🛢️ Crude Oil Sentiment Dashboard

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⚡ Real-Time Engine

Status: RUNNING Polls: 49 Last Score: 2026-03-24 02:13 Last News: 2026-03-24 02:07 Last Trump: 2026-03-24 02:06

Trading Signal

BUY_OIL
MEDIUM confidence   CAUTION   Strength: 0.35   Trend: 7d

Composite Sentiment

-0.150
🔴 BEARISH  |  20 articles from 10 sources
Last refresh: 2026-03-24 02:07

WTI Crude Oil

$88.78
per barrel

EIA Inventory

+6.2 MM bbl
BEARISH_BUILD

Market Regime

RANGE BOUND

Supply Outlook

BALANCED
Falling near-term military strike risk reduces expected supply disruptions
Sinopec avoiding Iranian crude keeps global supply tight
Hormuz shipping disruptions persist for most vessel traffic

Demand Outlook

STABLE
No material new demand signals in current intelligence feed
Risk-off sentiment from Iran conflict poses mild downside demand risk

News Sources

20
Finnhub:Reuters: 3
OilPrice.com: 3
SeekingAlpha: 2
GoogleNews: 2
Investing.com: 2
Investing.com-Cmd: 2
AlJazeera: 2
FMP: 2
Finnhub:MarketWatch: 1
TruthSocial: 1

⏱ Micro Velocity (15m scalping)ALERT

5m
↘ -0.600
15m
↘ -0.600
30m
↘ -0.600
1h
↘ -0.650
状态
FADING
急速下行 ❄️
动量: -0.6050 平均Δ: -0.6125 ⚠ 短线显著变化!

⚡ Sentiment Velocity

6h
↗ +1.200
12h
↘ -1.700
24h
↘ -0.850
48h
↗ +0.250
趋势
STABLE
平稳
平均速度: -0.2750/day  |  加速度: +0.9500 (短期加速快于长期)

🔀 Price × Sentiment Divergence

窗口 象限 价格Δ 情绪Δ 背离
1h 确认下跌 -0.54 (-0.6%) -0.6500 ○
4h 确认下跌 -9.37 (-9.6%) -0.6000 ○
24h 确认下跌 -9.45 (-9.6%) -0.8500 ○
➤ 主窗口(1h): 价格与情绪同步下跌 — 抛售确认
⚠ 已过滤 954 条无效记录 (score≤0.01，可能原因: 系统离线/重启)

🤖 AI Analysis — doubao-seed-2-0-pro-260215

-0.150
Confidence: 0.65
  • Trump postpones Iran energy strikes and reports progress in negotiations with Tehran
  • Sinopec confirms no Iranian crude purchases despite US waiver
  • Strait of Hormuz shipping remains mostly disrupted despite limited tanker transits
Trading: {"action": "HOLD", "size": "flat", "stop_loss": "N/A for flat position, avoid entries if WTI moves above $91 intraday", "take_profit": "N/A for flat position, watch for $86 support level on further de-escalation", "timeframe": "intraday"}
{"action": "观望", "size": "空仓", "stop_loss": "", "take_profit": "", "timeframe": "日内"}
Key Risks: Iranian parliament denies existence of US talks, raising risk of escalation | Israeli pushback against US-Iran de-escalation could reignite military tensions
伊朗议会否认与美国存在谈判，提升冲突升级风险 | 以色列反对美伊缓和立场可能重新引发军事紧张局势
WTI faces mild bearish pressure from US-Iran de-escalation signals, but persistent geopolitical risks limit downside, keeping expected volatility in the 0.3-0.8% range.
美伊缓和信号给WTI带来温和下行压力，但持续的地缘政治风险限制跌幅，预计日内波动率在0.3-0.8%区间。
▶ Reasoning / 推理过程
First, P4 negotiation signals from Trump (postponing strikes and citing progress in Iran talks) are the dominant driver, creating near-term bearish pressure as military escalation risk recedes. Second, bearish signals are partially offset by confirmed lack of Sinopec Iranian crude purchases and continued Hormuz shipping disruptions, which keep supply risks elevated. Third, all other signals are either stale (Fed comments, old EIA data) or low-priority market commentary, with no high-impact P1/P2 active signals to drive larger volatility. Time decay is minimal for fresh signals published within the last 6 hours, while older developing events retain ~70-80% of their impact.
首先，特朗普发布的P4级谈判信号（推迟对伊朗打击并提及谈判取得进展）是核心驱动因素，随着军事升级风险消退，带来短期下行压力。其次，中石化确认不购买伊朗原油、霍尔木兹海峡航运仍多数中断等因素部分抵消了利空信号，供应风险仍处于高位。第三，其余信号要么已经过时（美联储言论、旧EIA数据），要么是低优先级市场评论，没有高影响力的P1/P2级活跃信号推动更大波动。过去6小时内发布的新信号时间衰减极小，更早的发展中事件仍保留70-80%的影响力。

📊 Per-Article Analysis (20 items)

DateSourceArticleSupplyDemandGeo RiskImpactReasoning
2026-03-24 02:00OilPrice.comUK Faces Calls for Temporary Cap on Energy Company ProfitsNEUTRALNEUTRALLOW+0.00P6 policy proposal with no confirmation of implementation, no material impact on global crude supply/demand
2026-03-24 01:54Investing.comRisk-off trade keeps gold volatile as Iran war spooks investNEUTRALNEUTRALMEDIUM+0.00P6 market sentiment commentary, reflects existing geopolitical risk already priced into oil markets
2026-03-24 01:48Investing.com-CmdOne battle after another: Iran war deals new blow to Europe’NEUTRALBEARISHMEDIUM-0.05P5 demand signal, highlights mild downside risk to European industrial energy demand, low magnitude impact
2026-03-24 01:36GoogleNewsLiberty Energy shares slide as crude oil prices retreat, preNEUTRALNEUTRALNONE+0.00P6 market commentary, equity reaction is a laggard effect of oil price moves, not a new driving signal
2026-03-24 01:30OilPrice.comChina’s Sinopec not Buying Iranian Crude despite U.S. WaiverBULLISHNEUTRALMEDIUM+0.12P5 supply signal, reduces expected Iranian crude exports, supporting tight global supply balances
2026-03-24 01:29Investing.com-CmdTruist warns oil shock may pressure aerospace aftermarket stNEUTRALBEARISHLOW-0.03P5 demand signal, reflects minor potential downside to jet fuel demand in an extreme oil shock scenario, low relevance f
2026-03-24 01:24GoogleNewsAmeriprise Financial : Why the Conflict in the Middle East INEUTRALNEUTRALMEDIUM+0.00P6 market commentary, no new actionable information on supply or demand drivers
2026-03-24 01:10SeekingAlphaEnergy Secretary says U.S. looking to boost diesel supply amNEUTRALNEUTRALLOW+0.00P2 policy signal focused on diesel, no implementation details released, no material impact on crude markets
2026-03-24 01:09AlJazeeraHow Israel is reacting to Trump’s ‘de-escalation’ with IranBULLISHNEUTRALHIGH+0.10P4 geopolitical risk signal, Israeli opposition to de-escalation raises risk of renewed conflict that could disrupt supp
2026-03-24 01:00OilPrice.comThe Energy Trilemma Matters More Than EverNEUTRALNEUTRALNONE+0.00P6 editorial content, no actionable new data or policy signals for crude markets
2026-03-24 00:48SeekingAlphaTotalEnergies signs agreement with Interior Department to enNEUTRALNEUTRALNONE+0.00Renewables-related news with no material impact on crude oil markets
2026-03-24 00:11Investing.comIran denies US talks as parliament speaker calls reports fakBULLISHNEUTRALHIGH+0.12P4 geopolitical signal, contradicts US reports of negotiation progress, raising near-term escalation risk
2026-03-23 23:13AlJazeeraEnergy, water, bonds: What are Iran’s targets if Trump hits BULLISHNEUTRALHIGH+0.08P4 geopolitical threat signal, highlights potential supply disruption risk if escalation resumes, low magnitude as strik
2026-03-23 21:54Finnhub:ReutersTrump says US has 'major points of agreement' in talks with BEARISHNEUTRALMEDIUM-0.16P4 negotiation signal with 60% discount per rules, 0.4 weight * -0.4 impact * 1.0 decay = -0.16
2026-03-23 21:37TruthSocialWhy Cleveland-Cliffs Stock Is Climbing Monday Afternoon. PreBEARISHNEUTRALMEDIUM-0.16P4 negotiation signal, 60% discount applied, confirms postponement of strikes and de-escalation progress
2026-03-23 21:35FMPCarnival Heads Into Earnings With Fuel Risks — But Oil RelieNEUTRALNEUTRALNONE+0.00P6 equity market commentary, reaction to oil price moves rather than a driver of crude pricing
2026-03-23 21:28FMPGold (XAUUSD), Silver, Platinum Forecasts – Gold Rebounds FrNEUTRALNEUTRALNONE+0.00P6 market commentary on precious metals, no relevance to crude oil price drivers
2026-03-23 21:17Finnhub:MarketWatchFed’s Goolsbee says he could see circumstances where rate hiNEUTRALNEUTRALNONE+0.00STALE signal, conditional rate hike comments already fully priced in with no new impact
2026-03-23 20:46Finnhub:ReutersGas tankers sail through Hormuz to India, most ships still sBULLISHNEUTRALHIGH+0.15P4 geopolitical signal, partial transits do not resolve broad shipping disruptions that tighten global energy supply
2026-03-23 20:43Finnhub:ReutersTrump postpones Iran energy strikes, LaGuardia and France elBEARISHNEUTRALMEDIUM-0.20P4 policy-related signal, reduces immediate military supply disruption risk, no material new details to drive larger imp

Signal Notes

🔍 Manual Analysis Input

📢 Trump / Truth Social (12 posts, 3 oil-relevant)

TimePost
2026-03-23 22:29 RT @ realDonaldTrump I am a BIG proponent of ICE wearing masks as they search for, and are forced to deal with, hardened criminals, many of whom were
2026-03-23 22:29 OIL RT @ realDonaldTrump I AM PLEASED TO REPORT THAT THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA, AND THE COUNTRY OF IRAN, HAVE HAD, OVER THE LAST TWO DAYS, VERY GOOD AN
2026-03-23 22:28 For years, Democrats ignored Violent and Vicious Crime of all shapes, sizes, colors, and types. Violent Criminals who should have been locked up were
2026-03-23 22:10 Trump administration cancels $109M in environmentally focused transportation grants for Colorado: https:// coloradosun.com/2025/12/16/tru mp-administr
2026-03-23 22:09 Questions Grow as Lt. Michael Byrd, Who Shot Ashli Babbitt on Jan. 6, Operates a Taxpayer-Funded Home Daycare as $190 Million in Federal Child Care Fu
2026-03-23 22:09 https://www. theepochtimes.com/us/oklahoma- black-lives-matter-leader-indicted-over-alleged-3-15-million-embezzlement-5957229 [Link: Oklahoma Black Li
2026-03-23 22:08 Kelsey Grammer calls Trump ‘one of the greatest presidents we’ve ever had’ at Kennedy Center Honors: https:// nypost.com/2025/12/08/entertai nment/kel
2026-03-23 21:37 OIL Why Cleveland-Cliffs Stock Is Climbing Monday Afternoon. President Donald Trump said early Monday that the U.S. would pause strikes against Iranian en
2026-03-23 21:08 France's TotalEnergies Walks Away From U.S. Offshore Wind in Boost to Trump's Push Against Windpower. The energy company said it would no longer devel
2026-03-23 20:57 I am a BIG proponent of ICE wearing masks as they search for, and are forced to deal with, hardened criminals, many of whom were let into our Country

Sentiment History

TimestampScoreDirection Confidence WTIEIA SignalRegime
2026-03-24 02:13 -0.150 BEARISH 0.65 $88.78 BEARISH_BUILD RANGE_BOUND
2026-03-24 01:56 +0.450 BULLISH 0.72 $88.73 BEARISH_BUILD RISK_OFF
2026-03-24 01:48 +0.150 BULLISH 0.62 $89.12 BEARISH_BUILD RANGE_BOUND
2026-03-24 01:19 +0.450 BULLISH 0.75 $89.42 BEARISH_BUILD RISK_OFF
2026-03-24 01:11 +0.500 BULLISH 0.75 $89.32 BEARISH_BUILD RISK_OFF
2026-03-24 01:03 +0.600 BULLISH 0.85 $89.63 BEARISH_BUILD RISK_OFF
2026-03-24 00:56 +0.450 BULLISH 0.75 $90.45 BEARISH_BUILD RISK_OFF
2026-03-24 00:49 +0.450 BULLISH 0.78 $90.78 BEARISH_BUILD RISK_OFF
2026-03-24 00:41 +0.450 BULLISH 0.85 $91.29 BEARISH_BUILD RISK_OFF
2026-03-24 00:34 +0.400 BULLISH 0.75 $90.89 BEARISH_BUILD RISK_OFF
2026-03-24 00:24 +0.250 BULLISH 0.75 $90.21 BEARISH_BUILD RISK_OFF
2026-03-24 00:10 -0.200 BEARISH 0.75 $90.07 BEARISH_BUILD RANGE_BOUND
2026-03-24 00:04 -0.350 BEARISH 0.72 $88.93 BEARISH_BUILD RANGE_BOUND
2026-03-23 23:55 -0.420 BEARISH 0.72 $88.27 BEARISH_BUILD RANGE_BOUND
2026-03-23 23:50 -0.320 BEARISH 0.72 $86.79 BEARISH_BUILD RANGE_BOUND
2026-03-23 23:42 -0.350 BEARISH 0.75 $86.89 BEARISH_BUILD RANGE_BOUND
2026-03-23 23:35 -0.350 BEARISH 0.72 $86.97 BEARISH_BUILD RANGE_BOUND
2026-03-23 23:29 -0.500 BEARISH 0.75 $85.89 BEARISH_BUILD RANGE_BOUND
2026-03-23 23:22 -0.500 BEARISH 0.75 $86.74 BEARISH_BUILD RANGE_BOUND
2026-03-23 23:13 -0.520 BEARISH 0.78 $89.67 BEARISH_BUILD RANGE_BOUND
2026-03-23 23:04 -0.550 BEARISH 0.82 $89.95 BEARISH_BUILD RANGE_BOUND
2026-03-23 22:55 -0.450 BEARISH 0.80 $89.71 BEARISH_BUILD RANGE_BOUND
2026-03-23 22:48 -0.250 BEARISH 0.75 $89.28 BEARISH_BUILD RANGE_BOUND
2026-03-23 22:41 -0.300 BEARISH 0.75 $88.28 BEARISH_BUILD RANGE_BOUND
2026-03-23 22:33 -0.250 BEARISH 0.70 $88.92 BEARISH_BUILD RANGE_BOUND
2026-03-23 22:25 -0.350 BEARISH 0.75 $88.56 BEARISH_BUILD RANGE_BOUND
2026-03-23 22:15 -0.300 BEARISH 0.75 $89.11 BEARISH_BUILD RANGE_BOUND
2026-03-23 22:08 -0.200 BEARISH 0.75 $88.84 BEARISH_BUILD RANGE_BOUND
2026-03-23 22:01 -0.300 BEARISH 0.75 $89.49 BEARISH_BUILD RANGE_BOUND
2026-03-23 21:54 -0.200 BEARISH 0.75 $90.39 BEARISH_BUILD RANGE_BOUND
2026-03-23 21:39 -0.320 BEARISH 0.74 $90.96 BEARISH_BUILD RISK_ON
2026-03-23 21:32 -0.480 BEARISH 0.78 $89.80 BEARISH_BUILD RISK_ON
2026-03-23 21:23 -0.550 BEARISH 0.75 $89.66 BEARISH_BUILD RISK_ON
2026-03-23 21:15 -0.500 BEARISH 0.85 $89.56 BEARISH_BUILD RISK_ON
2026-03-23 21:07 -0.550 BEARISH 0.85 $88.96 BEARISH_BUILD RISK_ON
2026-03-23 20:59 -0.550 BEARISH 0.78 $91.08 BEARISH_BUILD RISK_ON
2026-03-23 20:49 -0.500 BEARISH 0.75 $91.46 BEARISH_BUILD RISK_ON
2026-03-23 20:40 -0.550 BEARISH 0.82 $91.58 BEARISH_BUILD RISK_ON
2026-03-23 20:33 -0.450 BEARISH 0.75 $91.94 BEARISH_BUILD RISK_ON
2026-03-23 20:27 -0.550 BEARISH 0.75 $92.32 BEARISH_BUILD RISK_ON
Last scored: 2026-03-24 02:13  |  Models agree: No  |  Oil Sentiment Module v0.3.0 (Reasoning Engine)