🛢️ Crude Oil Sentiment Dashboard

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⚡ Real-Time Engine

Status: RUNNING Polls: 22 Last Score: 2026-03-23 23:04 Last News: 2026-03-23 23:05 Last Trump: 2026-03-23 23:05

Trading Signal

SELL_OIL
HIGH confidence   NORMAL   Strength: 0.35   Trend: 19d

Composite Sentiment

-0.550
🔴 BEARISH  |  20 articles from 7 sources
Last refresh: 2026-03-23 23:05

WTI Crude Oil

$89.95
per barrel

EIA Inventory

+6.2 MM bbl
BEARISH_BUILD

Market Regime

RANGE BOUND

Supply Outlook

LOOSENING
Record-speed SPR deliveries adding to US crude supply
Reduced geopolitical supply disruption risks from Iran

Demand Outlook

SHRINKING
Hawkish Fed rhetoric raising probability of rate hikes that would suppress energy demand

News Sources

20
AlJazeera: 4
OilPrice.com: 4
GoogleNews: 3
Investing.com: 3
SeekingAlpha: 3
Finnhub:Reuters: 2
Finnhub:MarketWatch: 1

⏱ Micro Velocity (15m scalping)ALERT

5m
↘ -0.100
15m
↘ -0.300
30m
↘ -0.300
1h
↘ -0.250
状态
FADING
急速下行 ❄️
动量: -0.2150 平均Δ: -0.2375 ⚠ 短线显著变化!

⚡ Sentiment Velocity

6h
↘ -5.000
12h
↘ -2.500
24h
↘ -0.550
48h
↗ +0.050
趋势
REVERSING
趋势拐点
平均速度: -2.0000/day  |  加速度: -5.0500 (短期减速快于长期)

🔀 Price × Sentiment Divergence

窗口 象限 价格Δ 情绪Δ 背离
1h 确认下跌 -8.20 (-8.3%) -1.0000 ○
4h 确认下跌 -9.06 (-9.2%) -1.4000 ○
24h 确认下跌 -8.28 (-8.4%) -1.3000 ○
➤ 主窗口(1h): 价格与情绪同步下跌 — 抛售确认
⚠ 已过滤 944 条无效记录 (score≤0.01，可能原因: 系统离线/重启)

🤖 AI Analysis — doubao-seed-2-0-pro-260215

-0.550
Confidence: 0.82
  • US-Iran de-escalation confirmed via postponed military strikes and Iran nuclear agreement signal
  • US SPR barrels being delivered at record speeds adding short-term supply
  • Fed officials signaling potential rate hikes that would weigh on oil demand
Trading: {"action": "SHORT", "size": "quarter", "stop_loss": "WTI breaks above $94.00/bbl", "take_profit": "WTI falls to $87.00/bbl", "timeframe": "intraday"}
{"action": "做空", "size": "四分之一仓", "stop_loss": "WTI突破94.00美元/桶", "take_profit": "WTI回落至87.00美元/桶", "timeframe": "日内"}
Key Risks: Trump reverses de-escalation and orders immediate military strikes on Iran | Iran actually conducts military strikes on US assets or closes the Strait of Hormuz
特朗普推翻缓和立场，下令立即对伊朗发动军事打击 | 伊朗实际对美国资产发动军事打击或封锁霍尔木兹海峡
WTI faces moderate bearish pressure with ~1.3% expected intraday volatility, driven by fading geopolitical risk premium from confirmed US-Iran de-escalation, record SPR supply releases, and hawkish Fed rhetoric weighing on demand, remaining in a range-bound regime.
WTI面临中等看跌压力，预计日内波幅约1.3%，驱动因素包括美伊局势确认缓和后地缘风险溢价消退、创纪录的SPR原油投放增加短期供应，以及美联储鹰派言论压制需求，当前仍处于区间震荡格局。
▶ Reasoning / 推理过程
First, supply side: Accelerated SPR deliveries add immediate supply to the market, creating bearish pressure. Second, geopolitical risk: Confirmed de-escalation signals (postponed US strikes, Iran's nuclear agreement claim, denial of Diego Garcia attack) are eroding the prior 20%+ risk premium in oil prices. Third, demand side: Fed officials signaling potential rate hikes raise concerns about slower economic growth and reduced oil consumption. These signals are all high-priority, with minimal conflicting signals, supporting moderate bearish conviction. The expected 1.3% move aligns with an EIS of 52, in the small position range.
首先，供应端：美国加速投放SPR原油直接增加市场短期供应，形成看跌压力。其次，地缘风险：确认的缓和信号（美国推迟打击、伊朗称达成无核武协议、否认袭击迭戈加西亚）正在消解此前油价中20%以上的风险溢价。第三，需求端：美联储官员暗示可能加息，引发市场对经济增长放缓、石油消费下降的担忧。这些信号优先级均较高，冲突信号极少，支撑中等看跌 conviction。预期1.3%的波动对应EIS 52，属于小仓位建仓区间。

📊 Per-Article Analysis (20 items)

DateSourceArticleSupplyDemandGeo RiskImpactReasoning
2026-03-23 22:46GoogleNewsEnergy Department begins delivering SPR barrels at record spBEARISHNEUTRALNONE-0.70Accelerated SPR deliveries are a P2 presidential policy action that adds immediate supply to the market, with full weigh
2026-03-23 22:40Investing.comKremlin says monitoring "contradictory statements" on IranNEUTRALNEUTRALLOW+0.00Monitoring statement has no tangible impact on oil supply, demand or geopolitical risk.
2026-03-23 22:38OilPrice.comCould This Be China’s Strategy To Paralyze the Pentagon?NEUTRALNEUTRALLOW+0.00Rare earth supply commentary is unrelated to current oil market fundamentals, classified as P6 with no impact.
2026-03-23 22:30OilPrice.comHigh Oil Prices Could Force Fed To Raise RatesNEUTRALBEARISHNONE-0.20Analysis of oil-driven Fed hikes reinforces prior hawkish demand headwind signal, limited incremental impact.
2026-03-23 22:29GoogleNewsOil Prices Dive. Trump Says Iran Has Agreed to No Nuclear WeBEARISHNEUTRALMEDIUM-0.60Reported nuclear agreement signals diplomatic progress, further reducing conflict risk; classified as negotiation signal
2026-03-23 22:25SeekingAlphaGolar LNG: One Of The Biggest Winners From The Iran WarNEUTRALNEUTRALNONE+0.00Single stock analyst commentary is P6, no impact on broader WTI pricing.
2026-03-23 22:24GoogleNewsIf Iran war sends oil prices up 100%, here's what history saNEUTRALNEUTRALNONE+0.00Hypothetical scenario analysis is P6, no impact on current WTI pricing.
2026-03-23 22:13Investing.comUK’s Starmer calls emergency meeting on economy as Iran war NEUTRALNEUTRALLOW+0.00Emergency meeting reflects risk concern but has no direct impact on oil supply or demand fundamentals.
2026-03-23 22:01Investing.comAnalysis-BOJ’s narrative shift signals dogged commitment to NEUTRALBEARISHNONE-0.10BOJ hawkish signal adds minor global demand headwind, limited impact on WTI.
2026-03-23 22:00OilPrice.comWhy Military Force May Not Be Enough to Reopen the Strait ofBULLISHNEUTRALHIGH+0.20Analysis of Hormuz closure risks is partially offset by de-escalation signals, with minimal impact as the strait remains
2026-03-23 21:30OilPrice.comZombie Tankers Appear in Hormuz as War Fuels Traffic ChaosBULLISHNEUTRALMEDIUM+0.15Hormuz shipping disruptions create minor supply friction, offset by de-escalation signals.
2026-03-23 21:17Finnhub:MarketWatchFed’s Goolsbee says he could see circumstances where rate hiNEUTRALBEARISHNONE-0.30Hawkish Fed signal raises rate hike probability, which would weigh on economic growth and oil demand, with P5 demand sig
2026-03-23 21:07AlJazeeraMadrid protest against US blockade of CubaNEUTRALNEUTRALNONE+0.00Stale event unrelated to oil markets, already fully priced in with near-zero remaining impact.
2026-03-23 21:00AlJazeera‘False flag attack’: Iran denies claims it fired missiles atBEARISHNEUTRALMEDIUM-0.20Iran's denial of missile strike reinforces de-escalation, with minimal incremental impact as risk was already partially
2026-03-23 20:50AlJazeeraUS-Israeli war on Iran strains food, water and fuel prices iNEUTRALNEUTRALLOW+0.00Stale event with minimal global demand impact, already fully priced in.
2026-03-23 20:46AlJazeera‘NATO joining US-Israel’s war on Iran is between slim and noBEARISHNEUTRALMEDIUM-0.10Low NATO intervention risk reinforces de-escalation narrative, minimal incremental impact.
2026-03-23 20:27SeekingAlphaCalifornia Resources Boosted By Rising Brent-WTI SpreadNEUTRALNEUTRALNONE+0.00Single stock commentary on Brent-WTI spread is P6, no impact on front-month WTI pricing.
2026-03-23 19:29Finnhub:ReutersInstant view: World markets rally as Trump postpones militarBEARISHNEUTRALMEDIUM-0.80Postponed military strikes confirm de-escalation, reducing supply disruption risks and eroding geopolitical risk premium
2026-03-23 19:29SeekingAlphaSector winners from the Iran war: Energy, chemicals, satelliNEUTRALNEUTRALNONE+0.00Sector commentary is P6, no impact on WTI pricing.
2026-03-23 18:03Finnhub:ReutersTrump visits Memphis to tout crime-fighting efforts as Iran NEUTRALNEUTRALNONE+0.00Domestic policy event unrelated to oil markets, no impact.

Signal Notes

🔍 Manual Analysis Input

📢 Trump / Truth Social (12 posts, 2 oil-relevant)

TimePost
2026-03-23 22:29 RT @ realDonaldTrump I am a BIG proponent of ICE wearing masks as they search for, and are forced to deal with, hardened criminals, many of whom were
2026-03-23 22:29 OIL RT @ realDonaldTrump I AM PLEASED TO REPORT THAT THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA, AND THE COUNTRY OF IRAN, HAVE HAD, OVER THE LAST TWO DAYS, VERY GOOD AN
2026-03-23 22:28 For years, Democrats ignored Violent and Vicious Crime of all shapes, sizes, colors, and types. Violent Criminals who should have been locked up were
2026-03-23 22:10 Trump administration cancels $109M in environmentally focused transportation grants for Colorado: https:// coloradosun.com/2025/12/16/tru mp-administr
2026-03-23 22:09 Questions Grow as Lt. Michael Byrd, Who Shot Ashli Babbitt on Jan. 6, Operates a Taxpayer-Funded Home Daycare as $190 Million in Federal Child Care Fu
2026-03-23 22:09 https://www. theepochtimes.com/us/oklahoma- black-lives-matter-leader-indicted-over-alleged-3-15-million-embezzlement-5957229 [Link: Oklahoma Black Li
2026-03-23 22:08 Kelsey Grammer calls Trump ‘one of the greatest presidents we’ve ever had’ at Kennedy Center Honors: https:// nypost.com/2025/12/08/entertai nment/kel
2026-03-23 20:57 I am a BIG proponent of ICE wearing masks as they search for, and are forced to deal with, hardened criminals, many of whom were let into our Country
2026-03-23 19:23 OIL I AM PLEASED TO REPORT THAT THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA, AND THE COUNTRY OF IRAN, HAVE HAD, OVER THE LAST TWO DAYS, VERY GOOD AND PRODUCTIVE CONVERSA
2026-03-23 18:56 Gold price going bonkers reacting to the latest Trump TACO trade. Neils Christensen has a diploma in journalism from Lethbridge College and has more t

Sentiment History

TimestampScoreDirection Confidence WTIEIA SignalRegime
2026-03-23 23:04 -0.550 BEARISH 0.82 $89.95 BEARISH_BUILD RANGE_BOUND
2026-03-23 22:55 -0.450 BEARISH 0.80 $89.71 BEARISH_BUILD RANGE_BOUND
2026-03-23 22:48 -0.250 BEARISH 0.75 $89.28 BEARISH_BUILD RANGE_BOUND
2026-03-23 22:41 -0.300 BEARISH 0.75 $88.28 BEARISH_BUILD RANGE_BOUND
2026-03-23 22:33 -0.250 BEARISH 0.70 $88.92 BEARISH_BUILD RANGE_BOUND
2026-03-23 22:25 -0.350 BEARISH 0.75 $88.56 BEARISH_BUILD RANGE_BOUND
2026-03-23 22:15 -0.300 BEARISH 0.75 $89.11 BEARISH_BUILD RANGE_BOUND
2026-03-23 22:08 -0.200 BEARISH 0.75 $88.84 BEARISH_BUILD RANGE_BOUND
2026-03-23 22:01 -0.300 BEARISH 0.75 $89.49 BEARISH_BUILD RANGE_BOUND
2026-03-23 21:54 -0.200 BEARISH 0.75 $90.39 BEARISH_BUILD RANGE_BOUND
2026-03-23 21:39 -0.320 BEARISH 0.74 $90.96 BEARISH_BUILD RISK_ON
2026-03-23 21:32 -0.480 BEARISH 0.78 $89.80 BEARISH_BUILD RISK_ON
2026-03-23 21:23 -0.550 BEARISH 0.75 $89.66 BEARISH_BUILD RISK_ON
2026-03-23 21:15 -0.500 BEARISH 0.85 $89.56 BEARISH_BUILD RISK_ON
2026-03-23 21:07 -0.550 BEARISH 0.85 $88.96 BEARISH_BUILD RISK_ON
2026-03-23 20:59 -0.550 BEARISH 0.78 $91.08 BEARISH_BUILD RISK_ON
2026-03-23 20:49 -0.500 BEARISH 0.75 $91.46 BEARISH_BUILD RISK_ON
2026-03-23 20:40 -0.550 BEARISH 0.82 $91.58 BEARISH_BUILD RISK_ON
2026-03-23 20:33 -0.450 BEARISH 0.75 $91.94 BEARISH_BUILD RISK_ON
2026-03-23 20:27 -0.550 BEARISH 0.75 $92.32 BEARISH_BUILD RISK_ON
2026-03-23 20:17 -0.700 BEARISH 0.85 $92.67 BEARISH_BUILD RISK_ON
2026-03-23 19:53 -0.450 BEARISH 0.82 $90.01 BEARISH_BUILD RANGE_BOUND
2026-03-23 19:42 -0.250 BEARISH 0.78 $90.27 BEARISH_BUILD RANGE_BOUND
2026-03-23 19:31 -0.100 NEUTRAL 0.65 $87.65 BEARISH_BUILD RANGE_BOUND
2026-03-23 19:10 +0.450 BULLISH 0.65 $98.15 BEARISH_BUILD RISK_OFF
2026-03-23 18:35 +0.850 BULLISH 0.92 $99.01 BEARISH_BUILD RISK_OFF
2026-03-23 18:26 +0.900 BULLISH 0.92 $99.28 BEARISH_BUILD RISK_OFF
2026-03-23 18:16 +0.900 BULLISH 0.92 $99.04 BEARISH_BUILD RISK_OFF
2026-03-23 18:06 +0.850 BULLISH 0.92 $99.11 BEARISH_BUILD RISK_OFF
2026-03-23 17:55 +0.850 BULLISH 0.90 $99.34 BEARISH_BUILD RISK_OFF
2026-03-23 17:35 +0.800 BULLISH 0.85 $98.34 BEARISH_BUILD RISK_OFF
2026-03-23 17:14 +0.750 BULLISH 0.85 $99.53 BEARISH_BUILD RISK_OFF
2026-03-23 17:03 +0.700 BULLISH 0.85 $99.72 BEARISH_BUILD RISK_OFF
2026-03-23 16:53 +0.700 BULLISH 0.85 $99.88 BEARISH_BUILD RISK_OFF
2026-03-23 16:36 +0.550 BULLISH 0.78 $100.15 BEARISH_BUILD RISK_OFF
2026-03-23 16:25 +0.650 BULLISH 0.82 $100.58 BEARISH_BUILD RISK_OFF
2026-03-23 16:04 +0.650 BULLISH 0.78 $101.58 BEARISH_BUILD RISK_OFF
2026-03-23 15:57 +0.650 BULLISH 0.82 $101.43 BEARISH_BUILD RISK_OFF
2026-03-23 15:37 +0.850 BULLISH 0.88 $100.96 BEARISH_BUILD RISK_OFF
2026-03-23 15:27 +0.850 BULLISH 0.88 $100.79 BEARISH_BUILD RISK_OFF
Last scored: 2026-03-23 23:04  |  Models agree: No  |  Oil Sentiment Module v0.3.0 (Reasoning Engine)