🛢️ Crude Oil Sentiment Dashboard

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⚡ Real-Time Engine

Status: RUNNING Polls: 191 Last Score: 2026-03-21 05:44 Last News: 2026-03-21 05:43 Last Trump: 2026-03-21 05:43

Trading Signal

SELL_OIL

MEDIUM confidence CAUTION Strength: 0.39 Trend: 93d

Composite Sentiment

-0.150

🔴 BEARISH | 59 articles from 9 sources
Last refresh: 2026-03-21 05:43

WTI Crude Oil

$98.09

per barrel

EIA Inventory

+6.2 MM bbl

BEARISH_BUILD

Market Regime

RISK OFF

Supply Outlook

TIGHTENING

Iraq force majeure on oilfields
Norway output steady but no spare capacity

Demand Outlook

SHRINKING

High prices eroding consumer demand
Inventory build suggests weak consumption

News Sources

TruthSocial: 19
GoogleNews: 11
Finnhub:Reuters: 7
OilPrice.com: 6
Investing.com: 5
FMP: 5
SeekingAlpha: 3
Finnhub:CNBC: 2
Investing.com-Cmd: 1

⏱ Micro Velocity (15m scalping)ALERT

↗ +0.150

15m

↗ +0.300

30m

↗ +0.250

状态

SURGING

急速上行 🔥

动量: +0.2250 平均Δ: +0.2375 ⚠ 短线显著变化!

⚡ Sentiment Velocity

↘ -2.400

12h

↘ -0.300

24h

→ +0.000

趋势

STABLE

平稳

平均速度: -0.9000/day | 加速度: -2.4000 (短期减速快于长期)

🔀 Price × Sentiment Divergence DIVERGENT

窗口	象限	价格Δ	情绪Δ	背离
1h	派发预警	+1.56 (+1.6%)	-0.5500	●
4h	派发预警	+1.56 (+1.6%)	-0.5500	●
24h	派发预警	+3.45 (+3.6%)	-0.3000	●

➤ 主窗口(1h): 价格上涨但情绪走弱 — 高位派发预警

⚠ 已过滤 467 条无效记录 (score≤0.01，可能原因: 系统离线/重启)

🤖 AI Analysis — DeepSeek (deepseek-chat)

-0.150

Confidence: 0.75

Trump's de-escalation signal (NEGOTIATION_SIGNAL)
Large crude inventory build (+6.2M bbl)
Iraq force majeure (supply disruption)

Bearish pressure persists as Trump's de-escalation signal and significant inventory builds outweigh Iraq's supply disruption, though the force majeure announcement provides some bullish support.

看跌压力持续，特朗普的降级信号和大量库存增加超过了伊拉克供应中断的影响，尽管不可抗力公告提供了一些看涨支撑。

▶ Reasoning / 推理过程

Following the reasoning chain: (1) SUPPLY: Iraq's force majeure on foreign-operated oilfields due to Hormuz disruption is bullish (+0.3), but Norway's steady output and lack of spare capacity is neutral. (2) DEMAND: High oil prices eroding rate cut hopes and hitting consumers is bearish (-0.2). (3) GEOPOLITICAL: UK approving US use of bases to strike Iran missile sites maintains medium risk, but Trump's statement about winding down military efforts is a strong de-escalation signal. (4) PRESIDENTIAL IMPACT: Trump's statement is a NEGOTIATION_SIGNAL (weight 0.4) indicating potential conflict resolution, which is bearish for oil prices (-0.4). The EIA inventory build of +6.2M bbl is strongly bearish (-0.9). Synthesis: The bearish inventory data and Trump's de-escalation signal dominate the bullish supply disruption from Iraq, resulting in net bearish pressure.

遵循推理链：(1) 供应：伊拉克因霍尔木兹海峡中断对外国运营油田宣布不可抗力是看涨的(+0.3)，但挪威产量稳定且缺乏备用产能是中性的。(2) 需求：高油价侵蚀降息希望并打击消费者是看跌的(-0.2)。(3) 地缘政治：英国批准美国使用基地打击伊朗导弹阵地维持中等风险，但特朗普关于缩减军事行动的声明是强烈的降级信号。(4) 总统影响：特朗普的声明是谈判信号(权重0.4)，表明潜在冲突解决，这对油价是看跌的(-0.4)。EIA库存增加620万桶是强烈看跌的(-0.9)。综合：看跌的库存数据和特朗普的降级信号主导了伊拉克供应中断的看涨影响，导致净看跌压力。

📊 Per-Article Analysis (20 items)

Date	Source	Article	Supply	Demand	Geo Risk	Impact	Reasoning
2026-03-21 05:20	GoogleNews	Iran War Live Updates: U.S. Steps Up Efforts to Clear Strait	NEUTRAL	NEUTRAL	MEDIUM	+0.00	STALE item with no material change from previous analysis; ongoing efforts to clear Strait maintain existing risk premiu
2026-03-21 05:20	Investing.com-Cmd	Russia stocks lower at close of trade; MOEX Russia Index dow	NEUTRAL	NEUTRAL	NONE	+0.00	Minor Russian stock movement doesn't signal material change in oil supply/demand.
2026-03-21 05:13	TruthSocial	We are getting very close to meeting our objectives as we co	NEUTRAL	NEUTRAL	MEDIUM	-0.40	Trump signaling potential de-escalation and winding down of military efforts reduces geopolitical risk premium for oil.
2026-03-21 05:12	Investing.com	Market bets on Fed rate hike surge	NEUTRAL	BEARISH	NONE	-0.20	Increased rate hike expectations could slow economic growth and reduce oil demand.
2026-03-21 05:06	Investing.com	Persistent Iran war, energy price surge set to sway wavering	NEUTRAL	NEUTRAL	MEDIUM	+0.00	General market commentary with no new information on oil supply/demand fundamentals.
2026-03-21 05:00	OilPrice.com	The Startup That Cracked the Code for Commercial Thermal Bat	NEUTRAL	NEUTRAL	NONE	+0.00	Long-term energy storage technology development has no immediate impact on oil supply/demand balance.
2026-03-21 05:00	GoogleNews	High oil prices knock down stocks and erase Wall Street’s ho	NEUTRAL	BEARISH	NONE	-0.20	High oil prices reducing rate cut expectations could slow economic activity and oil demand.
2026-03-21 04:22	GoogleNews	Removing Sanctions on Iran’s Crude Isn’t an Easy Fix for Oil	NEUTRAL	NEUTRAL	MEDIUM	+0.00	STALE item with no material change from previous analysis; discusses challenges of Iranian oil return.
2026-03-21 03:14	SeekingAlpha	Georgia opens the gas-tax playbook on oil shock	NEUTRAL	NEUTRAL	NONE	+0.00	State-level tax policy has minimal immediate impact on global oil markets.
2026-03-21 03:00	OilPrice.com	Why This Energy Shock Will Hit Consumers Harder Than 2011	NEUTRAL	BEARISH	NONE	-0.20	Analysis suggesting consumers will bear brunt of energy shock implies demand destruction ahead.
2026-03-21 02:49	TruthSocial	(image/video only)	NEUTRAL	NEUTRAL	NONE	+0.00	Media-only post with no substantive content affecting oil markets.
2026-03-21 02:17	Finnhub:Reuters	Exclusive: Iraq declares force majeure on foreign-operated o	BULLISH	NEUTRAL	HIGH	+0.30	Force majeure on Iraqi oilfields directly reduces supply due to Hormuz shipping disruptions.
2026-03-21 02:12	Finnhub:CNBC	We're upgrading our rating on Honeywell — plus 2 positions w	NEUTRAL	NEUTRAL	NONE	+0.00	Individual stock rating changes have no direct impact on oil supply/demand fundamentals.
2026-03-21 02:06	SeekingAlpha	Trump says U.S. aims to prevent Iran from rebuilding its mil	NEUTRAL	NEUTRAL	MEDIUM	+0.00	STALE item summarizing previous Trump statement; no new information.
2026-03-21 02:02	Finnhub:Reuters	UK approves US use of British bases to strike Iran missile s	NEUTRAL	NEUTRAL	MEDIUM	+0.00	Military coordination maintains existing geopolitical risk but doesn't escalate situation materially.
2026-03-21 02:00	OilPrice.com	Norway’s Output Holds Steady—but Spare Capacity Is Gone	NEUTRAL	NEUTRAL	NONE	+0.00	Norwegian production stable with no spare capacity maintains existing supply tightness but doesn't change outlook.
2026-03-21 01:15	FMP	Halliburton First Quarter 2026 Earnings Conference Call	NEUTRAL	NEUTRAL	NONE	+0.00	Future earnings announcement has no immediate impact on current oil market dynamics.
2026-03-21 01:11	SeekingAlpha	ONEOK upped to Buy at Jefferies as war duration lifts odds o	NEUTRAL	NEUTRAL	MEDIUM	+0.00	Individual stock rating change based on existing geopolitical risk, no new supply/demand information.
2026-03-21 01:10	FMP	Here's Why Oil Prices May Remain High Even If the Iran War E	NEUTRAL	NEUTRAL	MEDIUM	+0.00	Analytical commentary on potential structural changes, but no new supply/demand signals.
2026-03-21 00:24	Finnhub:CNBC	The spring housing market is on, but mortgage rates just sho	NEUTRAL	NEUTRAL	NONE	+0.00	Housing market dynamics have minimal direct impact on oil supply/demand balance.

Signal Notes

Rolling 7-day sentiment: -0.386
Direction: BEARISH for 93 consecutive period(s)
Sentiment velocity: -0.9000/day (平稳)
Micro(SURGING): momentum +0.2250, 急速上行 🔥
⚠ MICRO ALERT: Significant short-term sentiment shift detected
Divergence(1h): DISTRIBUTION_WARNING (price +1.56, sent -0.5500)
⚠ Divergence: 已过滤 467 条无效记录 (score≤0.01，可能原因: 系统离线/重启)
CAUTION: Divergence detected (DISTRIBUTION_WARNING)

🔍 Manual Analysis Input

📢 Trump / Truth Social (19 posts, 5 oil-relevant)

Time	Post
2026-03-21 05:13	OIL We are getting very close to meeting our objectives as we consider winding down our great Military efforts in the Middle East with respect to the Terr
2026-03-21 02:49	(image/video only)
2026-03-20 21:56	I met with Hope Scheppelman and her husband Steven, of the Radical Left State of Colorado, to discuss various opportunities to serve our Country in a
2026-03-20 21:43	OIL Without the U.S.A., NATO IS A PAPER TIGER! They didn’t want to join the fight to stop a Nuclear Powered Iran. Now that fight is Militarily WON, with v
2026-03-20 21:27	THE SAVE AMERICA ACT MUST BE PASSED BY THE SENATE. THERE IS NOTHING THAT IS MORE IMPORTANT FOR THE U.S.A. Voter I.D., Proof of Citizenship, etc. Get i
2026-03-20 21:22	CONGRESS, PASS THE FARM BILL, NOW! President DJT
2026-03-20 05:16	They Threw Everything They Had at Donald Trump. He’s Still Standing. America Is Better For It: https://www. citynewsokc.com/opinion/they-t hrew-everyt
2026-03-20 04:54	GAVIN M. WAX: Trump Quietly Set Up Future Of American Manufacturing With Stroke Of A Pen: https:// dailycaller.com/2026/02/22/gav in-wax-donald-trump-
2026-03-20 04:54	You Should Be Terrified by What JPMorgan Did to Trump: https:// townhall.com/columnists/dougla smackinnon/2026/02/23/you-should-be-terrorized-by-what-
2026-03-20 04:53	Ex-police chief says Trump told him 'thank goodness you're stopping' Epstein in 2000s: https:// abcnews.com/US/police-chief-tr ump-told-goodness-stopp

Sentiment History

Timestamp	Score	Direction	Confidence	WTI	EIA Signal	Regime
2026-03-21 05:44	-0.150	BEARISH	0.75	$98.09	BEARISH_BUILD	RISK_OFF
2026-03-21 05:40	-0.200	BEARISH	0.70	$98.09	BEARISH_BUILD	RISK_OFF
2026-03-21 05:37	-0.300	BEARISH	0.70	$98.09	BEARISH_BUILD	RISK_OFF
2026-03-21 05:33	-0.650	BEARISH	0.85	$98.09	BEARISH_BUILD	RISK_OFF
2026-03-21 05:29	-0.600	BEARISH	0.75	$98.09	BEARISH_BUILD	RISK_OFF
2026-03-21 05:25	-0.450	BEARISH	0.75	$98.09	BEARISH_BUILD	RISK_OFF
2026-03-21 05:23	-0.350	BEARISH	0.75	$98.09	BEARISH_BUILD	RISK_OFF
2026-03-21 05:19	-0.450	BEARISH	0.75	$98.09	BEARISH_BUILD	RISK_OFF
2026-03-21 05:17	-0.400	BEARISH	0.75	$98.09	BEARISH_BUILD	RISK_OFF
2026-03-21 05:13	-0.400	BEARISH	0.75	$98.09	BEARISH_BUILD	RISK_OFF
2026-03-21 05:09	-0.400	BEARISH	0.75	$98.06	BEARISH_BUILD	RISK_OFF
2026-03-21 05:07	-0.400	BEARISH	0.70	$98.03	BEARISH_BUILD	RISK_OFF
2026-03-21 05:03	-0.400	BEARISH	0.75	$98.11	BEARISH_BUILD	RISK_OFF
2026-03-21 04:59	-0.400	BEARISH	0.75	$97.99	BEARISH_BUILD	RISK_OFF
2026-03-21 04:55	-0.400	BEARISH	0.75	$97.97	BEARISH_BUILD	RISK_OFF
2026-03-21 04:53	-0.400	BEARISH	0.70	$97.91	BEARISH_BUILD	RISK_OFF
2026-03-21 04:49	-0.400	BEARISH	0.80	$97.74	BEARISH_BUILD	RISK_OFF
2026-03-21 04:47	-0.400	BEARISH	0.75	$97.85	BEARISH_BUILD	RISK_OFF
2026-03-21 04:43	-0.400	BEARISH	0.75	$97.90	BEARISH_BUILD	RISK_OFF
2026-03-21 04:39	-0.400	BEARISH	0.75	$97.88	BEARISH_BUILD	RISK_OFF
2026-03-21 04:37	-0.300	BEARISH	0.70	$97.73	BEARISH_BUILD	RISK_OFF
2026-03-21 04:34	-0.400	BEARISH	0.70	$97.91	BEARISH_BUILD	RISK_OFF
2026-03-21 04:32	-0.600	BEARISH	0.75	$97.77	BEARISH_BUILD	RISK_OFF
2026-03-21 04:28	-0.700	BEARISH	0.80	$97.59	BEARISH_BUILD	RISK_OFF
2026-03-21 04:24	-0.600	BEARISH	0.75	$97.68	BEARISH_BUILD	RISK_OFF
2026-03-21 04:20	-0.700	BEARISH	0.80	$97.94	BEARISH_BUILD	RISK_OFF
2026-03-21 04:18	-0.700	BEARISH	0.75	$97.99	BEARISH_BUILD	RISK_OFF
2026-03-21 04:13	-0.650	BEARISH	0.75	$97.73	BEARISH_BUILD	RISK_OFF
2026-03-21 04:11	-0.600	BEARISH	0.75	$97.62	BEARISH_BUILD	RISK_OFF
2026-03-21 04:09	-0.700	BEARISH	0.85	$97.53	BEARISH_BUILD	RISK_OFF
2026-03-21 04:07	-0.700	BEARISH	0.85	$97.61	BEARISH_BUILD	RISK_OFF
2026-03-21 04:03	-0.650	BEARISH	0.75	$97.88	BEARISH_BUILD	RISK_OFF
2026-03-21 03:58	-0.600	BEARISH	0.75	$98.04	BEARISH_BUILD	RISK_OFF
2026-03-21 03:55	-0.600	BEARISH	0.75	$98.08	BEARISH_BUILD	RISK_OFF
2026-03-21 03:53	-0.700	BEARISH	0.85	$98.28	BEARISH_BUILD	RISK_OFF
2026-03-21 03:48	-0.650	BEARISH	0.80	$98.34	BEARISH_BUILD	RISK_OFF
2026-03-21 03:45	-0.650	BEARISH	0.75	$98.38	BEARISH_BUILD	RISK_OFF
2026-03-21 03:41	-0.600	BEARISH	0.75	$98.27	BEARISH_BUILD	RISK_OFF
2026-03-21 03:38	-0.450	BEARISH	0.75	$98.25	BEARISH_BUILD	RISK_OFF
2026-03-21 03:34	-0.450	BEARISH	0.75	$98.17	BEARISH_BUILD	RISK_OFF