🛢️ Crude Oil Sentiment Dashboard

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⚡ Real-Time Engine

Status: RUNNING Polls: 549 Last Score: 2026-03-21 15:29 Last News: 2026-03-21 15:31 Last Trump: 2026-03-21 15:31

Trading Signal

SELL_OIL
HIGH confidence   CAUTION   Strength: 0.76   Trend: 261d

Composite Sentiment

-0.850
🔴 BEARISH  |  32 articles from 7 sources
Last refresh: 2026-03-21 15:31

WTI Crude Oil

$98.23
per barrel

EIA Inventory

+6.2 MM bbl
BEARISH_BUILD

Market Regime

RISK OFF

Supply Outlook

LOOSENING
Iran oil waiver adds supply
Large US inventory build

Demand Outlook

STABLE
No new demand signals

News Sources

32
TruthSocial: 20
Investing.com: 6
FMP: 2
GoogleNews: 1
SeekingAlpha: 1
Investing.com-Cmd: 1
Finnhub:Reuters: 1

⏱ Micro Velocity (15m scalping)ALERT

5m
↘ -0.050
15m
↘ -0.200
30m
↘ -0.250
1h
↗ +0.050
状态
TURNING_DOWN
冲高回落 ↩️
动量: -0.1250 平均Δ: -0.1125 ⚠ 短线显著变化!

⚡ Sentiment Velocity

6h
↘ -0.800
12h
↘ -0.900
24h
↘ -0.600
趋势
DECELERATING
快速衰减
平均速度: -0.7667/day  |  加速度: -0.2000 (短期减速快于长期)

🔀 Price × Sentiment Divergence DIVERGENT

窗口 象限 价格Δ 情绪Δ 背离
1h 派发预警 +1.70 (+1.8%) -1.2500
4h 派发预警 +1.70 (+1.8%) -1.2500
24h 派发预警 +3.59 (+3.8%) -1.0000
➤ 主窗口(1h): 价格上涨但情绪走弱 — 高位派发预警
⚠ 已过滤 635 条无效记录 (score≤0.01,可能原因: 系统离线/重启)

🤖 AI Analysis — DeepSeek (deepseek-chat)

-0.850
Confidence: 0.85
  • Iran oil waiver adds immediate supply
  • Trump's military wind-down rhetoric reduces geopolitical risk premium
  • Large US inventory build confirms oversupply
Bearish pressure intensifies as Trump's explicit military wind-down rhetoric removes geopolitical risk premium while the Iran oil waiver adds supply and inventory builds confirm oversupply, with no new bullish signals emerging.
看跌压力加剧,特朗普明确的军事缩减言论消除了地缘政治风险溢价,而伊朗石油豁免增加了供应,库存增加证实了供应过剩,没有新的看涨信号出现。
▶ Reasoning / 推理过程
The 30-day Iran oil waiver (POLICY_ACTION, weight 0.9) adds immediate supply to the market, directly bearish. Trump's 'winding down' statement (NEGOTIATION_SIGNAL, weight 0.4) reduces geopolitical risk premium, further bearish. The +6.2M bbl inventory build confirms oversupply. No new bullish signals counter these factors, maintaining strong bearish momentum.
30天伊朗石油豁免(政策行动,权重0.9)为市场增加了即时供应,直接看跌。特朗普的'缩减'声明(谈判信号,权重0.4)降低了地缘政治风险溢价,进一步看跌。+6.2M桶的库存增加证实了供应过剩。没有新的看涨信号抵消这些因素,维持了强烈的看跌势头。

📊 Per-Article Analysis (20 items)

DateSourceArticleSupplyDemandGeo RiskImpactReasoning
2026-03-21 15:12Investing.comWhy is oil priced in dollars?NEUTRALNEUTRALNONE+0.00Educational/background piece with no forward-looking price impact.
2026-03-21 14:55Investing.comWhat if Warsh is not confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?NEUTRALNEUTRALNONE+0.00Monetary policy speculation with indirect, long-term demand implications only.
2026-03-21 14:43Investing.comWhite House issues 30-day Iran oil waiver to blunt global prBEARISHNEUTRALLOW-0.90Direct policy action adding Iranian supply to market, explicitly aimed at lowering prices.
2026-03-21 12:48Investing.comAngola and Nigeria best positioned to benefit from high oil NEUTRALNEUTRALNONE+0.00Country-specific economic analysis with no immediate supply/demand impact.
2026-03-21 11:52SeekingAlphaSLB: Cheap Valuation On Long-Term FundamentalsNEUTRALNEUTRALNONE+0.00Company-specific analysis with no direct impact on crude supply/demand fundamentals.
2026-03-21 11:36Investing.com-CmdUnited Airlines to cut more flights as it eyes oil above $10NEUTRALBEARISHNONE-0.20Airline reducing flights indicates demand destruction from high prices, though limited to aviation sector.
2026-03-21 11:10Investing.comJapan looks to secure Hormuz transit for tankers after high-BEARISHNEUTRALLOW-0.30Diplomatic progress reduces shipping disruption risk, supporting supply flow.
2026-03-21 10:54Investing.comIndonesia seeks $5 billion budget savings to face Iran war iNEUTRALBEARISHNONE-0.20Government austerity measures suggest economic pressure from high oil prices, potentially reducing demand.
2026-03-21 10:03FMPU.S. IPO Weekly Recap: REIT Carve-Out Sees Solid Demand WhilNEUTRALNEUTRALNONE+0.00Financial market activity unrelated to crude oil fundamentals.
2026-03-21 09:49FMPRefiners in India, elsewhere in Asia look to buy Iranian oilBEARISHNEUTRALLOW-0.70Confirms immediate demand for newly available Iranian barrels, increasing effective supply.
2026-03-21 09:44Finnhub:ReutersIran ready to let Japanese vessels transit Hormuz, Kyodo repBEARISHNEUTRALLOW-0.30Reduces shipping disruption risk in critical chokepoint, supporting supply flow.
2026-03-21 09:30GoogleNewsUS has allowed 30-day sale of Iran oil at sea to curb pricesBEARISHNEUTRALLOW-0.90Adds immediate Iranian oil supply to global market, directly increasing available barrels.
2026-03-21 06:01TruthSocialThe Great State of Colorado, and a pathetic RINO District AtNEUTRALNEUTRALNONE+0.00Domestic political commentary with no oil market implications.
2026-03-21 05:40TruthSocialNew court filing reveals Pentagon told Anthropic the two sidNEUTRALNEUTRALNONE+0.00Legal/tech dispute with no oil market relevance.
2026-03-21 05:13TruthSocialWe are getting very close to meeting our objectives as we coBEARISHNEUTRALLOW-0.40Explicit de-escalation rhetoric reduces Middle East conflict risk premium, bearish for prices.
2026-03-21 04:21TruthSocialCrypto News: Pepeto Announces Security Update While Bitcoin NEUTRALNEUTRALNONE+0.00Cryptocurrency market commentary unrelated to crude oil fundamentals.
2026-03-21 02:49TruthSocial(image/video only)NEUTRALNEUTRALNONE+0.00Media-only post with no text content, zero impact on oil markets.
2026-03-20 21:56TruthSocialI met with Hope Scheppelman and her husband Steven, of the RNEUTRALNEUTRALNONE+0.00Domestic political appointment announcement with no oil market implications.
2026-03-20 21:43TruthSocialWithout the U.S.A., NATO IS A PAPER TIGER! They didn’t want BEARISHNEUTRALLOW-0.20Reinforces the 'military wind-down' narrative and acknowledges high prices are due to Hormuz closure, suggesting resolut
2026-03-20 21:27TruthSocialTHE SAVE AMERICA ACT MUST BE PASSED BY THE SENATE. THERE IS NEUTRALNEUTRALNONE+0.00Domestic legislative priority with no direct oil market implications.

Signal Notes

🔍 Manual Analysis Input

📢 Trump / Truth Social (20 posts, 4 oil-relevant)

TimePost
2026-03-21 06:01 The Great State of Colorado, and a pathetic RINO District Attorney, together with the Radical Left Governor, gave a wonderful woman named Tina Peters,
2026-03-21 05:40 New court filing reveals Pentagon told Anthropic the two sides were nearly aligned — a week after Trump declared the relationship kaput. Anthropic sub
2026-03-21 05:13 OIL We are getting very close to meeting our objectives as we consider winding down our great Military efforts in the Middle East with respect to the Terr
2026-03-21 04:21 Crypto News: Pepeto Announces Security Update While Bitcoin Price Prediction Targets $200K and Trump News Point to Bull Cycle. Dubai, UAE, March 20, 2
2026-03-21 02:49 (image/video only)
2026-03-20 21:56 I met with Hope Scheppelman and her husband Steven, of the Radical Left State of Colorado, to discuss various opportunities to serve our Country in a
2026-03-20 21:43 OIL Without the U.S.A., NATO IS A PAPER TIGER! They didn’t want to join the fight to stop a Nuclear Powered Iran. Now that fight is Militarily WON, with v
2026-03-20 21:27 THE SAVE AMERICA ACT MUST BE PASSED BY THE SENATE. THERE IS NOTHING THAT IS MORE IMPORTANT FOR THE U.S.A. Voter I.D., Proof of Citizenship, etc. Get i
2026-03-20 21:22 CONGRESS, PASS THE FARM BILL, NOW! President DJT
2026-03-20 05:16 They Threw Everything They Had at Donald Trump. He’s Still Standing. America Is Better For It: https://www. citynewsokc.com/opinion/they-t hrew-everyt

Sentiment History

TimestampScoreDirection Confidence WTIEIA SignalRegime
2026-03-21 15:29 -0.850 BEARISH 0.85 $98.23 BEARISH_BUILD RISK_OFF
2026-03-21 15:24 -0.850 BEARISH 0.85 $98.23 BEARISH_BUILD RISK_OFF
2026-03-21 15:21 -0.800 BEARISH 0.85 $98.23 BEARISH_BUILD RISK_OFF
2026-03-21 15:16 -0.750 BEARISH 0.85 $98.23 BEARISH_BUILD RISK_OFF
2026-03-21 15:14 -0.700 BEARISH 0.85 $98.23 BEARISH_BUILD RISK_OFF
2026-03-21 15:10 -0.650 BEARISH 0.85 $98.23 BEARISH_BUILD RISK_OFF
2026-03-21 15:07 -0.700 BEARISH 0.85 $98.23 BEARISH_BUILD RISK_OFF
2026-03-21 15:02 -0.650 BEARISH 0.75 $98.23 BEARISH_BUILD RISK_OFF
2026-03-21 14:57 -0.600 BEARISH 0.75 $98.23 BEARISH_BUILD RISK_OFF
2026-03-21 14:53 -0.650 BEARISH 0.80 $98.23 BEARISH_BUILD RISK_OFF
2026-03-21 14:48 -0.650 BEARISH 0.75 $98.23 BEARISH_BUILD RISK_OFF
2026-03-21 14:44 -0.850 BEARISH 0.85 $98.23 BEARISH_BUILD RISK_OFF
2026-03-21 14:41 -0.850 BEARISH 0.85 $98.23 BEARISH_BUILD RISK_OFF
2026-03-21 14:36 -0.850 BEARISH 0.85 $98.23 BEARISH_BUILD RISK_OFF
2026-03-21 14:34 -0.850 BEARISH 0.85 $98.23 BEARISH_BUILD RISK_OFF
2026-03-21 14:31 -0.850 BEARISH 0.85 $98.23 BEARISH_BUILD RISK_OFF
2026-03-21 14:27 -0.900 BEARISH 0.85 $98.23 BEARISH_BUILD RISK_OFF
2026-03-21 14:22 -0.900 BEARISH 0.85 $98.23 BEARISH_BUILD RISK_OFF
2026-03-21 14:20 -0.850 BEARISH 0.85 $98.23 BEARISH_BUILD RISK_OFF
2026-03-21 14:15 -0.850 BEARISH 0.85 $98.23 BEARISH_BUILD RISK_OFF
2026-03-21 14:12 -0.850 BEARISH 0.85 $98.23 BEARISH_BUILD RISK_OFF
2026-03-21 14:08 -0.850 BEARISH 0.85 $98.23 BEARISH_BUILD RISK_OFF
2026-03-21 14:06 -0.850 BEARISH 0.85 $98.23 BEARISH_BUILD RISK_OFF
2026-03-21 14:02 -0.850 BEARISH 0.85 $98.23 BEARISH_BUILD RISK_OFF
2026-03-21 13:59 -0.850 BEARISH 0.90 $98.23 BEARISH_BUILD RISK_OFF
2026-03-21 13:57 -0.800 BEARISH 0.85 $98.23 BEARISH_BUILD RISK_OFF
2026-03-21 13:54 -0.650 BEARISH 0.85 $98.23 BEARISH_BUILD RISK_OFF
2026-03-21 13:52 -0.700 BEARISH 0.85 $98.23 BEARISH_BUILD RISK_OFF
2026-03-21 13:47 -0.650 BEARISH 0.80 $98.23 BEARISH_BUILD RISK_OFF
2026-03-21 13:43 -0.650 BEARISH 0.75 $98.23 BEARISH_BUILD RISK_OFF
2026-03-21 13:40 -0.650 BEARISH 0.85 $98.23 BEARISH_BUILD RISK_OFF
2026-03-21 13:36 -0.700 BEARISH 0.85 $98.23 BEARISH_BUILD RISK_OFF
2026-03-21 13:34 -0.650 BEARISH 0.80 $98.23 BEARISH_BUILD RISK_OFF
2026-03-21 13:30 -0.650 BEARISH 0.75 $98.23 BEARISH_BUILD RISK_OFF
2026-03-21 13:28 -0.700 BEARISH 0.85 $98.23 BEARISH_BUILD RISK_OFF
2026-03-21 13:24 -0.650 BEARISH 0.75 $98.23 BEARISH_BUILD RISK_OFF
2026-03-21 13:21 -0.700 BEARISH 0.85 $98.23 BEARISH_BUILD RISK_OFF
2026-03-21 13:18 -0.650 BEARISH 0.75 $98.23 BEARISH_BUILD RISK_OFF
2026-03-21 13:15 -0.700 BEARISH 0.85 $98.23 BEARISH_BUILD RISK_OFF
2026-03-21 13:11 -0.650 BEARISH 0.75 $98.23 BEARISH_BUILD RISK_OFF