🛢️ Crude Oil Sentiment Dashboard

LIVE Auto-refresh 10s

⚡ Real-Time Engine

Status: RUNNING Polls: 80 Last Score: 2026-03-24 05:16 Last News: 2026-03-24 05:17 Last Trump: 2026-03-24 05:17

Trading Signal

SELL_OIL
HIGH confidence   CAUTION   Strength: 0.29   Trend: 11d

Composite Sentiment

-0.350
🔴 BEARISH  |  20 articles from 8 sources
Last refresh: 2026-03-24 05:17

WTI Crude Oil

$88.87
per barrel

EIA Inventory

+6.2 MM bbl
BEARISH_BUILD

Market Regime

RISK OFF

Supply Outlook

BALANCED
Reduced near-term Iran supply disruption risk
Minor Russian oil infrastructure damage from Ukraine strikes

Demand Outlook

STABLE
No material new demand signals released in the latest cycle

News Sources

20
Finnhub:Reuters: 4
FMP: 4
SeekingAlpha: 3
OilPrice.com: 3
AlJazeera: 2
GoogleNews: 2
Investing.com-Cmd: 1
Investing.com: 1

⏱ Micro Velocity (15m scalping)ALERT

5m
↘ -0.100
15m
↗ +0.070
30m
↘ -0.050
1h
↘ -0.200
状态
CHOPPY
短线震荡 ⚡
动量: -0.0490 平均Δ: -0.0700 ⚠ 短线显著变化!

⚡ Sentiment Velocity

6h
↗ +0.680
12h
↘ -2.200
24h
↘ -0.450
48h
↗ +0.150
趋势
STABLE
平稳
平均速度: -0.4550/day  |  加速度: +0.5300 (短期加速快于长期)

🔀 Price × Sentiment Divergence DIVERGENT

窗口 象限 价格Δ 情绪Δ 背离
1h 派发预警 +1.21 (+1.4%) -0.7500
4h 情绪降温 -0.45 (-0.5%) -0.8500
24h 确认下跌 -9.36 (-9.5%) -0.4500
➤ 主窗口(1h): 价格上涨但情绪走弱 — 高位派发预警
⚠ 已过滤 979 条无效记录 (score≤0.01,可能原因: 系统离线/重启)

🤖 AI Analysis — doubao-seed-2-0-pro-260215

-0.350
Confidence: 0.72
  • Trump's de-escalation of Iran strike threats reduces near-term supply disruption risk
  • Residual geopolitical risk from previously approved Iran operation limits downside
  • Minor Russian oil infrastructure strikes create limited supply support
Trading: {"action": "SHORT", "size": "quarter", "stop_loss": "WTI breaks above $91.50", "take_profit": "WTI falls to $86.50", "timeframe": "intraday"}
{"action": "做空", "size": "四分之一仓", "stop_loss": "WTI突破91.50美元/桶", "take_profit": "WTI回落至86.50美元/桶", "timeframe": "日内"}
Key Risks: Trump reverses de-escalation and authorizes immediate Iran strikes | Iran retaliates against U.S. assets or closes Strait of Hormuz unexpectedly
特朗普逆转缓和立场,立即授权对伊朗发动打击 | 伊朗对美国资产进行报复或意外关闭霍尔木兹海峡
WTI faces mild-to-moderate bearish pressure as near-term Iran strike risk recedes following Trump's de-escalation announcement, with downside capped by lingering geopolitical risks from the previously approved Iran operation and minor Russian supply disruptions. Expected intraday move is ~1.2% in either direction, with a bias to the downside.
随着特朗普宣布缓和对伊朗的打击威胁,近期伊朗冲突引发的供应中断风险消退,WTI面临轻中度下行压力,但此前已获批的伊朗行动计划遗留的地缘政治风险和俄罗斯石油设施受袭造成的小幅供应扰动限制了下行空间。预计日内波动幅度约1.2%,偏向下行。
▶ Reasoning / 推理过程
First, Trump's de-escalation announcement (P4 signal) is the dominant factor, having already driven a $9+ drop in WTI as near-term strike risk is priced out, though residual risk remains as the operation was previously approved. Second, Ukraine's strike on Russian oil infrastructure (P1 type, 12-hour half-life, ~3 hours since published, 75% impact remaining) creates minor bullish supply risk but is far less impactful than Iran-related risks. Third, all other signals (Russian fiscal delay, U.S. diesel supply plans, analyst commentary) are either non-fundamental, low-weight, or already priced in, with minimal net impact. The EIS falls in the 41-60 range as expected volatility is ~1.2%, consistent with moderate event risk.
首先,特朗普的缓和声明(P4级信号)是主导因素,随着近期打击风险被定价,WTI已下跌超过9美元,但由于行动计划此前已获批,剩余风险仍然存在。其次,乌克兰袭击俄罗斯石油设施(P1类事件,半衰期12小时,发布至今约3小时,剩余75%影响)带来小幅看涨供应风险,但影响远低于伊朗相关风险。第三,其余信号(俄罗斯财政政策延迟、美国柴油供应计划、分析师评论)要么不影响基本面、权重低,要么已被定价,净影响极小。EIS处于41-60区间,符合预期1.2%的波动幅度,对应中等事件风险。

📊 Per-Article Analysis (20 items)

DateSourceArticleSupplyDemandGeo RiskImpactReasoning
2026-03-24 05:00OilPrice.comEcuador’s Broken Oil Industry Faces Violent HeadwindsNEUTRALNEUTRALLOW+0.00Ecuador is a small oil producer with minimal impact on global crude supply balances.
2026-03-24 04:54SeekingAlphaIran war shows need for energy diversification, Cheniere exeNEUTRALNEUTRALLOW+0.00Long-term energy policy discussion with no immediate impact on crude markets.
2026-03-24 04:49Investing.comNZ central bank warns rates could rise should energy shock pNEUTRALBEARISHNONE-0.01Minor demand headwind from potential rate hikes, limited to New Zealand with minimal global impact.
2026-03-24 04:48Investing.com-CmdOpenAI CEO Sam Altman exits Helion Energy’s board as firms eNEUTRALNEUTRALNONE+0.00Unrelated to crude oil market fundamentals.
2026-03-24 04:36GoogleNewsGregory Brew: The Middle East conflict threatens Iran’s regiNEUTRALNEUTRALLOW+0.01Market commentary with no new fundamental information, P6 low-weight signal.
2026-03-24 04:35AlJazeeraUkraine strikes key Russian oil port and refineryBULLISHNEUTRALMEDIUM+0.07Strike on Russian oil port and refinery creates limited supply disruption risk, partially offset by already elevated glo
2026-03-24 04:00OilPrice.comAre Markets Underestimating the Risk of a Prolonged Energy CNEUTRALNEUTRALLOW+0.01Analyst editorial content, P6 low-weight signal with no new fundamental data.
2026-03-24 03:50GoogleNewsOil Dives as Trump Backs Off Iran Threats, Says Talks UnderwBEARISHNEUTRALHIGH-0.53Trump's de-escalation announcement reduces near-term Iran strike risk, leading to significant removal of geopolitical ri
2026-03-24 03:06SeekingAlphaChevron CEO says Iran war not fully priced into oil futures BULLISHNEUTRALMEDIUM+0.03Industry executive commentary provides mild bullish signal on residual risk, P6 low weight.
2026-03-24 03:00OilPrice.comU.S. Energy Dominance Agenda Can't Shield Driver From HigherNEUTRALNEUTRALNONE+0.00Commentary on gasoline prices with no new fundamental information for crude markets.
2026-03-24 02:36AlJazeeraEU calls for clarification after Hungary accused of leaking NEUTRALNEUTRALLOW+0.00No direct impact on oil supply, demand, or key shipping lanes.
2026-03-24 02:18Finnhub:ReutersExclusive: Russia delays change to fiscal fund after Iran waNEUTRALNEUTRALNONE+0.00Fiscal fund adjustment has no direct impact on crude oil supply or demand fundamentals.
2026-03-24 02:08Finnhub:ReutersExclusive: Trump approved Iran operation after Netanyahu argBULLISHNEUTRALHIGH+0.15Previously approved Iran operation creates residual geopolitical risk, partially offsetting the de-escalation signal.
2026-03-24 01:51Finnhub:ReutersRisk-off trade keeps gold volatile as Iran war spooks investNEUTRALNEUTRALMEDIUM+0.00Confirms broader risk-off sentiment but no direct impact on crude supply/demand.
2026-03-24 01:10SeekingAlphaEnergy Secretary says U.S. looking to boost diesel supply amBEARISHNEUTRALLOW-0.04Diesel supply expansion plans have minor indirect bearish impact on crude oil demand, weighted as P2 signal.
2026-03-24 00:55FMPMiddle East Conflict Exposes America's Aviation Fuel VulneraNEUTRALNEUTRALLOW+0.01Analyst commentary on SAF has no immediate impact on crude fundamentals, low priority P6 signal.
2026-03-24 00:45FMPBattalion Oil Corporation Announces Fourth Quarter 2025 FinaNEUTRALNEUTRALNONE+0.00Individual small producer results have no material impact on global crude markets.
2026-03-24 00:43FMPAVGE ETF: War, Oil Shocks, And Nothing To Show Yet For ActivNEUTRALNEUTRALNONE+0.00Equity ETF analysis unrelated to crude oil market fundamentals.
2026-03-24 00:41FMPNovartis Promises Growth Despite 'Historic' Patent Cliffs - NEUTRALNEUTRALNONE+0.00Pharmaceutical sector news is unrelated to crude oil markets.
2026-03-24 00:08Finnhub:ReutersUkraine has 'irrefutable' evidence of Russia providing intelNEUTRALNEUTRALMEDIUM+0.02Minor escalation of geopolitical tensions but no immediate impact on oil supply.

Signal Notes

🔍 Manual Analysis Input

📢 Trump / Truth Social (10 posts, 2 oil-relevant)

TimePost
2026-03-23 22:29 RT @ realDonaldTrump I am a BIG proponent of ICE wearing masks as they search for, and are forced to deal with, hardened criminals, many of whom were
2026-03-23 22:29 OIL RT @ realDonaldTrump I AM PLEASED TO REPORT THAT THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA, AND THE COUNTRY OF IRAN, HAVE HAD, OVER THE LAST TWO DAYS, VERY GOOD AN
2026-03-23 22:28 For years, Democrats ignored Violent and Vicious Crime of all shapes, sizes, colors, and types. Violent Criminals who should have been locked up were
2026-03-23 22:10 Trump administration cancels $109M in environmentally focused transportation grants for Colorado: https:// coloradosun.com/2025/12/16/tru mp-administr
2026-03-23 22:09 Questions Grow as Lt. Michael Byrd, Who Shot Ashli Babbitt on Jan. 6, Operates a Taxpayer-Funded Home Daycare as $190 Million in Federal Child Care Fu
2026-03-23 22:09 https://www. theepochtimes.com/us/oklahoma- black-lives-matter-leader-indicted-over-alleged-3-15-million-embezzlement-5957229 [Link: Oklahoma Black Li
2026-03-23 22:08 Kelsey Grammer calls Trump ‘one of the greatest presidents we’ve ever had’ at Kennedy Center Honors: https:// nypost.com/2025/12/08/entertai nment/kel
2026-03-23 20:57 I am a BIG proponent of ICE wearing masks as they search for, and are forced to deal with, hardened criminals, many of whom were let into our Country
2026-03-23 19:23 OIL I AM PLEASED TO REPORT THAT THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA, AND THE COUNTRY OF IRAN, HAVE HAD, OVER THE LAST TWO DAYS, VERY GOOD AND PRODUCTIVE CONVERSA
2026-03-23 11:48 PEACE THROUGH STRENGTH, TO PUT IT MILDLY!!!

Sentiment History

TimestampScoreDirection Confidence WTIEIA SignalRegime
2026-03-24 05:16 -0.350 BEARISH 0.72 $88.87 BEARISH_BUILD RISK_OFF
2026-03-24 05:11 -0.250 BEARISH 0.70 $88.88 BEARISH_BUILD RISK_OFF
2026-03-24 05:05 -0.150 BEARISH 0.72 $88.89 BEARISH_BUILD RISK_OFF
2026-03-24 04:59 -0.420 BEARISH 0.72 $88.91 BEARISH_BUILD RISK_OFF
2026-03-24 04:53 -0.400 BEARISH 0.72 $89.17 BEARISH_BUILD RISK_OFF
2026-03-24 04:48 -0.150 BEARISH 0.72 $89.41 BEARISH_BUILD RISK_OFF
2026-03-24 04:41 -0.300 BEARISH 0.75 $88.98 BEARISH_BUILD RISK_OFF
2026-03-24 04:35 -0.300 BEARISH 0.72 $88.87 BEARISH_BUILD RISK_OFF
2026-03-24 04:28 -0.350 BEARISH 0.82 $88.63 BEARISH_BUILD RISK_OFF
2026-03-24 04:15 -0.150 BEARISH 0.72 $88.67 BEARISH_BUILD RANGE_BOUND
2026-03-24 04:07 -0.150 BEARISH 0.68 $88.73 BEARISH_BUILD RANGE_BOUND
2026-03-24 04:00 -0.250 BEARISH 0.72 $88.48 BEARISH_BUILD RANGE_BOUND
2026-03-24 03:53 -0.150 BEARISH 0.72 $88.26 BEARISH_BUILD RANGE_BOUND
2026-03-24 03:47 -0.250 BEARISH 0.65 $88.07 BEARISH_BUILD RANGE_BOUND
2026-03-24 03:40 -0.250 BEARISH 0.72 $88.44 BEARISH_BUILD RANGE_BOUND
2026-03-24 03:33 -0.300 BEARISH 0.70 $87.80 BEARISH_BUILD RANGE_BOUND
2026-03-24 03:25 -0.400 BEARISH 0.75 $87.58 BEARISH_BUILD RANGE_BOUND
2026-03-24 03:18 +0.400 BULLISH 0.72 $87.66 BEARISH_BUILD RANGE_BOUND
2026-03-24 03:11 -0.100 NEUTRAL 0.75 $87.54 BEARISH_BUILD RANGE_BOUND
2026-03-24 03:04 -0.200 BEARISH 0.65 $87.57 BEARISH_BUILD RANGE_BOUND
2026-03-24 02:56 -0.250 BEARISH 0.75 $87.50 BEARISH_BUILD RANGE_BOUND
2026-03-24 02:50 -0.300 BEARISH 0.75 $87.86 BEARISH_BUILD RANGE_BOUND
2026-03-24 02:43 -0.120 BEARISH 0.62 $87.53 BEARISH_BUILD RANGE_BOUND
2026-03-24 02:35 -0.150 BEARISH 0.65 $88.00 BEARISH_BUILD RANGE_BOUND
2026-03-24 02:28 -0.150 BEARISH 0.65 $87.81 BEARISH_BUILD RANGE_BOUND
2026-03-24 02:20 -0.100 NEUTRAL 0.65 $88.76 BEARISH_BUILD RANGE_BOUND
2026-03-24 02:13 -0.150 BEARISH 0.65 $88.78 BEARISH_BUILD RANGE_BOUND
2026-03-24 01:56 +0.450 BULLISH 0.72 $88.73 BEARISH_BUILD RISK_OFF
2026-03-24 01:48 +0.150 BULLISH 0.62 $89.12 BEARISH_BUILD RANGE_BOUND
2026-03-24 01:19 +0.450 BULLISH 0.75 $89.42 BEARISH_BUILD RISK_OFF
2026-03-24 01:11 +0.500 BULLISH 0.75 $89.32 BEARISH_BUILD RISK_OFF
2026-03-24 01:03 +0.600 BULLISH 0.85 $89.63 BEARISH_BUILD RISK_OFF
2026-03-24 00:56 +0.450 BULLISH 0.75 $90.45 BEARISH_BUILD RISK_OFF
2026-03-24 00:49 +0.450 BULLISH 0.78 $90.78 BEARISH_BUILD RISK_OFF
2026-03-24 00:41 +0.450 BULLISH 0.85 $91.29 BEARISH_BUILD RISK_OFF
2026-03-24 00:34 +0.400 BULLISH 0.75 $90.89 BEARISH_BUILD RISK_OFF
2026-03-24 00:24 +0.250 BULLISH 0.75 $90.21 BEARISH_BUILD RISK_OFF
2026-03-24 00:10 -0.200 BEARISH 0.75 $90.07 BEARISH_BUILD RANGE_BOUND
2026-03-24 00:04 -0.350 BEARISH 0.72 $88.93 BEARISH_BUILD RANGE_BOUND
2026-03-23 23:55 -0.420 BEARISH 0.72 $88.27 BEARISH_BUILD RANGE_BOUND