🛢️ Crude Oil Sentiment Dashboard

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⚡ Real-Time Engine

Status: RUNNING Polls: 6 Last Score: 2026-03-23 00:27 Last News: 2026-03-23 00:29 Last Trump: 2026-03-23 00:29

Trading Signal

BUY_OIL
MEDIUM confidence   STRONG   Strength: 0.49   Trend: 2d

Composite Sentiment

+0.750
🟢 BULLISH  |  37 articles from 9 sources
Last refresh: 2026-03-23 00:29

WTI Crude Oil

$98.23
per barrel

EIA Inventory

+6.2 MM bbl
BEARISH_BUILD

Market Regime

RISK OFF

Supply Outlook

TIGHTENING
Imminent risk of Strait of Hormuz closure disrupting 20% of global oil supply
U.S. SPR release of 45 million barrels partially offsets near-term supply risks

Demand Outlook

STABLE
No material new demand signals, current demand remains stable amid geopolitical volatility

News Sources

37
AlJazeera: 11
GoogleNews: 8
SeekingAlpha: 4
Investing.com: 3
Finnhub:Reuters: 3
TruthSocial: 3
FMP: 3
OilPrice.com: 1
Investing.com-Cmd: 1

⏱ Micro Velocity (15m scalping)ALERT

5m
↗ +0.200
15m
↗ +0.200
30m
↗ +0.200
1h
↗ +0.300
状态
SURGING
急速上行 🔥
动量: +0.2100 平均Δ: +0.2250 ⚠ 短线显著变化!

⚡ Sentiment Velocity

6h
↗ +1.800
12h
↗ +1.500
24h
↗ +1.400
48h
↗ +0.575
趋势
ACCELERATING
加速上行
平均速度: +1.3187/day  |  加速度: +1.2250 (短期加速快于长期)

🔀 Price × Sentiment Divergence

窗口 象限 价格Δ 情绪Δ 背离
1h 情绪回暖 +0.00 (+0.0%) +0.3000
4h 横盘 +0.00 (+0.0%) -0.0500
24h 横盘 +0.00 (+0.0%) +0.0500
➤ 主窗口(1h): 情绪回暖但价格未跟随
⚠ 已过滤 918 条无效记录 (score≤0.01,可能原因: 系统离线/重启)

🤖 AI Analysis — doubao-seed-2-0-pro-260215

+0.750
Confidence: 0.85
  • Iran Revolutionary Guards explicitly threaten full closure of Strait of Hormuz if U.S. targets Iranian energy assets
  • Active Iran missile strikes on Israel, UAE, and Kuwait escalate regional military conflict risk near critical energy infrastructure
  • Trump's 48-hour ultimatum to Iran to fully open Hormuz raises imminent supply disruption risk
Trading: {"action": "LONG", "size": "half", "stop_loss": "WTI breaks below $95.5/bbl", "take_profit": "$103/bbl or if Hormuz closure risk is explicitly eliminated", "timeframe": "swing_2d"}
{"action": "做多", "size": "半仓", "stop_loss": "WTI跌破95.5美元/桶", "take_profit": "103美元/桶,或霍尔木兹海峡关闭风险被明确消除", "timeframe": "2日波段"}
Key Risks: Iran de-escalates tensions and commits to keeping Hormuz open before the ultimatum expires | U.S. and Iran reach a last-minute diplomatic resolution avoiding military action | U.S. announces immediate SPR release to offset potential supply gaps
伊朗在最后通牒到期前缓和局势,承诺保持霍尔木兹海峡开放 | 美伊在最后一刻达成外交和解,避免军事行动 | 美国宣布立即释放战略石油储备以抵消潜在供应缺口
Escalating military tensions between Iran and the U.S./Israel, paired with explicit threats to close the Strait of Hormuz (which carries ~20% of global oil supply), create significant bullish upside risk for WTI prices with expected 1.5-3% intraday volatility.
伊朗与美以之间军事紧张局势升级,加上伊朗明确威胁关闭承载全球约20%石油供应的霍尔木兹海峡,为WTI价格带来显著上行风险,预计日内波动率在1.5-3%区间。
▶ Reasoning / 推理过程
First, active Iranian missile strikes on U.S. allies in the Gulf are P1 priority military conflict signals, driving a 72 EIS consistent with 1.5-3% expected price moves. Second, Iran's explicit threat to close the Strait of Hormuz in response to U.S. action creates extreme supply disruption risk, supporting a +75 bullish direction. Third, recent signals are all within 12 hours of publication with minimal time decay, and no conflicting high-priority signals exist, leading to 85% confidence. The 45 million barrel SPR release is a low-impact offset that does not negate the supply risk from potential Hormuz closure.
首先,伊朗对海湾地区美国盟友的主动导弹打击属于P1优先级军事冲突信号,对应72的EIS,符合1.5-3%的预期价格波动区间。其次,伊朗明确威胁若美国采取行动将关闭霍尔木兹海峡,带来极端供应中断风险,支撑+75的看涨方向。第三,近期信号均发布不足12小时,时间衰减极小,且无冲突的高优先级信号,因此信心水平达85%。4500万桶战略石油储备释放的影响较低,不足以抵消霍尔木兹海峡关闭带来的供应风险。

📊 Per-Article Analysis (20 items)

DateSourceArticleSupplyDemandGeo RiskImpactReasoning
2026-03-22 23:53GoogleNewsOil Prices Climb as Middle East Conflict Threatens Energy InBULLISHNEUTRALMEDIUM+0.20Market commentary on existing Middle East risk, P6 priority, minimal incremental impact.
2026-03-22 23:48GoogleNewsU.S. Awards Contracts for 45 Million Barrels of Oil from StrBEARISHNEUTRALLOW-0.30SPR release is a P2 priority signal, small offset to bullish supply risk.
2026-03-22 23:40AlJazeeraIran claims missile attacks on key Israeli military basesBULLISHNEUTRALHIGH+0.90Active military strikes on U.S. allies in the Gulf, P1 priority signal, high supply disruption risk.
2026-03-22 23:33Investing.comIran, U.S. trade barbs as Hormuz tensions grow amid Trump’s BULLISHNEUTRALHIGH+0.70Confirmation of escalating Hormuz tensions tied to Trump's ultimatum, P1 priority signal.
2026-03-22 23:25AlJazeeraIranian authorities taunt US, Israel, EU amid strikes and asBULLISHNEUTRALMEDIUM+0.30Signals ongoing hostile rhetoric supporting escalation risk, incremental bullish impact.
2026-03-22 23:24SeekingAlphaBessent defends Iran strikes amid oil price surgeNEUTRALNEUTRALLOW+0.00Policy commentary with no new substantive information, no material impact.
2026-03-22 23:20GoogleNews‘The stakes are enormous’: how a prolonged Iran war could shBULLISHBEARISHHIGH+0.30Analysis of broader economic impact of prolonged conflict, supply bullishness offsets demand downside.
2026-03-22 23:00OilPrice.comRed States Are Driving America’s Solar Boom Despite Trump’s NEUTRALNEUTRALNONE+0.00Renewable energy policy story irrelevant to near-term WTI supply/demand.
2026-03-22 22:51AlJazeeraTrump’s changing messages on Iran war: What does it say abouNEUTRALNEUTRALLOW+0.00Strategy analysis with no new concrete policy or conflict updates.
2026-03-22 22:19Finnhub:ReutersIran to completely close Hormuz if Trump executes threats onBULLISHNEUTRALHIGH+1.00Explicit threat to close the world's most critical oil shipping lane, P1 priority signal, extreme supply risk.
2026-03-22 21:36SeekingAlphaLNG supply crunch looms after Hormuz blockadeBULLISHNEUTRALHIGH+0.50Analysis of supply disruption from potential Hormuz closure, confirms market pricing of risk.
2026-03-22 21:15SeekingAlphaPlains All American: Timely Crude Oil Focused Yield Shelter NEUTRALNEUTRALNONE+0.00Stock recommendation irrelevant to WTI price dynamics.
2026-03-22 21:06Investing.comPersistent Iran war, energy price surge set to sway waveringNEUTRALNEUTRALLOW+0.00Equity market commentary, no new oil-specific information.
2026-03-22 20:45Investing.com-CmdSaudi Arabia stocks higher at close of trade; Tadawul All ShNEUTRALNEUTRALNONE+0.00Equity market data unrelated to oil fundamentals.
2026-03-22 20:32Finnhub:ReutersScores hurt after Iranian missiles hit Israeli desert townsBULLISHNEUTRALMEDIUM+0.40Confirmation of Iranian military strike impact, supports escalation risk.
2026-03-22 20:24TruthSocialNow with the death of Iran, the greatest enemy America has iNEUTRALNEUTRALNONE+0.00Domestic political rhetoric with no energy or geopolitical policy substance, marked stale, no impact.
2026-03-22 19:01Investing.comSpike in oil prices seen as ’a clear risk for consumer equitNEUTRALNEUTRALNONE+0.00Equity market commentary, no new oil-specific information.
2026-03-22 19:00FMP2 Brilliant Energy Stocks to Buy Now and Hold for the Long TNEUTRALNEUTRALNONE+0.00Stock recommendation content irrelevant to WTI price dynamics.
2026-03-22 18:29FMPIran Oil Disruption: Geopolitics and Global Energy MarketsBULLISHNEUTRALMEDIUM+0.20Market analysis of supply disruption risks, P6 priority, minimal incremental impact.
2026-03-22 07:44TruthSocialIf Iran doesn’t FULLY OPEN, WITHOUT THREAT, the Strait of HoBULLISHNEUTRALHIGH+0.80Explicit 48-hour military ultimatum to Iran over Hormuz, P4 priority signal, high bullish impact.

Signal Notes

🔍 Manual Analysis Input

📢 Trump / Truth Social (19 posts, 3 oil-relevant)

TimePost
2026-03-22 22:40 Schumer got “discombobulated” in the Senate yesterday, and said, “WE MUST FUND ICE,” prior to correcting himself. Thank you Chuck, I agree! President
2026-03-22 22:40 The Democrat running in Texas, James Talarico, turns out to be a FRAUD! It showed after the Election when he beat Low IQ Candidate Jasmine Crockett (N
2026-03-22 21:46 RT: https://truthsocial.com/users/realDonaldTrump/statuses/116273127672345044
2026-03-22 21:34 THE LIES OF ROBERT MUELLER AND HIS CRIMINAL GANG: https:// stonezone.com/russian-collusio n-lies-recycled-yet-again/ [Link: THE LIES OF ROBERT MUELLER
2026-03-22 21:33 SAVE America Act Hits the Achilles Heel of Democrats’ Fraud Scheme: https://www. stonecoldtruth.com/p/save-amer ica-act-hits-the-achilles [Link: SAVE
2026-03-22 20:24 OIL Now with the death of Iran, the greatest enemy America has is the Radical Left, Highly Incompetent, Democrat Party! Thank you for your attention to th
2026-03-22 20:17 https:// truthsocial.com/users/CrazyCat Rescuer/statuses/116268355575900202 [Link: 🗽Anne 🇺🇸 #StopYulin⭐️⭐️⭐️ (@CrazyCatRescuer)] One less deep state a
2026-03-22 20:14 https:// truthsocial.com/@IStandWithTru mp47/116269851029760378 [Link: 🎀WomenForTrump💕🔥🗽🇺🇸 (@IStandWithTrump47)]
2026-03-22 20:14 https:// truthsocial.com/@IStandWithTru mp47/116272413318941729 [Link: 🎀WomenForTrump💕🔥🗽🇺🇸 (@IStandWithTrump47)]
2026-03-22 20:13 https:// truthsocial.com/@IStandWithTru mp47/116164006155671847 [Link: 🎀WomenForTrump💕🔥🗽🇺🇸 (@IStandWithTrump47)] This is amazing! God bless this hero!

Sentiment History

TimestampScoreDirection Confidence WTIEIA SignalRegime
2026-03-23 00:27 +0.750 BULLISH 0.85 $98.23 BEARISH_BUILD RISK_OFF
2026-03-22 23:57 +0.550 BULLISH 0.75 $98.23 BEARISH_BUILD RISK_OFF
2026-03-22 23:49 +0.550 BULLISH 0.70 $98.23 BEARISH_BUILD RISK_OFF
2026-03-22 23:38 +0.550 BULLISH 0.72 $98.23 BEARISH_BUILD RISK_OFF
2026-03-22 23:32 +0.600 BULLISH 0.75 $98.23 BEARISH_BUILD RISK_OFF
2026-03-22 23:23 +0.450 BULLISH 0.68 $98.23 BEARISH_BUILD RISK_OFF
2026-03-22 23:04 +0.000 NEUTRAL 0.85 $98.23 BEARISH_BUILD RANGE_BOUND
2026-03-22 22:43 -0.700 BEARISH 0.85 $98.23 BEARISH_BUILD RISK_OFF
2026-03-22 22:37 -0.700 BEARISH 0.80 $98.23 BEARISH_BUILD RISK_OFF
2026-03-22 22:27 -0.500 BEARISH 0.75 $98.23 BEARISH_BUILD RISK_OFF
2026-03-22 22:20 +0.750 BULLISH 0.85 $98.23 BEARISH_BUILD RISK_OFF
2026-03-22 22:10 +0.750 BULLISH 0.85 $98.23 BEARISH_BUILD RISK_OFF
2026-03-22 22:02 +0.750 BULLISH 0.85 $98.23 BEARISH_BUILD RISK_OFF
2026-03-22 21:54 +0.750 BULLISH 0.90 $98.23 BEARISH_BUILD RISK_OFF
2026-03-22 21:48 +0.800 BULLISH 0.85 $98.23 BEARISH_BUILD RISK_OFF
2026-03-22 21:39 +0.750 BULLISH 0.88 $98.23 BEARISH_BUILD RISK_OFF
2026-03-22 21:29 +0.750 BULLISH 0.90 $98.23 BEARISH_BUILD RISK_OFF
2026-03-22 21:23 +0.750 BULLISH 0.85 $98.23 BEARISH_BUILD RISK_OFF
2026-03-22 21:16 +0.750 BULLISH 0.88 $98.23 BEARISH_BUILD RISK_OFF
2026-03-22 20:52 +0.850 BULLISH 0.90 $98.23 BEARISH_BUILD RISK_OFF
2026-03-22 20:47 +0.700 BULLISH 0.85 $98.23 BEARISH_BUILD RISK_OFF
2026-03-22 20:37 +0.850 BULLISH 0.90 $98.23 BEARISH_BUILD RISK_OFF
2026-03-22 20:31 +0.850 BULLISH 0.88 $98.23 BEARISH_BUILD RISK_OFF
2026-03-22 20:06 +0.800 BULLISH 0.85 $98.23 BEARISH_BUILD RISK_OFF
2026-03-22 20:00 +0.750 BULLISH 0.88 $98.23 BEARISH_BUILD RISK_OFF
2026-03-22 19:54 +0.000 NEUTRAL 0.85 $98.23 BEARISH_BUILD RANGE_BOUND
2026-03-22 19:46 +0.000 NEUTRAL 0.75 $98.23 BEARISH_BUILD RANGE_BOUND
2026-03-22 19:39 -0.050 NEUTRAL 0.85 $98.23 BEARISH_BUILD RANGE_BOUND
2026-03-22 19:34 -0.100 NEUTRAL 0.75 $98.23 BEARISH_BUILD RANGE_BOUND
2026-03-22 19:29 -0.150 BEARISH 0.75 $98.23 BEARISH_BUILD RANGE_BOUND
2026-03-22 19:23 -0.100 NEUTRAL 0.75 $98.23 BEARISH_BUILD RANGE_BOUND
2026-03-22 19:16 -0.050 NEUTRAL 0.90 $98.23 BEARISH_BUILD RANGE_BOUND
2026-03-22 19:11 +0.000 NEUTRAL 0.85 $98.23 BEARISH_BUILD RANGE_BOUND
2026-03-22 19:05 +0.000 NEUTRAL 0.75 $98.23 BEARISH_BUILD RANGE_BOUND
2026-03-22 19:00 +0.000 NEUTRAL 0.85 $98.23 BEARISH_BUILD RANGE_BOUND
2026-03-22 18:55 +0.000 NEUTRAL 0.85 $98.23 BEARISH_BUILD RANGE_BOUND
2026-03-22 18:48 +0.000 NEUTRAL 0.85 $98.23 BEARISH_BUILD RANGE_BOUND
2026-03-22 18:36 +0.000 NEUTRAL 0.75 $98.23 BEARISH_BUILD RANGE_BOUND
2026-03-22 18:23 +0.300 BULLISH 0.60 $98.23 BEARISH_BUILD RISK_OFF
2026-03-22 18:12 +0.300 BULLISH 0.50 $98.23 BEARISH_BUILD RISK_OFF