🛢️ Crude Oil Sentiment Dashboard

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⚡ Real-Time Engine

Status: RUNNING Polls: 318 Last Score: 2026-03-21 09:04 Last News: 2026-03-21 09:06 Last Trump: 2026-03-21 09:06

Trading Signal

SELL_OIL
HIGH confidence   CAUTION   Strength: 0.67   Trend: 155d

Composite Sentiment

-0.650
🔴 BEARISH  |  43 articles from 7 sources
Last refresh: 2026-03-21 09:06

WTI Crude Oil

$98.09
per barrel

EIA Inventory

+6.2 MM bbl
BEARISH_BUILD

Market Regime

RISK OFF

Supply Outlook

LOOSENING
US authorizes Iranian oil sales
Large inventory build (+6.2M bbl)

Demand Outlook

STABLE
No fresh demand growth signals
UK contingency plans suggest downside risk

News Sources

43
TruthSocial: 19
Investing.com: 7
GoogleNews: 5
SeekingAlpha: 4
FMP: 4
OilPrice.com: 2
Finnhub:Reuters: 2

⏱ Micro Velocity (15m scalping)ALERT

5m
→ +0.000
15m
→ +0.000
30m
→ +0.000
1h
↗ +0.200
状态
SURGING
急速上行 🔥
动量: +0.0200 平均Δ: +0.0500 ⚠ 短线显著变化!

⚡ Sentiment Velocity

6h
↘ -1.000
12h
↘ -1.000
24h
↘ -0.400
趋势
DECELERATING
快速衰减
平均速度: -0.8000/day  |  加速度: -0.6000 (短期减速快于长期)

🔀 Price × Sentiment Divergence DIVERGENT

窗口 象限 价格Δ 情绪Δ 背离
1h 派发预警 +1.56 (+1.6%) -1.0500
4h 派发预警 +1.56 (+1.6%) -1.0500
24h 派发预警 +3.45 (+3.6%) -0.8000
➤ 主窗口(1h): 价格上涨但情绪走弱 — 高位派发预警
⚠ 已过滤 529 条无效记录 (score≤0.01,可能原因: 系统离线/重启)

🤖 AI Analysis — DeepSeek (deepseek-chat)

-0.650
Confidence: 0.75
  • US authorizes temporary Iranian oil sales
  • Diplomatic efforts to ease Iran war concerns
  • Large US crude inventory build
  • Trump signals potential war wind-down
Bearish pressure persists as supply-side developments (Iranian oil authorization, inventory build) and de-escalating geopolitical signals outweigh current elevated price levels, pointing toward loosening market conditions.
看跌压力持续,供应端发展(伊朗石油授权、库存增加)和地缘政治降级信号超过当前高油价水平,指向市场条件趋于宽松。
▶ Reasoning / 推理过程
Following the reasoning chain: (1) SUPPLY: The US authorization for temporary Iranian oil sales (+6.2M bbl inventory build) adds immediate bearish pressure. (2) DEMAND: No new demand signals in fresh feed, but UK contingency plans suggest potential demand destruction. (3) GEOPOLITICAL: Diplomatic efforts to ease Iran war concerns reduce risk premium. (4) PRESIDENTIAL: Trump's previous 'winding down' statement (NEGOTIATION_SIGNAL, weight 0.4) reinforces de-escalation. Synthesis shows supply loosening and geopolitical risk reduction dominate, maintaining bearish bias.
遵循推理链:(1) 供应:美国临时授权伊朗石油销售(+620万桶库存增加)带来直接看跌压力。(2) 需求:新鲜资讯中无新需求信号,但英国应急计划暗示潜在需求破坏。(3) 地缘政治:缓解伊朗战争担忧的外交努力降低风险溢价。(4) 总统影响:特朗普此前'逐步结束'声明(谈判信号,权重0.4)强化降级预期。综合显示供应宽松和地缘政治风险降低占主导,维持看跌倾向。

📊 Per-Article Analysis (20 items)

DateSourceArticleSupplyDemandGeo RiskImpactReasoning
2026-03-21 08:30Investing.comBarclays warns of succession risks as Fed and DOJ enter collNEUTRALBEARISHLOW-0.10Institutional instability could lead to economic uncertainty and reduced demand.
2026-03-21 08:17GoogleNewsTariffs squeezed small businesses but the Iran war is now puNEUTRALBEARISHMEDIUM-0.10War impacts on small businesses suggest potential economic slowdown and demand destruction.
2026-03-21 08:05GoogleNewsLowering speed limits among contingency plans to curb UK oilNEUTRALBEARISHLOW-0.10Demand destruction measures in UK could reduce regional oil consumption.
2026-03-21 07:50SeekingAlphaBrent crude climbs for fifth straight week as U.S. sends morNEUTRALNEUTRALHIGH+0.00STALE - Troop deployment already priced in, no new supply/demand information.
2026-03-21 07:19Investing.comTrump mulls Iran exit strategy as S&P 500 trackers rally 0.9NEUTRALNEUTRALMEDIUM+0.00STALE - Exit strategy discussion already priced in from previous Trump statement.
2026-03-21 07:00OilPrice.comWhy the Iran War May Have Just Killed the AI BoomNEUTRALBEARISHMEDIUM-0.20War disruption to tech sector could reduce economic growth and oil demand.
2026-03-21 07:00Investing.comWall Street skids as Middle East turmoil fans inflation fearNEUTRALBEARISHMEDIUM-0.20Market fear of inflation from turmoil could lead to demand destruction via economic slowdown.
2026-03-21 06:02SeekingAlphaBrazil's Lula proposes Petrobras partnership with Mexico's PBEARISHNEUTRALLOW-0.10Potential long-term supply increase from Latin American cooperation.
2026-03-21 06:01Finnhub:ReutersHow Trump's stated reasons, goals and timeline for Iran war NEUTRALNEUTRALMEDIUM+0.00STALE - War narrative shifts already analyzed, no new supply/demand impact.
2026-03-21 06:01TruthSocialThe Great State of Colorado, and a pathetic RINO District AtNEUTRALNEUTRALNONE+0.00STALE - Domestic political commentary with no oil market relevance.
2026-03-21 05:55GoogleNewsOil Declines as US, Israel Seek to Ease Concerns Over Iran WNEUTRALNEUTRALMEDIUM-0.10DEVELOPING - Diplomatic de-escalation continues, reducing war risk premium (no change from previous).
2026-03-21 05:44SeekingAlphaEnergy Transfer: 4 Critical Risks Hidden Behind The Oil PricNEUTRALNEUTRALLOW+0.00STALE - Risk analysis of specific company, no broader market supply/demand change.
2026-03-21 05:23Finnhub:ReutersTrump says US getting close to meeting objectives in Iran waNEUTRALNEUTRALMEDIUM+0.00STALE - Same content as Trump's direct statement below, already analyzed.
2026-03-21 05:13TruthSocialWe are getting very close to meeting our objectives as we coNEUTRALNEUTRALMEDIUM-0.36War wind-down signal reduces geopolitical risk premium (weight 0.4 × -0.9 base impact).
2026-03-21 05:00OilPrice.comThe Startup That Cracked the Code for Commercial Thermal BatNEUTRALBEARISHNONE-0.10Energy storage technology could reduce long-term oil demand for power generation.
2026-03-21 04:50GoogleNewsOil Prices Today: After Spiking to $119, How Much Higher CanNEUTRALNEUTRALLOW+0.00DEVELOPING - Price commentary with no new fundamental information (no change from previous).
2026-03-21 04:05FMPOil Prices Are Bullish. Why Are Bets for a Fall Rising?NEUTRALNEUTRALLOW+0.00STALE - Market positioning commentary with no fundamental supply/demand change.
2026-03-21 03:15FMPPhillips 66 (PSX) Sees a More Significant Dip Than Broader MNEUTRALNEUTRALNONE+0.00Single stock movement with no broader oil market supply/demand implications.
2026-03-21 03:09FMPUS authorizes temporary delivery, sale of oil originating frBEARISHNEUTRALMEDIUM-0.90Direct supply increase to market as US allows Iranian oil sales, significant bearish pressure.
2026-03-21 02:49TruthSocial(image/video only)NEUTRALNEUTRALNONE+0.00DEVELOPING - Media-only post with no text content, no oil market impact (no change).

Signal Notes

🔍 Manual Analysis Input

📢 Trump / Truth Social (19 posts, 5 oil-relevant)

TimePost
2026-03-21 06:01 The Great State of Colorado, and a pathetic RINO District Attorney, together with the Radical Left Governor, gave a wonderful woman named Tina Peters,
2026-03-21 05:13 OIL We are getting very close to meeting our objectives as we consider winding down our great Military efforts in the Middle East with respect to the Terr
2026-03-21 02:49 (image/video only)
2026-03-20 21:56 I met with Hope Scheppelman and her husband Steven, of the Radical Left State of Colorado, to discuss various opportunities to serve our Country in a
2026-03-20 21:43 OIL Without the U.S.A., NATO IS A PAPER TIGER! They didn’t want to join the fight to stop a Nuclear Powered Iran. Now that fight is Militarily WON, with v
2026-03-20 21:27 THE SAVE AMERICA ACT MUST BE PASSED BY THE SENATE. THERE IS NOTHING THAT IS MORE IMPORTANT FOR THE U.S.A. Voter I.D., Proof of Citizenship, etc. Get i
2026-03-20 21:22 CONGRESS, PASS THE FARM BILL, NOW! President DJT
2026-03-20 05:16 They Threw Everything They Had at Donald Trump. He’s Still Standing. America Is Better For It: https://www. citynewsokc.com/opinion/they-t hrew-everyt
2026-03-20 04:54 GAVIN M. WAX: Trump Quietly Set Up Future Of American Manufacturing With Stroke Of A Pen: https:// dailycaller.com/2026/02/22/gav in-wax-donald-trump-
2026-03-20 04:54 You Should Be Terrified by What JPMorgan Did to Trump: https:// townhall.com/columnists/dougla smackinnon/2026/02/23/you-should-be-terrorized-by-what-

Sentiment History

TimestampScoreDirection Confidence WTIEIA SignalRegime
2026-03-21 09:04 -0.650 BEARISH 0.75 $98.09 BEARISH_BUILD RISK_OFF
2026-03-21 09:02 -0.700 BEARISH 0.85 $98.09 BEARISH_BUILD RISK_OFF
2026-03-21 08:57 -0.650 BEARISH 0.75 $98.09 BEARISH_BUILD RISK_OFF
2026-03-21 08:54 -0.700 BEARISH 0.85 $98.09 BEARISH_BUILD RISK_OFF
2026-03-21 08:52 -0.650 BEARISH 0.75 $98.09 BEARISH_BUILD RISK_OFF
2026-03-21 08:50 -0.700 BEARISH 0.75 $98.09 BEARISH_BUILD RISK_OFF
2026-03-21 08:46 -0.650 BEARISH 0.75 $98.09 BEARISH_BUILD RISK_OFF
2026-03-21 08:43 -0.700 BEARISH 0.85 $98.09 BEARISH_BUILD RISK_OFF
2026-03-21 08:39 -0.650 BEARISH 0.75 $98.09 BEARISH_BUILD RISK_OFF
2026-03-21 08:37 -0.700 BEARISH 0.85 $98.09 BEARISH_BUILD RISK_OFF
2026-03-21 08:33 -0.650 BEARISH 0.75 $98.09 BEARISH_BUILD RISK_OFF
2026-03-21 08:30 -0.700 BEARISH 0.85 $98.09 BEARISH_BUILD RISK_OFF
2026-03-21 08:26 -0.700 BEARISH 0.85 $98.09 BEARISH_BUILD RISK_OFF
2026-03-21 08:24 -0.700 BEARISH 0.85 $98.09 BEARISH_BUILD RISK_OFF
2026-03-21 08:20 -0.650 BEARISH 0.75 $98.09 BEARISH_BUILD RISK_OFF
2026-03-21 08:18 -0.600 BEARISH 0.75 $98.09 BEARISH_BUILD RISK_OFF
2026-03-21 08:13 -0.700 BEARISH 0.75 $98.09 BEARISH_BUILD RISK_OFF
2026-03-21 08:11 -0.850 BEARISH 0.85 $98.09 BEARISH_BUILD RISK_OFF
2026-03-21 08:07 -0.850 BEARISH 0.85 $98.09 BEARISH_BUILD RISK_OFF
2026-03-21 08:04 -0.850 BEARISH 0.85 $98.09 BEARISH_BUILD RISK_OFF
2026-03-21 08:00 -0.850 BEARISH 0.85 $98.09 BEARISH_BUILD RISK_OFF
2026-03-21 07:58 -0.850 BEARISH 0.85 $98.09 BEARISH_BUILD RISK_OFF
2026-03-21 07:54 -0.850 BEARISH 0.85 $98.09 BEARISH_BUILD RISK_OFF
2026-03-21 07:52 -0.850 BEARISH 0.85 $98.09 BEARISH_BUILD RISK_OFF
2026-03-21 07:48 -0.800 BEARISH 0.85 $98.09 BEARISH_BUILD RISK_OFF
2026-03-21 07:43 -0.750 BEARISH 0.85 $98.09 BEARISH_BUILD RISK_OFF
2026-03-21 07:39 -0.700 BEARISH 0.85 $98.09 BEARISH_BUILD RISK_OFF
2026-03-21 07:37 -0.650 BEARISH 0.85 $98.09 BEARISH_BUILD RISK_OFF
2026-03-21 07:35 -0.600 BEARISH 0.75 $98.09 BEARISH_BUILD RISK_OFF
2026-03-21 07:31 -0.750 BEARISH 0.85 $98.09 BEARISH_BUILD RISK_OFF
2026-03-21 07:29 -0.750 BEARISH 0.85 $98.09 BEARISH_BUILD RISK_OFF
2026-03-21 07:24 -0.700 BEARISH 0.80 $98.09 BEARISH_BUILD RISK_OFF
2026-03-21 07:22 -0.850 BEARISH 0.90 $98.09 BEARISH_BUILD RISK_OFF
2026-03-21 07:18 -0.700 BEARISH 0.85 $98.09 BEARISH_BUILD RISK_OFF
2026-03-21 07:14 -0.350 BEARISH 0.80 $98.09 BEARISH_BUILD RISK_OFF
2026-03-21 07:09 -0.350 BEARISH 0.75 $98.09 BEARISH_BUILD RISK_OFF
2026-03-21 07:07 -0.350 BEARISH 0.75 $98.09 BEARISH_BUILD RISK_OFF
2026-03-21 07:03 -0.350 BEARISH 0.75 $98.09 BEARISH_BUILD RISK_OFF
2026-03-21 06:59 -0.450 BEARISH 0.70 $98.09 BEARISH_BUILD RISK_OFF
2026-03-21 06:57 -0.450 BEARISH 0.75 $98.09 BEARISH_BUILD RISK_OFF