🛢️ Crude Oil Sentiment Dashboard

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⚡ Real-Time Engine

Status: RUNNING Polls: 4 Last Score: 2026-03-23 20:49 Last News: 2026-03-23 20:50 Last Trump: 2026-03-23 20:50

Trading Signal

SELL_OIL

HIGH confidence STRONG Strength: 0.49 Trend: 3d

Composite Sentiment

-0.500

🔴 BEARISH | 19 articles from 9 sources
Last refresh: 2026-03-23 20:50

WTI Crude Oil

$91.46

per barrel

EIA Inventory

+6.2 MM bbl

BEARISH_BUILD

Market Regime

RISK ON

Supply Outlook

LOOSENING

Immediate Iran military strike risk eliminated, Hormuz supply disruption risk eases
Saudi cuts April crude supplies to Asia for second consecutive month

Demand Outlook

STABLE

No material new demand signals, macro conditions stable

News Sources

FMP: 4
AlJazeera: 3
GoogleNews: 3
Finnhub:Reuters: 2
SeekingAlpha: 2
OilPrice.com: 2
Investing.com-Cmd: 1
TruthSocial: 1
Investing.com: 1

⏱ Micro Velocity (15m scalping)ALERT

↗ +0.050

15m

↘ -0.050

30m

↗ +0.200

↘ -0.250

状态

TURNING_UP

探底回升 ↪️

动量: +0.0200 平均Δ: -0.0125 ⚠ 短线显著变化!

⚡ Sentiment Velocity

↘ -4.800

12h

↘ -1.200

24h

↘ -1.200

48h

↘ -0.250

趋势

DECELERATING

快速衰减

平均速度: -1.8625/day | 加速度: -4.5500 (短期减速快于长期)

🔀 Price × Sentiment Divergence

窗口	象限	价格Δ	情绪Δ	背离
1h	确认下跌	-6.69 (-6.8%)	-0.9500	○
4h	确认下跌	-8.69 (-8.7%)	-1.0500	○
24h	确认下跌	-6.77 (-6.9%)	-1.2000	○

➤ 主窗口(1h): 价格与情绪同步下跌 — 抛售确认

⚠ 已过滤 928 条无效记录 (score≤0.01，可能原因: 系统离线/重启)

🤖 AI Analysis — doubao-seed-2-0-pro-260215

-0.500

Confidence: 0.75

Trump postpones Iran military strikes for 5 days, confirms de-escalation talks
Indian cargoes transiting Hormuz confirms chokepoint is not fully closed
Saudi supply cuts to Asia partially offset bearish de-escalation pressure

Trading: {"action": "SHORT", "size": "quarter", "stop_loss": "WTI breaks above $94.00", "take_profit": "WTI falls to $89.50", "timeframe": "intraday"}

{"action": "做空", "size": "四分之一仓", "stop_loss": "WTI突破94.00美元", "take_profit": "WTI回落至89.50美元", "timeframe": "日内"}

Key Risks: Trump reverses course on strike postponement abruptly | Iran makes new threats to close Hormuz unexpectedly

特朗普突然取消打击推迟的决定 | 伊朗意外发出关闭霍尔木兹海峡的新威胁

WTI faces moderate bearish pressure driven by confirmed U.S.-Iran de-escalation and easing Strait of Hormuz supply disruption risks, partially offset by Saudi supply cuts to Asia. Expected intraday move is ~1.3% lower with high confidence.

受美伊局势确认缓和、霍尔木兹海峡供应中断风险下降推动，WTI面临中度看跌压力，沙特对亚洲的供应削减部分抵消了下行压力。预计日内波动约1.3%，信心较高。

▶ Reasoning / 推理过程

First, supply-side analysis: The highest-priority signal is Trump's confirmed 5-day postponement of military strikes on Iran (P2 policy action), eliminating immediate conflict risk and sharply reducing Hormuz closure premiums. New reports of Indian LPG cargoes transiting the strait confirm it remains operational, further easing supply fears, partially offset by Saudi supply cuts to Asia due to prior chokepoint disruptions. Demand signals are stable with no material new data. Geopolitical risk has declined materially as both sides signal willingness to negotiate, though conflicting talk reports limit downside conviction. Time decay is minimal as all key de-escalation signals are <6 hours old. Weighted synthesis shows de-escalation dominates, leading to moderate bearish bias with 1-1.5% expected intraday move.

首先，供应面分析：最高优先级信号是特朗普确认将对伊朗军事打击推迟5天（P2政策行动），消除了即时冲突风险，大幅降低了霍尔木兹海峡关闭的风险溢价。印度液化石油气货轮正在通过海峡的最新报道确认海峡仍可通行，进一步缓解了供应担忧，而沙特因此前航道中断削减对亚洲供应的消息部分抵消了下行压力。需求信号稳定，无重大新数据。随着双方都释放谈判意愿，地缘政治风险大幅下降，但双方关于谈判的矛盾报道限制了下行信心。所有关键缓和信号发布均不足6小时，时间衰减极小。加权合成显示局势缓和占据主导，带来中度看跌倾向，预计日内波动1-1.5%。

📊 Per-Article Analysis (19 items)

Date	Source	Article	Supply	Demand	Geo Risk	Impact	Reasoning
2026-03-23 20:28	GoogleNews	Markets rally, then pull back after Trump and Iran give conf	NEUTRAL	NEUTRAL	MEDIUM	+0.05	Conflicting talk reports introduce mild uncertainty, limiting the magnitude of de-escalation downside.
2026-03-23 20:28	Investing.com-Cmd	U.S. stock futures jump, oil slides after Trump touts ’produ	BEARISH	NEUTRAL	LOW	-0.10	Confirmation of market pricing in de-escalation, no new fundamental signal.
2026-03-23 20:12	Investing.com	Yardeni sees 3 paths that could split or unite Fed factions	NEUTRAL	NEUTRAL	NONE	+0.00	Monetary policy commentary, no material impact on oil demand expectations.
2026-03-23 20:06	GoogleNews	Buy this auto services stock as worries of higher oil prices	NEUTRAL	NEUTRAL	NONE	+0.00	Market commentary, no new fundamental signal for oil pricing.
2026-03-23 20:03	GoogleNews	The Mystery of the Gold Crash: Why the Middle East Conflict	NEUTRAL	NEUTRAL	NONE	+0.00	Market commentary on gold, no impact on oil fundamentals.
2026-03-23 19:42	AlJazeera	Trump shares SNL skit mocking Starmer as he speaks to UK PM	NEUTRAL	NEUTRAL	NONE	+0.00	Political rhetoric with no policy substance, no impact on oil market fundamentals.
2026-03-23 19:30	OilPrice.com	Saudi Arabia Slashes Oil Supply to Asia as War Chokes Export	BULLISH	NEUTRAL	MEDIUM	+0.20	Saudi supply cuts to Asia partially offset bearish de-escalation pressure, reflecting prior Hormuz disruptions.
2026-03-23 19:29	SeekingAlpha	Sector winners from the Iran war: Energy, chemicals, satelli	NEUTRAL	NEUTRAL	NONE	+0.00	Market commentary, no new fundamental information for oil pricing.
2026-03-23 19:18	AlJazeera	Has Iran brought down an ‘unkillable’ US F-35 jet?	NEUTRAL	NEUTRAL	MEDIUM	+0.03	Unconfirmed military report introduces minimal geopolitical uncertainty, no material supply impact.
2026-03-23 19:16	SeekingAlpha	Smart Sand: Relatively Good Bet In Oil Services	NEUTRAL	NEUTRAL	NONE	+0.00	Oil services stock commentary, no impact on WTI price fundamentals.
2026-03-23 19:13	AlJazeera	Trump postpones military strikes on Iranian power plants for	BEARISH	NEUTRAL	HIGH	-0.50	P2 policy action confirming immediate military strike risk is removed, sharply reduces Hormuz closure premium.
2026-03-23 18:30	OilPrice.com	Indian LPG Cargoes Pass Through Strait of Hormuz	BEARISH	NEUTRAL	HIGH	-0.20	Confirms Strait of Hormuz is not fully closed, materially reduces supply disruption risk premiums.
2026-03-23 17:33	Finnhub:Reuters	UK sees no evidence of Iran targeting Britain, says Starmer	BEARISH	NEUTRAL	LOW	-0.08	UK de-escalation signal reduces multi-national conflict risk, minimal impact on oil supply.
2026-03-23 17:10	Finnhub:Reuters	Crude oil's Catch-22: Pricing for Trump TACO trade makes it	NEUTRAL	NEUTRAL	NONE	+0.00	Market commentary, no new fundamental signal.
2026-03-23 16:30	FMP	5 Things to Know Before the Stock Market Opens	BEARISH	NEUTRAL	LOW	-0.05	Confirms market pricing of de-escalation, no new fundamental signal.
2026-03-23 16:30	FMP	Envoy Medical Reports Full Year 2025 Financial Results	NEUTRAL	NEUTRAL	NONE	+0.00	Unrelated to oil markets, no impact.
2026-03-23 16:30	FMP	Jabil Announces $1.1M Multi-Year Donation to St. Petersburg	NEUTRAL	NEUTRAL	NONE	+0.00	Unrelated to oil markets, no impact.
2026-03-23 16:27	FMP	California Resources Boosted By Rising Brent-WTI Spread	NEUTRAL	NEUTRAL	NONE	+0.00	Company-specific news, no impact on broader WTI supply/demand balance.
2026-03-22 20:24	TruthSocial	Now with the death of Iran, the greatest enemy America has i	NEUTRAL	NEUTRAL	NONE	+0.00	Political rhetoric with no policy substance related to Iran military action, no impact.

Signal Notes

Rolling 7-day sentiment: -0.493
Direction: BEARISH for 3 consecutive period(s)
Sentiment velocity: -1.8625/day (快速衰减)
Micro(TURNING_UP): momentum +0.0200, 探底回升 ↪️
⚠ MICRO ALERT: Significant short-term sentiment shift detected
Divergence(1h): CONFIRMED_SELLOFF (price -6.69, sent -0.9500)
⚠ Divergence: 已过滤 928 条无效记录 (score≤0.01，可能原因: 系统离线/重启)
STRONG: Bearish momentum confirmed

🔍 Manual Analysis Input

📢 Trump / Truth Social (19 posts, 3 oil-relevant)

Time	Post
2026-03-23 19:23	OIL I AM PLEASED TO REPORT THAT THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA, AND THE COUNTRY OF IRAN, HAVE HAD, OVER THE LAST TWO DAYS, VERY GOOD AND PRODUCTIVE CONVERSA
2026-03-23 16:30	OIL 5 Things to Know Before the Stock Market Opens. Stocks pointed to a higher open Monday as markets enter the week on a four-week losing streak; Crude o
2026-03-23 11:48	PEACE THROUGH STRENGTH, TO PUT IT MILDLY!!!
2026-03-23 08:31	I don’t think we should make any deal with the Crazy, Country Destroying, Radical Left Democrats unless, and until, they Vote with Republicans to pass
2026-03-22 22:40	Schumer got “discombobulated” in the Senate yesterday, and said, “WE MUST FUND ICE,” prior to correcting himself. Thank you Chuck, I agree! President
2026-03-22 22:40	The Democrat running in Texas, James Talarico, turns out to be a FRAUD! It showed after the Election when he beat Low IQ Candidate Jasmine Crockett (N
2026-03-22 21:46	RT: https://truthsocial.com/users/realDonaldTrump/statuses/116273127672345044
2026-03-22 21:34	THE LIES OF ROBERT MUELLER AND HIS CRIMINAL GANG: https:// stonezone.com/russian-collusio n-lies-recycled-yet-again/ [Link: THE LIES OF ROBERT MUELLER
2026-03-22 21:33	SAVE America Act Hits the Achilles Heel of Democrats’ Fraud Scheme: https://www. stonecoldtruth.com/p/save-amer ica-act-hits-the-achilles [Link: SAVE
2026-03-22 20:24	OIL Now with the death of Iran, the greatest enemy America has is the Radical Left, Highly Incompetent, Democrat Party! Thank you for your attention to th

Sentiment History

Timestamp	Score	Direction	Confidence	WTI	EIA Signal	Regime
2026-03-23 20:49	-0.500	BEARISH	0.75	$91.46	BEARISH_BUILD	RISK_ON
2026-03-23 20:40	-0.550	BEARISH	0.82	$91.58	BEARISH_BUILD	RISK_ON
2026-03-23 20:33	-0.450	BEARISH	0.75	$91.94	BEARISH_BUILD	RISK_ON
2026-03-23 20:27	-0.550	BEARISH	0.75	$92.32	BEARISH_BUILD	RISK_ON
2026-03-23 20:17	-0.700	BEARISH	0.85	$92.67	BEARISH_BUILD	RISK_ON
2026-03-23 19:53	-0.450	BEARISH	0.82	$90.01	BEARISH_BUILD	RANGE_BOUND
2026-03-23 19:42	-0.250	BEARISH	0.78	$90.27	BEARISH_BUILD	RANGE_BOUND
2026-03-23 19:31	-0.100	NEUTRAL	0.65	$87.65	BEARISH_BUILD	RANGE_BOUND
2026-03-23 19:10	+0.450	BULLISH	0.65	$98.15	BEARISH_BUILD	RISK_OFF
2026-03-23 18:35	+0.850	BULLISH	0.92	$99.01	BEARISH_BUILD	RISK_OFF
2026-03-23 18:26	+0.900	BULLISH	0.92	$99.28	BEARISH_BUILD	RISK_OFF
2026-03-23 18:16	+0.900	BULLISH	0.92	$99.04	BEARISH_BUILD	RISK_OFF
2026-03-23 18:06	+0.850	BULLISH	0.92	$99.11	BEARISH_BUILD	RISK_OFF
2026-03-23 17:55	+0.850	BULLISH	0.90	$99.34	BEARISH_BUILD	RISK_OFF
2026-03-23 17:35	+0.800	BULLISH	0.85	$98.34	BEARISH_BUILD	RISK_OFF
2026-03-23 17:14	+0.750	BULLISH	0.85	$99.53	BEARISH_BUILD	RISK_OFF
2026-03-23 17:03	+0.700	BULLISH	0.85	$99.72	BEARISH_BUILD	RISK_OFF
2026-03-23 16:53	+0.700	BULLISH	0.85	$99.88	BEARISH_BUILD	RISK_OFF
2026-03-23 16:36	+0.550	BULLISH	0.78	$100.15	BEARISH_BUILD	RISK_OFF
2026-03-23 16:25	+0.650	BULLISH	0.82	$100.58	BEARISH_BUILD	RISK_OFF
2026-03-23 16:04	+0.650	BULLISH	0.78	$101.58	BEARISH_BUILD	RISK_OFF
2026-03-23 15:57	+0.650	BULLISH	0.82	$101.43	BEARISH_BUILD	RISK_OFF
2026-03-23 15:37	+0.850	BULLISH	0.88	$100.96	BEARISH_BUILD	RISK_OFF
2026-03-23 15:27	+0.850	BULLISH	0.88	$100.79	BEARISH_BUILD	RISK_OFF
2026-03-23 15:16	+0.800	BULLISH	0.85	$100.64	BEARISH_BUILD	RISK_OFF
2026-03-23 15:05	+0.850	BULLISH	0.88	$100.48	BEARISH_BUILD	RISK_OFF
2026-03-23 12:51	+0.700	BULLISH	0.75	$99.16	BEARISH_BUILD	RISK_OFF
2026-03-23 12:33	+0.700	BULLISH	0.85	$99.14	BEARISH_BUILD	RISK_OFF
2026-03-23 12:24	+0.650	BULLISH	0.78	$99.20	BEARISH_BUILD	RISK_OFF
2026-03-23 10:43	+0.700	BULLISH	0.85	$98.54	BEARISH_BUILD	RISK_OFF
2026-03-23 10:33	+0.850	BULLISH	0.90	$98.59	BEARISH_BUILD	RISK_OFF
2026-03-23 10:21	+0.850	BULLISH	0.88	$98.75	BEARISH_BUILD	RISK_OFF
2026-03-23 07:37	+0.100	NEUTRAL	0.55	$98.28	BEARISH_BUILD	RANGE_BOUND
2026-03-23 07:21	+0.750	BULLISH	0.82	$98.00	BEARISH_BUILD	RISK_OFF
2026-03-23 07:14	+0.750	BULLISH	0.85	$98.10	BEARISH_BUILD	RISK_OFF
2026-03-23 07:08	+0.700	BULLISH	0.85	$97.89	BEARISH_BUILD	RISK_OFF
2026-03-23 06:32	+0.200	BULLISH	0.65	$98.75	BEARISH_BUILD	RANGE_BOUND
2026-03-23 06:05	+0.000	NEUTRAL	0.85	$98.23	BEARISH_BUILD	RANGE_BOUND
2026-03-23 06:00	+0.000	NEUTRAL	0.75	$98.23	BEARISH_BUILD	RANGE_BOUND
2026-03-23 05:48	+0.750	BULLISH	0.85	$98.23	BEARISH_BUILD	RISK_OFF