🛢️ Crude Oil Sentiment Dashboard

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⚡ Real-Time Engine

Status: RUNNING Polls: 145 Last Score: 2026-03-23 15:37 Last News: 2026-03-23 15:39 Last Trump: 2026-03-23 15:38

Trading Signal

BUY_OIL
HIGH confidence   STRONG   Strength: 0.77   Trend: 38d

Composite Sentiment

+0.850
🟢 BULLISH  |  24 articles from 9 sources
Last refresh: 2026-03-23 15:39

WTI Crude Oil

$100.96
per barrel

EIA Inventory

+6.2 MM bbl
BEARISH_BUILD

Market Regime

RISK OFF

Supply Outlook

TIGHTENING
Active military conflict raising risk of Strait of Hormuz closure (20% of global oil flows)
Strikes hitting Middle East oil infrastructure directly reducing available supply
Potential IEA SPR release is the only near-term offset to supply tightness

Demand Outlook

STABLE
Minor emerging market demand headwinds from high oil prices are offset by stable global growth outlook
No broad demand destruction signals observed to date

News Sources

24
GoogleNews: 7
Investing.com: 5
FMP: 3
AlJazeera: 2
TruthSocial: 2
SeekingAlpha: 2
Investing.com-Cmd: 1
OilPrice.com: 1
Finnhub:Reuters: 1

⏱ Micro Velocity (15m scalping)ALERT

5m
→ +0.000
15m
↗ +0.050
30m
→ +0.000
1h
↗ +0.150
状态
SURGING
急速上行 🔥
动量: +0.0300 平均Δ: +0.0500 ⚠ 短线显著变化!

⚡ Sentiment Velocity

6h
↗ +3.000
12h
→ +0.000
24h
↗ +1.150
48h
↗ +0.850
趋势
ACCELERATING
加速上行
平均速度: +1.2500/day  |  加速度: +2.1500 (短期加速快于长期)

🔀 Price × Sentiment Divergence

窗口 象限 价格Δ 情绪Δ 背离
1h 确认上涨 +1.80 (+1.8%) +0.1500 ○
4h 确认上涨 +2.42 (+2.5%) +0.1500 ○
24h 价格偏强 +2.73 (+2.8%) -0.0500 ○
➤ 主窗口(1h): 价格与情绪同步上涨 — 趋势确认
⚠ 已过滤 920 条无效记录 (score≤0.01，可能原因: 系统离线/重启)

🤖 AI Analysis — doubao-seed-2-0-pro-260215

+0.850
Confidence: 0.88
  • Active US-Iran military conflict with confirmed strikes on Iranian territory, raising risk of Strait of Hormuz supply disruption
  • IEA warning of energy crisis worse than 1970s oil shocks amid ongoing hostilities
  • Reports of strikes hitting Middle East oil infrastructure directly tightening short-term supply outlook
Trading: {"action": "STRONG_LONG", "size": "half", "stop_loss": "WTI breaks below $97.50", "take_profit": "$105.00, or if confirmed de-escalation of Iran conflict", "timeframe": "intraday"}
{"action": "强力做多", "size": "半仓", "stop_loss": "WTI跌破97.50美元", "take_profit": "105.00美元，或伊朗冲突确认降级时止盈", "timeframe": "日内"}
Key Risks: De-escalation of Iran conflict leading to rapid repricing of supply disruption risk | IEA announces large coordinated SPR release to offset supply shortages
伊朗冲突降级，导致供应中断风险被快速重新定价 | 国际能源署宣布大规模协同释放战略石油储备以抵消供应缺口
Escalating US-Iran military conflict remains the dominant bullish driver for WTI, with confirmed strikes raising extreme supply disruption risks from the Strait of Hormuz. Expected intraday move is ~2.7%, in line with EIS 78, with bullish conviction remaining high as no meaningful de-escalation signals have emerged.
美伊军事冲突升级仍是WTI油价的主要看涨驱动因素，已确认的空袭提升了霍尔木兹海峡供应中断的极端风险。预计日内波动约2.7%，对应EIS 78，由于尚未出现实质性降级信号，看涨信心维持高位。
▶ Reasoning / 推理过程
First, P1 active military conflict in Iran with confirmed strikes and infrastructure damage is the highest priority signal, overriding all lower-tier signals. Second, the 48-hour half-life for war escalation means existing supply risk signals remain largely undecayed, with no de-escalation updates to reduce bullish momentum. Third, minor bearish signals (potential IEA SPR release, emerging market demand headwinds) are low priority and only marginally offset the dominant bullish supply risk. Confidence is high as multiple independent sources confirm ongoing conflict and supply disruption risks.
首先，伊朗境内已确认的P1级 active军事冲突及基础设施损毁是最高优先级信号，覆盖所有低层级信号。其次，战争升级信号的半衰期为48小时，现有供应风险信号基本未衰减，尚未出现降级信号削弱看涨动能。第三，潜在IEA释储、新兴市场需求逆风等次要看跌信号优先级低，仅小幅抵消主导性看涨供应风险。由于多个独立信源确认冲突持续及供应中断风险，信心水平较高。

📊 Per-Article Analysis (20 items)

DateSourceArticleSupplyDemandGeo RiskImpactReasoning
2026-03-23 15:18Investing.comGoldman Sachs expects ECB rate hikes in April and June as inNEUTRALBEARISHLOW-0.04P5 macro signal, potential rate hikes have minor, delayed demand impact, negligible for near-term oil pricing.
2026-03-23 15:07AlJazeeraWorld in energy crisis worse than 1970s’ oil shocks combinedBULLISHNEUTRALHIGH+0.60New P1-aligned official warning confirming extreme supply risk from the Iran conflict, reinforces bullish supply outlook
2026-03-23 14:48Investing.com-CmdOne battle after another: Iran war deals new blow to Europe’NEUTRALNEUTRALNONE-0.02Stale analytical commentary, fully priced in, near-zero residual demand impact.
2026-03-23 14:42Investing.comStocks skid to four-month low as oil shock spooks investorsNEUTRALBEARISHLOW-0.06P5 demand signal, minor risk-off asset reaction with minimal impact on oil demand fundamentals.
2026-03-23 14:30OilPrice.comIndia Holds Fuel Prices Steady Even as Oil Basket Soars AbovNEUTRALBEARISHLOW-0.09P5 demand signal, minor potential demand erosion from Indian fuel price subsidies, low overall impact.
2026-03-23 14:14GoogleNewsAs strikes hit oil facilities as a result of the conflict inBULLISHNEUTRALHIGH+0.65P1 active military conflict signal, confirmation of oil infrastructure strikes directly tightens supply outlook.
2026-03-23 14:06Investing.comECB must act in case of second-round inflation impacts, VP tNEUTRALBEARISHLOW-0.03P5 macro signal, potential ECB policy tightening has minimal near-term oil demand impact.
2026-03-23 13:36Investing.comAnalysis-BOJ’s narrative shift signals dogged commitment to NEUTRALBEARISHLOW-0.03P5 macro signal, BOJ policy tightening has negligible near-term impact on global oil demand.
2026-03-23 12:59SeekingAlphaGoldman Sachs raises 2026 Brent crude forecast by $8 to $85 NEUTRALNEUTRALNONE+0.08P6 analyst forecast, low priority, minimal marginal impact on current pricing.
2026-03-23 12:09GoogleNewsDow Jones Futures, Oil Prices Waver After Trump Threats To 'NEUTRALNEUTRALNONE+0.00Stale event, already fully priced in with no new updates, near-zero residual impact.
2026-03-23 11:50GoogleNewsTrump sanctions waiver for Iran crude oil: What does it meanNEUTRALNEUTRALMEDIUM+0.06Minor policy analysis with no new confirmed details, minimal impact on supply outlook.
2026-03-23 11:19AlJazeeraImmense damage seen in Iran’s streets after air strikesBULLISHNEUTRALHIGH+0.70P1 active military conflict signal, confirmation of strike damage reinforces supply disruption risk, minimal decay to da
2026-03-23 11:00SeekingAlphaNatural Gas Services: Naturally Strong With Potential GrowthNEUTRALNEUTRALNONE+0.00Natural gas sector commentary unrelated to WTI crude fundamentals, no impact.
2026-03-23 10:55GoogleNewsIndian shares fall, rupee at record low as Middle East tensiNEUTRALBEARISHLOW-0.03P5 demand signal, emerging market asset volatility with minimal impact on oil consumption.
2026-03-23 10:47FMPHere Are 2 Energy Stock-Buying Strategies To Employ During tNEUTRALNEUTRALNONE+0.03P6 investment commentary, no impact on crude oil fundamentals.
2026-03-23 10:41FMPKraken Robotics: Iran War Signals That The Next Arms Race IsNEUTRALNEUTRALNONE+0.00Defense sector stock commentary unrelated to crude oil fundamentals, no impact.
2026-03-23 10:14Finnhub:ReutersIEA discussing further oil stock releases, chief Birol says BEARISHNEUTRALLOW-0.24P2 policy-related signal, potential SPR release would partially offset supply tightness, but no confirmed details yet.
2026-03-23 10:11FMPIron ore miners could face billions more in fuel costs due tNEUTRALBEARISHLOW-0.09P5 demand signal, minor industrial cost headwind with negligible impact on global oil demand.
2026-03-23 06:59TruthSocialUS Ground Troops To Enter Iran Soon? Odds Climb On Crypto PrBULLISHNEUTRALMEDIUM+0.24P6 market commentary on prediction market odds, low credibility, 60% discount applied to base impact.
2026-03-22 20:24TruthSocialNow with the death of Iran, the greatest enemy America has iNEUTRALNEUTRALNONE+0.00Domestic political rhetoric with no policy or geopolitical content, no impact on oil markets.

Signal Notes

🔍 Manual Analysis Input

📢 Trump / Truth Social (20 posts, 4 oil-relevant)

TimePost
2026-03-23 11:48 PEACE THROUGH STRENGTH, TO PUT IT MILDLY!!!
2026-03-23 10:07 OIL Oil prices whipsaw as Trump's Hormuz ultimatum and Iran threats keep markets on edge. Crude prices were volatile early in the session before paring in
2026-03-23 08:31 I don’t think we should make any deal with the Crazy, Country Destroying, Radical Left Democrats unless, and until, they Vote with Republicans to pass
2026-03-23 06:59 OIL US Ground Troops To Enter Iran Soon? Odds Climb On Crypto Prediction Market In A Week As Tensions Escalate. Polymarket odds of US troops entering Iran
2026-03-22 22:40 Schumer got “discombobulated” in the Senate yesterday, and said, “WE MUST FUND ICE,” prior to correcting himself. Thank you Chuck, I agree! President
2026-03-22 22:40 The Democrat running in Texas, James Talarico, turns out to be a FRAUD! It showed after the Election when he beat Low IQ Candidate Jasmine Crockett (N
2026-03-22 21:46 RT: https://truthsocial.com/users/realDonaldTrump/statuses/116273127672345044
2026-03-22 21:34 THE LIES OF ROBERT MUELLER AND HIS CRIMINAL GANG: https:// stonezone.com/russian-collusio n-lies-recycled-yet-again/ [Link: THE LIES OF ROBERT MUELLER
2026-03-22 21:33 SAVE America Act Hits the Achilles Heel of Democrats’ Fraud Scheme: https://www. stonecoldtruth.com/p/save-amer ica-act-hits-the-achilles [Link: SAVE
2026-03-22 20:24 OIL Now with the death of Iran, the greatest enemy America has is the Radical Left, Highly Incompetent, Democrat Party! Thank you for your attention to th

Sentiment History

TimestampScoreDirection Confidence WTIEIA SignalRegime
2026-03-23 15:37 +0.850 BULLISH 0.88 $100.96 BEARISH_BUILD RISK_OFF
2026-03-23 15:27 +0.850 BULLISH 0.88 $100.79 BEARISH_BUILD RISK_OFF
2026-03-23 15:16 +0.800 BULLISH 0.85 $100.64 BEARISH_BUILD RISK_OFF
2026-03-23 15:05 +0.850 BULLISH 0.88 $100.48 BEARISH_BUILD RISK_OFF
2026-03-23 12:51 +0.700 BULLISH 0.75 $99.16 BEARISH_BUILD RISK_OFF
2026-03-23 12:33 +0.700 BULLISH 0.85 $99.14 BEARISH_BUILD RISK_OFF
2026-03-23 12:24 +0.650 BULLISH 0.78 $99.20 BEARISH_BUILD RISK_OFF
2026-03-23 10:43 +0.700 BULLISH 0.85 $98.54 BEARISH_BUILD RISK_OFF
2026-03-23 10:33 +0.850 BULLISH 0.90 $98.59 BEARISH_BUILD RISK_OFF
2026-03-23 10:21 +0.850 BULLISH 0.88 $98.75 BEARISH_BUILD RISK_OFF
2026-03-23 07:37 +0.100 NEUTRAL 0.55 $98.28 BEARISH_BUILD RANGE_BOUND
2026-03-23 07:21 +0.750 BULLISH 0.82 $98.00 BEARISH_BUILD RISK_OFF
2026-03-23 07:14 +0.750 BULLISH 0.85 $98.10 BEARISH_BUILD RISK_OFF
2026-03-23 07:08 +0.700 BULLISH 0.85 $97.89 BEARISH_BUILD RISK_OFF
2026-03-23 06:32 +0.200 BULLISH 0.65 $98.75 BEARISH_BUILD RANGE_BOUND
2026-03-23 06:05 +0.000 NEUTRAL 0.85 $98.23 BEARISH_BUILD RANGE_BOUND
2026-03-23 06:00 +0.000 NEUTRAL 0.75 $98.23 BEARISH_BUILD RANGE_BOUND
2026-03-23 05:48 +0.750 BULLISH 0.85 $98.23 BEARISH_BUILD RISK_OFF
2026-03-23 05:42 +0.700 BULLISH 0.85 $98.23 BEARISH_BUILD RISK_OFF
2026-03-23 05:36 +0.750 BULLISH 0.85 $98.23 BEARISH_BUILD RISK_OFF
2026-03-23 05:25 +0.650 BULLISH 0.85 $98.23 BEARISH_BUILD RISK_OFF
2026-03-23 05:18 +0.700 BULLISH 0.85 $98.23 BEARISH_BUILD RISK_OFF
2026-03-23 04:56 +0.100 NEUTRAL 0.45 $98.23 BEARISH_BUILD RANGE_BOUND
2026-03-23 04:34 +0.750 BULLISH 0.82 $98.23 BEARISH_BUILD RISK_OFF
2026-03-23 04:27 +0.650 BULLISH 0.78 $98.23 BEARISH_BUILD RISK_OFF
2026-03-23 04:21 +0.750 BULLISH 0.85 $98.23 BEARISH_BUILD RISK_OFF
2026-03-23 04:08 +0.600 BULLISH 0.75 $98.23 BEARISH_BUILD RISK_OFF
2026-03-23 04:02 +0.700 BULLISH 0.85 $98.23 BEARISH_BUILD RISK_OFF
2026-03-23 03:52 +0.700 BULLISH 0.85 $98.23 BEARISH_BUILD RISK_OFF
2026-03-23 03:15 +0.850 BULLISH 0.90 $98.23 BEARISH_BUILD RISK_OFF
2026-03-23 02:42 +0.850 BULLISH 0.90 $98.23 BEARISH_BUILD RISK_OFF
2026-03-23 02:26 +0.750 BULLISH 0.90 $98.23 BEARISH_BUILD RISK_OFF
2026-03-23 01:35 +0.700 BULLISH 0.85 $98.23 BEARISH_BUILD RISK_OFF
2026-03-23 01:25 +0.750 BULLISH 0.88 $98.23 BEARISH_BUILD RISK_OFF
2026-03-23 01:15 +0.850 BULLISH 0.90 $98.23 BEARISH_BUILD RISK_OFF
2026-03-23 01:06 +0.750 BULLISH 0.88 $98.23 BEARISH_BUILD RISK_OFF
2026-03-23 00:27 +0.750 BULLISH 0.85 $98.23 BEARISH_BUILD RISK_OFF
2026-03-22 23:57 +0.550 BULLISH 0.75 $98.23 BEARISH_BUILD RISK_OFF
2026-03-22 23:49 +0.550 BULLISH 0.70 $98.23 BEARISH_BUILD RISK_OFF
2026-03-22 23:38 +0.550 BULLISH 0.72 $98.23 BEARISH_BUILD RISK_OFF
Last scored: 2026-03-23 15:37  |  Models agree: No  |  Oil Sentiment Module v0.3.0 (Reasoning Engine)