🛢️ Crude Oil Sentiment Dashboard

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⚡ Real-Time Engine

Status: RUNNING Polls: 6 Last Score: 2026-03-23 00:27 Last News: 2026-03-23 00:29 Last Trump: 2026-03-23 00:29

Trading Signal

BUY_OIL

MEDIUM confidence STRONG Strength: 0.49 Trend: 2d

Composite Sentiment

+0.750

🟢 BULLISH | 37 articles from 9 sources
Last refresh: 2026-03-23 00:29

WTI Crude Oil

$98.23

per barrel

EIA Inventory

+6.2 MM bbl

BEARISH_BUILD

Market Regime

RISK OFF

Supply Outlook

TIGHTENING

Imminent risk of Strait of Hormuz closure disrupting 20% of global oil supply
U.S. SPR release of 45 million barrels partially offsets near-term supply risks

Demand Outlook

STABLE

No material new demand signals, current demand remains stable amid geopolitical volatility

News Sources

AlJazeera: 11
GoogleNews: 8
SeekingAlpha: 4
Investing.com: 3
Finnhub:Reuters: 3
TruthSocial: 3
FMP: 3
OilPrice.com: 1
Investing.com-Cmd: 1

⏱ Micro Velocity (15m scalping)ALERT

↗ +0.200

15m

↗ +0.200

30m

↗ +0.200

↗ +0.300

状态

SURGING

急速上行 🔥

动量: +0.2100 平均Δ: +0.2250 ⚠ 短线显著变化!

⚡ Sentiment Velocity

↗ +1.800

12h

↗ +1.500

24h

↗ +1.400

48h

↗ +0.575

趋势

ACCELERATING

加速上行

平均速度: +1.3187/day | 加速度: +1.2250 (短期加速快于长期)

🔀 Price × Sentiment Divergence

窗口	象限	价格Δ	情绪Δ	背离
1h	情绪回暖	+0.00 (+0.0%)	+0.3000	○
4h	横盘	+0.00 (+0.0%)	-0.0500	○
24h	横盘	+0.00 (+0.0%)	+0.0500	○

➤ 主窗口(1h): 情绪回暖但价格未跟随

⚠ 已过滤 918 条无效记录 (score≤0.01，可能原因: 系统离线/重启)

🤖 AI Analysis — doubao-seed-2-0-pro-260215

+0.750

Confidence: 0.85

Iran Revolutionary Guards explicitly threaten full closure of Strait of Hormuz if U.S. targets Iranian energy assets
Active Iran missile strikes on Israel, UAE, and Kuwait escalate regional military conflict risk near critical energy infrastructure
Trump's 48-hour ultimatum to Iran to fully open Hormuz raises imminent supply disruption risk

Trading: {"action": "LONG", "size": "half", "stop_loss": "WTI breaks below $95.5/bbl", "take_profit": "$103/bbl or if Hormuz closure risk is explicitly eliminated", "timeframe": "swing_2d"}

{"action": "做多", "size": "半仓", "stop_loss": "WTI跌破95.5美元/桶", "take_profit": "103美元/桶，或霍尔木兹海峡关闭风险被明确消除", "timeframe": "2日波段"}

Key Risks: Iran de-escalates tensions and commits to keeping Hormuz open before the ultimatum expires | U.S. and Iran reach a last-minute diplomatic resolution avoiding military action | U.S. announces immediate SPR release to offset potential supply gaps

伊朗在最后通牒到期前缓和局势，承诺保持霍尔木兹海峡开放 | 美伊在最后一刻达成外交和解，避免军事行动 | 美国宣布立即释放战略石油储备以抵消潜在供应缺口

Escalating military tensions between Iran and the U.S./Israel, paired with explicit threats to close the Strait of Hormuz (which carries ~20% of global oil supply), create significant bullish upside risk for WTI prices with expected 1.5-3% intraday volatility.

伊朗与美以之间军事紧张局势升级，加上伊朗明确威胁关闭承载全球约20%石油供应的霍尔木兹海峡，为WTI价格带来显著上行风险，预计日内波动率在1.5-3%区间。

▶ Reasoning / 推理过程

First, active Iranian missile strikes on U.S. allies in the Gulf are P1 priority military conflict signals, driving a 72 EIS consistent with 1.5-3% expected price moves. Second, Iran's explicit threat to close the Strait of Hormuz in response to U.S. action creates extreme supply disruption risk, supporting a +75 bullish direction. Third, recent signals are all within 12 hours of publication with minimal time decay, and no conflicting high-priority signals exist, leading to 85% confidence. The 45 million barrel SPR release is a low-impact offset that does not negate the supply risk from potential Hormuz closure.

首先，伊朗对海湾地区美国盟友的主动导弹打击属于P1优先级军事冲突信号，对应72的EIS，符合1.5-3%的预期价格波动区间。其次，伊朗明确威胁若美国采取行动将关闭霍尔木兹海峡，带来极端供应中断风险，支撑+75的看涨方向。第三，近期信号均发布不足12小时，时间衰减极小，且无冲突的高优先级信号，因此信心水平达85%。4500万桶战略石油储备释放的影响较低，不足以抵消霍尔木兹海峡关闭带来的供应风险。

📊 Per-Article Analysis (20 items)

Date	Source	Article	Supply	Demand	Geo Risk	Impact	Reasoning
2026-03-22 23:53	GoogleNews	Oil Prices Climb as Middle East Conflict Threatens Energy In	BULLISH	NEUTRAL	MEDIUM	+0.20	Market commentary on existing Middle East risk, P6 priority, minimal incremental impact.
2026-03-22 23:48	GoogleNews	U.S. Awards Contracts for 45 Million Barrels of Oil from Str	BEARISH	NEUTRAL	LOW	-0.30	SPR release is a P2 priority signal, small offset to bullish supply risk.
2026-03-22 23:40	AlJazeera	Iran claims missile attacks on key Israeli military bases	BULLISH	NEUTRAL	HIGH	+0.90	Active military strikes on U.S. allies in the Gulf, P1 priority signal, high supply disruption risk.
2026-03-22 23:33	Investing.com	Iran, U.S. trade barbs as Hormuz tensions grow amid Trump’s	BULLISH	NEUTRAL	HIGH	+0.70	Confirmation of escalating Hormuz tensions tied to Trump's ultimatum, P1 priority signal.
2026-03-22 23:25	AlJazeera	Iranian authorities taunt US, Israel, EU amid strikes and as	BULLISH	NEUTRAL	MEDIUM	+0.30	Signals ongoing hostile rhetoric supporting escalation risk, incremental bullish impact.
2026-03-22 23:24	SeekingAlpha	Bessent defends Iran strikes amid oil price surge	NEUTRAL	NEUTRAL	LOW	+0.00	Policy commentary with no new substantive information, no material impact.
2026-03-22 23:20	GoogleNews	‘The stakes are enormous’: how a prolonged Iran war could sh	BULLISH	BEARISH	HIGH	+0.30	Analysis of broader economic impact of prolonged conflict, supply bullishness offsets demand downside.
2026-03-22 23:00	OilPrice.com	Red States Are Driving America’s Solar Boom Despite Trump’s	NEUTRAL	NEUTRAL	NONE	+0.00	Renewable energy policy story irrelevant to near-term WTI supply/demand.
2026-03-22 22:51	AlJazeera	Trump’s changing messages on Iran war: What does it say abou	NEUTRAL	NEUTRAL	LOW	+0.00	Strategy analysis with no new concrete policy or conflict updates.
2026-03-22 22:19	Finnhub:Reuters	Iran to completely close Hormuz if Trump executes threats on	BULLISH	NEUTRAL	HIGH	+1.00	Explicit threat to close the world's most critical oil shipping lane, P1 priority signal, extreme supply risk.
2026-03-22 21:36	SeekingAlpha	LNG supply crunch looms after Hormuz blockade	BULLISH	NEUTRAL	HIGH	+0.50	Analysis of supply disruption from potential Hormuz closure, confirms market pricing of risk.
2026-03-22 21:15	SeekingAlpha	Plains All American: Timely Crude Oil Focused Yield Shelter	NEUTRAL	NEUTRAL	NONE	+0.00	Stock recommendation irrelevant to WTI price dynamics.
2026-03-22 21:06	Investing.com	Persistent Iran war, energy price surge set to sway wavering	NEUTRAL	NEUTRAL	LOW	+0.00	Equity market commentary, no new oil-specific information.
2026-03-22 20:45	Investing.com-Cmd	Saudi Arabia stocks higher at close of trade; Tadawul All Sh	NEUTRAL	NEUTRAL	NONE	+0.00	Equity market data unrelated to oil fundamentals.
2026-03-22 20:32	Finnhub:Reuters	Scores hurt after Iranian missiles hit Israeli desert towns	BULLISH	NEUTRAL	MEDIUM	+0.40	Confirmation of Iranian military strike impact, supports escalation risk.
2026-03-22 20:24	TruthSocial	Now with the death of Iran, the greatest enemy America has i	NEUTRAL	NEUTRAL	NONE	+0.00	Domestic political rhetoric with no energy or geopolitical policy substance, marked stale, no impact.
2026-03-22 19:01	Investing.com	Spike in oil prices seen as ’a clear risk for consumer equit	NEUTRAL	NEUTRAL	NONE	+0.00	Equity market commentary, no new oil-specific information.
2026-03-22 19:00	FMP	2 Brilliant Energy Stocks to Buy Now and Hold for the Long T	NEUTRAL	NEUTRAL	NONE	+0.00	Stock recommendation content irrelevant to WTI price dynamics.
2026-03-22 18:29	FMP	Iran Oil Disruption: Geopolitics and Global Energy Markets	BULLISH	NEUTRAL	MEDIUM	+0.20	Market analysis of supply disruption risks, P6 priority, minimal incremental impact.
2026-03-22 07:44	TruthSocial	If Iran doesn’t FULLY OPEN, WITHOUT THREAT, the Strait of Ho	BULLISH	NEUTRAL	HIGH	+0.80	Explicit 48-hour military ultimatum to Iran over Hormuz, P4 priority signal, high bullish impact.

Signal Notes

Rolling 7-day sentiment: +0.493
Direction: BULLISH for 2 consecutive period(s)
Sentiment velocity: +1.3187/day (加速上行)
Micro(SURGING): momentum +0.2100, 急速上行 🔥
⚠ MICRO ALERT: Significant short-term sentiment shift detected
Divergence(1h): SENTIMENT_WARMING (price +0.00, sent +0.3000)
⚠ Divergence: 已过滤 918 条无效记录 (score≤0.01，可能原因: 系统离线/重启)
STRONG: Momentum + price alignment confirmed

🔍 Manual Analysis Input

📢 Trump / Truth Social (19 posts, 3 oil-relevant)

Time	Post
2026-03-22 22:40	Schumer got “discombobulated” in the Senate yesterday, and said, “WE MUST FUND ICE,” prior to correcting himself. Thank you Chuck, I agree! President
2026-03-22 22:40	The Democrat running in Texas, James Talarico, turns out to be a FRAUD! It showed after the Election when he beat Low IQ Candidate Jasmine Crockett (N
2026-03-22 21:46	RT: https://truthsocial.com/users/realDonaldTrump/statuses/116273127672345044
2026-03-22 21:34	THE LIES OF ROBERT MUELLER AND HIS CRIMINAL GANG: https:// stonezone.com/russian-collusio n-lies-recycled-yet-again/ [Link: THE LIES OF ROBERT MUELLER
2026-03-22 21:33	SAVE America Act Hits the Achilles Heel of Democrats’ Fraud Scheme: https://www. stonecoldtruth.com/p/save-amer ica-act-hits-the-achilles [Link: SAVE
2026-03-22 20:24	OIL Now with the death of Iran, the greatest enemy America has is the Radical Left, Highly Incompetent, Democrat Party! Thank you for your attention to th
2026-03-22 20:17	https:// truthsocial.com/users/CrazyCat Rescuer/statuses/116268355575900202 [Link: 🗽Anne 🇺🇸 #StopYulin⭐️⭐️⭐️ (@CrazyCatRescuer)] One less deep state a
2026-03-22 20:14	https:// truthsocial.com/@IStandWithTru mp47/116269851029760378 [Link: 🎀WomenForTrump💕🔥🗽🇺🇸 (@IStandWithTrump47)]
2026-03-22 20:14	https:// truthsocial.com/@IStandWithTru mp47/116272413318941729 [Link: 🎀WomenForTrump💕🔥🗽🇺🇸 (@IStandWithTrump47)]
2026-03-22 20:13	https:// truthsocial.com/@IStandWithTru mp47/116164006155671847 [Link: 🎀WomenForTrump💕🔥🗽🇺🇸 (@IStandWithTrump47)] This is amazing! God bless this hero!

Sentiment History

Timestamp	Score	Direction	Confidence	WTI	EIA Signal	Regime
2026-03-23 00:27	+0.750	BULLISH	0.85	$98.23	BEARISH_BUILD	RISK_OFF
2026-03-22 23:57	+0.550	BULLISH	0.75	$98.23	BEARISH_BUILD	RISK_OFF
2026-03-22 23:49	+0.550	BULLISH	0.70	$98.23	BEARISH_BUILD	RISK_OFF
2026-03-22 23:38	+0.550	BULLISH	0.72	$98.23	BEARISH_BUILD	RISK_OFF
2026-03-22 23:32	+0.600	BULLISH	0.75	$98.23	BEARISH_BUILD	RISK_OFF
2026-03-22 23:23	+0.450	BULLISH	0.68	$98.23	BEARISH_BUILD	RISK_OFF
2026-03-22 23:04	+0.000	NEUTRAL	0.85	$98.23	BEARISH_BUILD	RANGE_BOUND
2026-03-22 22:43	-0.700	BEARISH	0.85	$98.23	BEARISH_BUILD	RISK_OFF
2026-03-22 22:37	-0.700	BEARISH	0.80	$98.23	BEARISH_BUILD	RISK_OFF
2026-03-22 22:27	-0.500	BEARISH	0.75	$98.23	BEARISH_BUILD	RISK_OFF
2026-03-22 22:20	+0.750	BULLISH	0.85	$98.23	BEARISH_BUILD	RISK_OFF
2026-03-22 22:10	+0.750	BULLISH	0.85	$98.23	BEARISH_BUILD	RISK_OFF
2026-03-22 22:02	+0.750	BULLISH	0.85	$98.23	BEARISH_BUILD	RISK_OFF
2026-03-22 21:54	+0.750	BULLISH	0.90	$98.23	BEARISH_BUILD	RISK_OFF
2026-03-22 21:48	+0.800	BULLISH	0.85	$98.23	BEARISH_BUILD	RISK_OFF
2026-03-22 21:39	+0.750	BULLISH	0.88	$98.23	BEARISH_BUILD	RISK_OFF
2026-03-22 21:29	+0.750	BULLISH	0.90	$98.23	BEARISH_BUILD	RISK_OFF
2026-03-22 21:23	+0.750	BULLISH	0.85	$98.23	BEARISH_BUILD	RISK_OFF
2026-03-22 21:16	+0.750	BULLISH	0.88	$98.23	BEARISH_BUILD	RISK_OFF
2026-03-22 20:52	+0.850	BULLISH	0.90	$98.23	BEARISH_BUILD	RISK_OFF
2026-03-22 20:47	+0.700	BULLISH	0.85	$98.23	BEARISH_BUILD	RISK_OFF
2026-03-22 20:37	+0.850	BULLISH	0.90	$98.23	BEARISH_BUILD	RISK_OFF
2026-03-22 20:31	+0.850	BULLISH	0.88	$98.23	BEARISH_BUILD	RISK_OFF
2026-03-22 20:06	+0.800	BULLISH	0.85	$98.23	BEARISH_BUILD	RISK_OFF
2026-03-22 20:00	+0.750	BULLISH	0.88	$98.23	BEARISH_BUILD	RISK_OFF
2026-03-22 19:54	+0.000	NEUTRAL	0.85	$98.23	BEARISH_BUILD	RANGE_BOUND
2026-03-22 19:46	+0.000	NEUTRAL	0.75	$98.23	BEARISH_BUILD	RANGE_BOUND
2026-03-22 19:39	-0.050	NEUTRAL	0.85	$98.23	BEARISH_BUILD	RANGE_BOUND
2026-03-22 19:34	-0.100	NEUTRAL	0.75	$98.23	BEARISH_BUILD	RANGE_BOUND
2026-03-22 19:29	-0.150	BEARISH	0.75	$98.23	BEARISH_BUILD	RANGE_BOUND
2026-03-22 19:23	-0.100	NEUTRAL	0.75	$98.23	BEARISH_BUILD	RANGE_BOUND
2026-03-22 19:16	-0.050	NEUTRAL	0.90	$98.23	BEARISH_BUILD	RANGE_BOUND
2026-03-22 19:11	+0.000	NEUTRAL	0.85	$98.23	BEARISH_BUILD	RANGE_BOUND
2026-03-22 19:05	+0.000	NEUTRAL	0.75	$98.23	BEARISH_BUILD	RANGE_BOUND
2026-03-22 19:00	+0.000	NEUTRAL	0.85	$98.23	BEARISH_BUILD	RANGE_BOUND
2026-03-22 18:55	+0.000	NEUTRAL	0.85	$98.23	BEARISH_BUILD	RANGE_BOUND
2026-03-22 18:48	+0.000	NEUTRAL	0.85	$98.23	BEARISH_BUILD	RANGE_BOUND
2026-03-22 18:36	+0.000	NEUTRAL	0.75	$98.23	BEARISH_BUILD	RANGE_BOUND
2026-03-22 18:23	+0.300	BULLISH	0.60	$98.23	BEARISH_BUILD	RISK_OFF
2026-03-22 18:12	+0.300	BULLISH	0.50	$98.23	BEARISH_BUILD	RISK_OFF