intensification of the previous bearish pressure, as fresh bullish catalysts are absent and policy signals lean bearish.

📊 Per-Article Analysis (20 items)

Date	Source	Article	Supply	Demand	Geo Risk	Impact	Reasoning
2026-03-20 06:00	OilPrice.com	Global Supply Shock Exposes the Myth of Energy Independence	BULLISH	NEUTRAL	HIGH	+0.40	Highlights the broad, systemic supply disruption from Strait of Hormuz issues, a key bullish factor, but again re-states
2026-03-20 05:58	GoogleNews	Iran War Live Updates: As Oil and Gas Prices Soar, Trump See	NEUTRAL	NEUTRAL	HIGH	+0.10	Live update on the ongoing conflict, but provides no new material information on supply disruptions or policy changes.
2026-03-20 05:49	GoogleNews	Soaring crude oil prices impacting gas, airfare, farmers, an	NEUTRAL	BEARISH	LOW	-0.20	Highlights demand destruction (bearish) from elevated prices, a secondary effect of the supply crisis.
2026-03-20 05:08	GoogleNews	Crude Oil Prices Ease as Traders Weigh Trump, Bessent Commen	NEUTRAL	NEUTRAL	MEDIUM	-0.10	Reports price easing as market digests comments; reflects current price action but is not itself a new fundamental drive
2026-03-20 05:07	GoogleNews	U.S. oil producers could get $63 billion boost from high cru	NEUTRAL	NEUTRAL	NONE	+0.00	Descriptive analysis of windfall for producers from existing high prices, not a new catalyst.
2026-03-20 05:00	OilPrice.com	U.S. Approaches Chile for Critical Mineral Supply	NEUTRAL	NEUTRAL	LOW	+0.00	Focus on critical minerals (rhenium) for national security, not directly relevant to crude oil markets.
2026-03-20 04:57	GoogleNews	Brent crude briefly tops $119 per barrel, before receding, a	NEUTRAL	NEUTRAL	HIGH	+0.10	Notes intraday price spike and volatility driven by existing war fears, but the event has already occurred and receded.
2026-03-20 04:50	GoogleNews	U.S. mulls lifting oil sanctions on Iran as it hits key Gulf	BEARISH	NEUTRAL	HIGH	-0.30	Contradictory signal - potential for increased Iranian supply (bearish) amid attacks on Gulf infrastructure (bullish); n
2026-03-20 04:28	GoogleNews	Oil Gives Back Gains After Surging on Fears Over Energy Supp	NEUTRAL	NEUTRAL	HIGH	-0.10	Describes price retracement after earlier surge; reflects profit-taking or reassessment, not a new supply/demand develop
2026-03-20 04:09	GoogleNews	$166 a barrel? Middle East oil gives clue to where all price	BULLISH	NEUTRAL	HIGH	+0.30	Speculative analysis on potential price spikes if Iran war prolongs, but represents a rehash of existing conflict narrat
2026-03-20 04:00	OilPrice.com	Cuba's Fragile Power Grid Finds a Powerful New Partner	NEUTRAL	NEUTRAL	MEDIUM	+0.00	Geopolitical development involving U.S. and Cuba, but scale is minor and not directly tied to major oil flows.
2026-03-20 03:50	GoogleNews	Middle East war live: Oil drops and stocks rebound in volati	NEUTRAL	NEUTRAL	HIGH	-0.10	Reports on price drop and volatile trading; descriptive of market reaction, not a new fundamental catalyst.
2026-03-20 03:00	OilPrice.com	US: No Ban On Oil Exports	BEARISH	NEUTRAL	MEDIUM	-0.50	Critical fresh policy signal; removes a potential bullish supply constraint and indicates U.S. will not intervene to res
2026-03-20 02:00	OilPrice.com	U.K. Bets on Tariffs to Rebuild Its Steel Industry	NEUTRAL	NEUTRAL	LOW	+0.00	Trade policy focused on steel, with negligible direct impact on crude oil markets.
2026-03-20 01:56	FMP	Stellantis Deserves An Upgrade Due To Early Signs Of A Rebou	NEUTRAL	NEUTRAL	NONE	+0.00	Company-specific auto sector news with no direct bearing on crude oil supply, demand, or geopolitics.
2026-03-20 01:20	FMP	Battalion Oil Closes Acquisition of Sundown Assets, Expands	NEUTRAL	NEUTRAL	NONE	+0.00	Minor corporate M&A activity in the Permian Basin; insignificant for near-term global crude supply/demand balance.
2026-03-20 01:00	OilPrice.com	Qatar LNG Hit Turns Into Multi-Year Crisis	BULLISH	NEUTRAL	HIGH	+0.60	Confirms a major, multi-year structural loss in global LNG (and associated gas/oil) supply, a significant bullish factor
2026-03-20 00:54	FMP	FTXN: Solid Long-Term Choice, But Risky To Buy For Now	NEUTRAL	NEUTRAL	NONE	+0.00	ETF analysis; reflects existing high-price environment but does not change supply/demand fundamentals.
2026-03-20 00:53	FMP	Crude Oil Price Forecast: Key Support Holds, Short-Term Upsi	NEUTRAL	NEUTRAL	NONE	+0.10	Technical analysis suggesting near-term bullish momentum, but not a fundamental driver.
2026-03-20 00:48	FMP	FedEx is getting more upbeat about the year — despite surgin	NEUTRAL	NEUTRAL	NONE	+0.00	Company-specific earnings outlook; indicates resilience to high fuel costs but does not alter aggregate oil demand pictu

Signal Notes

Rolling 7-day sentiment: -0.129
Direction: NEUTRAL for 8 consecutive period(s)
Sentiment velocity: -3.0000/day (快速衰减)
Micro(FADING): momentum -0.0450, 急速下行 ❄️
⚠ MICRO ALERT: Significant short-term sentiment shift detected
Divergence(1h): SENTIMENT_COOLING (price -0.05, sent -0.3000)
⚠ Divergence: 已过滤 32 条无效记录 (score≤0.01，可能原因: 系统离线/重启)
⚠ Divergence: 24h窗口: 有效数据不足 (仅覆盖456分钟)

🔍 Manual Analysis Input

📢 Trump / Truth Social (6 posts, 0 oil-relevant)

Time	Post
2026-03-20 01:41	Trump Gold Coin Moves Forward. Federal advisory panel backs design featuring the president on a commemorative coin.
2026-03-20 01:20	TC Energy Corporation (TRP) Closes the Market. Toronto, Ontario--(Newsfile Corp. - March 19, 2026) - François Poirier, President and Chief Executive O
2026-03-20 01:01	Faraday Future to Attend the 38th Annual Roth Conference; Showcasing EVs and AI-Driven Mobility Innovations on March 22-23, 2026. LOS ANGELES--(BUSINE
2026-03-20 01:00	CarMax Announces Fourth Quarter Conference Call. RICHMOND, Va.--(BUSINESS WIRE)--CarMax, Inc. (NYSE:KMX) will report its financial results for the fou
2026-03-20 00:57	Gain Therapeutics to Present at the 38th Annual ROTH Conference. BETHESDA, Md., March 19, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Gain Therapeutics, Inc. (Nasdaq: GA
2026-03-20 00:53	MultiSensor AI Announces Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2025 Results. Houston, Texas--(Newsfile Corp. - March 19, 2026) - MultiSensor AI Holdings, Inc.

Sentiment History

Timestamp	Composite	Direction	Gemini	DeepSeek	Agree	WTI	EIA Signal	Regime
2026-03-20 06:10	-0.150	BEARISH	+0.000	-0.150	No	$94.59	BEARISH_BUILD	RISK_OFF
2026-03-20 06:07	-0.100	NEUTRAL	+0.000	-0.100	No	$94.59	BEARISH_BUILD	RISK_OFF
2026-03-20 06:05	-0.150	BEARISH	+0.000	-0.150	No	$94.59	BEARISH_BUILD	RISK_OFF
2026-03-20 06:01	-0.100	NEUTRAL	+0.000	-0.100	No	$94.59	BEARISH_BUILD	RISK_OFF
2026-03-20 05:57	-0.150	BEARISH	+0.000	-0.150	No	$94.59	BEARISH_BUILD	RISK_OFF
2026-03-20 05:53	-0.100	NEUTRAL	+0.000	-0.100	No	$94.59	BEARISH_BUILD	RISK_OFF
2026-03-20 05:49	-0.150	BEARISH	+0.000	-0.150	No	$94.59	BEARISH_BUILD	RISK_OFF
2026-03-20 05:47	-0.100	NEUTRAL	+0.000	-0.100	No	$94.59	BEARISH_BUILD	RISK_OFF
2026-03-20 05:43	-0.150	BEARISH	+0.000	-0.150	No	$94.59	BEARISH_BUILD	RISK_OFF
2026-03-20 05:41	-0.250	BEARISH	+0.000	-0.250	No	$94.59	BEARISH_BUILD	RISK_OFF
2026-03-20 05:36	-0.150	BEARISH	+0.000	-0.150	No	$94.59	BEARISH_BUILD	RISK_OFF
2026-03-20 05:34	-0.300	BEARISH	+0.000	-0.300	No	$94.59	BEARISH_BUILD	RISK_OFF
2026-03-20 05:30	-0.250	BEARISH	+0.000	-0.250	No	$94.59	BEARISH_BUILD	RISK_OFF
2026-03-20 05:28	-0.150	BEARISH	+0.000	-0.150	No	$94.59	BEARISH_BUILD	RISK_OFF
2026-03-20 05:23	-0.250	BEARISH	+0.000	-0.250	No	$94.59	BEARISH_BUILD	RISK_OFF
2026-03-20 05:21	-0.150	BEARISH	+0.000	-0.150	No	$94.59	BEARISH_BUILD	RISK_OFF
2026-03-20 05:17	-0.250	BEARISH	+0.000	-0.250	No	$94.59	BEARISH_BUILD	RISK_OFF
2026-03-20 05:14	-0.150	BEARISH	+0.000	-0.150	No	$94.59	BEARISH_BUILD	RISK_OFF
2026-03-20 05:11	-0.100	NEUTRAL	+0.000	-0.100	No	$94.59	BEARISH_BUILD	RISK_OFF
2026-03-20 05:09	+0.150	BULLISH	+0.000	+0.150	No	$94.64	BEARISH_BUILD	RISK_OFF
2026-03-20 05:06	+0.250	BULLISH	+0.000	+0.250	No	$94.66	BEARISH_BUILD	RISK_OFF
2026-03-20 05:03	+0.350	BULLISH	+0.000	+0.350	No	$94.60	BEARISH_BUILD	RISK_OFF
2026-03-20 04:59	+0.250	BULLISH	+0.000	+0.250	No	$94.48	BEARISH_BUILD	RISK_OFF
2026-03-20 04:57	+0.150	BULLISH	+0.000	+0.150	No	$94.48	BEARISH_BUILD	RISK_OFF
2026-03-20 04:53	+0.250	BULLISH	+0.000	+0.250	No	$94.68	BEARISH_BUILD	RISK_OFF
2026-03-20 04:50	+0.400	BULLISH	+0.000	+0.400	No	$94.55	BEARISH_BUILD	RISK_OFF
2026-03-20 04:48	-0.250	BEARISH	+0.000	-0.250	No	$94.19	BEARISH_BUILD	RISK_OFF
2026-03-20 04:46	-0.150	BEARISH	+0.000	-0.150	No	$94.07	BEARISH_BUILD	RISK_OFF
2026-03-20 04:44	-0.100	NEUTRAL	+0.000	-0.100	No	$94.31	BEARISH_BUILD	RISK_OFF
2026-03-20 04:41	+0.000	NEUTRAL	+0.000	+0.000	No	$94.33	BEARISH_BUILD	RISK_OFF
2026-03-20 04:39	+0.000	NEUTRAL	+0.000	+0.000	No	$94.32	BEARISH_BUILD	RISK_OFF
2026-03-20 04:37	+0.000	NEUTRAL	+0.000	+0.000	No	$94.31	BEARISH_BUILD	RISK_OFF
2026-03-20 04:33	+0.000	NEUTRAL	+0.000	+0.000	No	$94.30	BEARISH_BUILD	RISK_OFF
2026-03-20 04:28	+0.000	NEUTRAL	+0.000	+0.000	No	$94.34	BEARISH_BUILD	RISK_OFF
2026-03-20 04:24	+0.000	NEUTRAL	+0.000	+0.000	No	$94.56	BEARISH_BUILD	RISK_OFF
2026-03-20 04:22	+0.250	BULLISH	+0.000	+0.250	No	$94.56	BEARISH_BUILD	RISK_OFF
2026-03-20 04:19	+0.400	BULLISH	+0.000	+0.400	No	$94.31	BEARISH_BUILD	RISK_OFF
2026-03-20 04:16	+0.250	BULLISH	+0.000	+0.250	No	$94.38	BEARISH_BUILD	RISK_OFF
2026-03-20 04:14	+0.400	BULLISH	+0.000	+0.400	No	$94.50	BEARISH_BUILD	RISK_OFF
2026-03-20 04:11	+0.250	BULLISH	+0.000	+0.250	No	$94.23	BEARISH_BUILD	RISK_OFF