🛢️ Crude Oil Sentiment Dashboard

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⚡ Real-Time Engine

Status: RUNNING Polls: 240 Last Score: 2026-03-20 06:10 Last News: 2026-03-20 06:11 Last Trump: 2026-03-20 06:11

Trading Signal

HOLD
HIGH confidence   NORMAL   Strength: 0.13   Trend: 8d

Composite Sentiment

-0.150
🔴 BEARISH  |  26 articles from 3 sources
Last refresh: 2026-03-20 06:11

WTI Crude Oil

$94.59
per barrel

EIA Inventory

+6.2 MM bbl
BEARISH_BUILD

Market Regime

RISK OFF

Supply Outlook

TIGHTENING
Qatar LNG multi-year structural outage
Strait of Hormuz disruption risks

Demand Outlook

STABLE
High prices impacting consumers/businesses
No clear recessionary demand collapse signals

News Sources

26
GoogleNews: 15
OilPrice.com: 6
FMP: 5

⏱ Micro Velocity (15m scalping)ALERT

5m
→ +0.000
15m
↘ -0.050
30m
→ +0.000
1h
↘ -0.300
状态
FADING
急速下行 ❄️
动量: -0.0450 平均Δ: -0.0875 ⚠ 短线显著变化!

⚡ Sentiment Velocity

6h
↘ -3.000
趋势
DECELERATING
快速衰减
平均速度: -3.0000/day  |  加速度: +0.0000 (短长期速度一致)

🔀 Price × Sentiment Divergence

窗口 象限 价格Δ 情绪Δ 背离
1h 情绪降温 -0.05 (-0.1%) -0.3000
4h 确认下跌 -1.25 (-1.3%) -1.0000
➤ 主窗口(1h): 情绪降温但价格未明显变化
⚠ 已过滤 32 条无效记录 (score≤0.01,可能原因: 系统离线/重启)
⚠ 24h窗口: 有效数据不足 (仅覆盖456分钟)

🤖 Gemini (gemini-2.5-flash)

Error: not_run...
Confidence: 0.00
  • N/A

🤖 DeepSeek (deepseek-chat)

-0.150
Confidence: 0.65
  • U.S. signals no export ban despite price surge
  • Qatar LNG multi-year outage confirmed
  • Iran war headlines mostly stale/repetitive
  • Large weekly inventory build (+6.2M bbl)
Bearish pressure persists as fresh news is limited and the market digests a substantial inventory build, with U.S. policy signaling against export restrictions providing a key bearish anchor despite ongoing structural supply losses.
Reasoning
The most impactful fresh signal is the explicit U.S. administration stance against an oil export ban (article 12), which removes a potential bullish policy catalyst and signals a willingness to let the market absorb high prices, weighing on sentiment. While the Qatar LNG outage confirmation (article 17) is a significant, multi-year structural supply loss, it is a developing story from earlier cycles and its impact is partially priced in. The majority of Iran war headlines (articles 2, 3, 5, 8, 9, 16, 18, 19, 20) are rehashes of the same conflict narrative from the last 2-6 hours, providing context but not new forward-looking price pressure. The large weekly inventory build (+6.2M bbl) is a concrete bearish fundamental datapoint. The net effect is a slight intensification of the previous bearish pressure, as fresh bullish catalysts are absent and policy signals lean bearish.

📊 Per-Article Analysis (20 items)

DateSourceArticleSupplyDemandGeo RiskImpactReasoning
2026-03-20 06:00OilPrice.comGlobal Supply Shock Exposes the Myth of Energy IndependenceBULLISHNEUTRALHIGH+0.40Highlights the broad, systemic supply disruption from Strait of Hormuz issues, a key bullish factor, but again re-states
2026-03-20 05:58GoogleNewsIran War Live Updates: As Oil and Gas Prices Soar, Trump SeeNEUTRALNEUTRALHIGH+0.10Live update on the ongoing conflict, but provides no new material information on supply disruptions or policy changes.
2026-03-20 05:49GoogleNewsSoaring crude oil prices impacting gas, airfare, farmers, anNEUTRALBEARISHLOW-0.20Highlights demand destruction (bearish) from elevated prices, a secondary effect of the supply crisis.
2026-03-20 05:08GoogleNewsCrude Oil Prices Ease as Traders Weigh Trump, Bessent CommenNEUTRALNEUTRALMEDIUM-0.10Reports price easing as market digests comments; reflects current price action but is not itself a new fundamental drive
2026-03-20 05:07GoogleNewsU.S. oil producers could get $63 billion boost from high cruNEUTRALNEUTRALNONE+0.00Descriptive analysis of windfall for producers from existing high prices, not a new catalyst.
2026-03-20 05:00OilPrice.comU.S. Approaches Chile for Critical Mineral SupplyNEUTRALNEUTRALLOW+0.00Focus on critical minerals (rhenium) for national security, not directly relevant to crude oil markets.
2026-03-20 04:57GoogleNewsBrent crude briefly tops $119 per barrel, before receding, aNEUTRALNEUTRALHIGH+0.10Notes intraday price spike and volatility driven by existing war fears, but the event has already occurred and receded.
2026-03-20 04:50GoogleNewsU.S. mulls lifting oil sanctions on Iran as it hits key GulfBEARISHNEUTRALHIGH-0.30Contradictory signal - potential for increased Iranian supply (bearish) amid attacks on Gulf infrastructure (bullish); n
2026-03-20 04:28GoogleNewsOil Gives Back Gains After Surging on Fears Over Energy SuppNEUTRALNEUTRALHIGH-0.10Describes price retracement after earlier surge; reflects profit-taking or reassessment, not a new supply/demand develop
2026-03-20 04:09GoogleNews$166 a barrel? Middle East oil gives clue to where all priceBULLISHNEUTRALHIGH+0.30Speculative analysis on potential price spikes if Iran war prolongs, but represents a rehash of existing conflict narrat
2026-03-20 04:00OilPrice.comCuba's Fragile Power Grid Finds a Powerful New PartnerNEUTRALNEUTRALMEDIUM+0.00Geopolitical development involving U.S. and Cuba, but scale is minor and not directly tied to major oil flows.
2026-03-20 03:50GoogleNewsMiddle East war live: Oil drops and stocks rebound in volatiNEUTRALNEUTRALHIGH-0.10Reports on price drop and volatile trading; descriptive of market reaction, not a new fundamental catalyst.
2026-03-20 03:00OilPrice.comUS: No Ban On Oil ExportsBEARISHNEUTRALMEDIUM-0.50Critical fresh policy signal; removes a potential bullish supply constraint and indicates U.S. will not intervene to res
2026-03-20 02:00OilPrice.comU.K. Bets on Tariffs to Rebuild Its Steel IndustryNEUTRALNEUTRALLOW+0.00Trade policy focused on steel, with negligible direct impact on crude oil markets.
2026-03-20 01:56FMPStellantis Deserves An Upgrade Due To Early Signs Of A RebouNEUTRALNEUTRALNONE+0.00Company-specific auto sector news with no direct bearing on crude oil supply, demand, or geopolitics.
2026-03-20 01:20FMPBattalion Oil Closes Acquisition of Sundown Assets, Expands NEUTRALNEUTRALNONE+0.00Minor corporate M&A activity in the Permian Basin; insignificant for near-term global crude supply/demand balance.
2026-03-20 01:00OilPrice.comQatar LNG Hit Turns Into Multi-Year CrisisBULLISHNEUTRALHIGH+0.60Confirms a major, multi-year structural loss in global LNG (and associated gas/oil) supply, a significant bullish factor
2026-03-20 00:54FMPFTXN: Solid Long-Term Choice, But Risky To Buy For NowNEUTRALNEUTRALNONE+0.00ETF analysis; reflects existing high-price environment but does not change supply/demand fundamentals.
2026-03-20 00:53FMPCrude Oil Price Forecast: Key Support Holds, Short-Term UpsiNEUTRALNEUTRALNONE+0.10Technical analysis suggesting near-term bullish momentum, but not a fundamental driver.
2026-03-20 00:48FMPFedEx is getting more upbeat about the year — despite surginNEUTRALNEUTRALNONE+0.00Company-specific earnings outlook; indicates resilience to high fuel costs but does not alter aggregate oil demand pictu

Signal Notes

🔍 Manual Analysis Input

📢 Trump / Truth Social (6 posts, 0 oil-relevant)

TimePost
2026-03-20 01:41 Trump Gold Coin Moves Forward. Federal advisory panel backs design featuring the president on a commemorative coin.
2026-03-20 01:20 TC Energy Corporation (TRP) Closes the Market. Toronto, Ontario--(Newsfile Corp. - March 19, 2026) - François Poirier, President and Chief Executive O
2026-03-20 01:01 Faraday Future to Attend the 38th Annual Roth Conference; Showcasing EVs and AI-Driven Mobility Innovations on March 22-23, 2026. LOS ANGELES--(BUSINE
2026-03-20 01:00 CarMax Announces Fourth Quarter Conference Call. RICHMOND, Va.--(BUSINESS WIRE)--CarMax, Inc. (NYSE:KMX) will report its financial results for the fou
2026-03-20 00:57 Gain Therapeutics to Present at the 38th Annual ROTH Conference. BETHESDA, Md., March 19, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Gain Therapeutics, Inc. (Nasdaq: GA
2026-03-20 00:53 MultiSensor AI Announces Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2025 Results. Houston, Texas--(Newsfile Corp. - March 19, 2026) - MultiSensor AI Holdings, Inc.

Sentiment History

TimestampCompositeDirection GeminiDeepSeekAgree WTIEIA SignalRegime
2026-03-20 06:10 -0.150 BEARISH +0.000 -0.150 No $94.59 BEARISH_BUILD RISK_OFF
2026-03-20 06:07 -0.100 NEUTRAL +0.000 -0.100 No $94.59 BEARISH_BUILD RISK_OFF
2026-03-20 06:05 -0.150 BEARISH +0.000 -0.150 No $94.59 BEARISH_BUILD RISK_OFF
2026-03-20 06:01 -0.100 NEUTRAL +0.000 -0.100 No $94.59 BEARISH_BUILD RISK_OFF
2026-03-20 05:57 -0.150 BEARISH +0.000 -0.150 No $94.59 BEARISH_BUILD RISK_OFF
2026-03-20 05:53 -0.100 NEUTRAL +0.000 -0.100 No $94.59 BEARISH_BUILD RISK_OFF
2026-03-20 05:49 -0.150 BEARISH +0.000 -0.150 No $94.59 BEARISH_BUILD RISK_OFF
2026-03-20 05:47 -0.100 NEUTRAL +0.000 -0.100 No $94.59 BEARISH_BUILD RISK_OFF
2026-03-20 05:43 -0.150 BEARISH +0.000 -0.150 No $94.59 BEARISH_BUILD RISK_OFF
2026-03-20 05:41 -0.250 BEARISH +0.000 -0.250 No $94.59 BEARISH_BUILD RISK_OFF
2026-03-20 05:36 -0.150 BEARISH +0.000 -0.150 No $94.59 BEARISH_BUILD RISK_OFF
2026-03-20 05:34 -0.300 BEARISH +0.000 -0.300 No $94.59 BEARISH_BUILD RISK_OFF
2026-03-20 05:30 -0.250 BEARISH +0.000 -0.250 No $94.59 BEARISH_BUILD RISK_OFF
2026-03-20 05:28 -0.150 BEARISH +0.000 -0.150 No $94.59 BEARISH_BUILD RISK_OFF
2026-03-20 05:23 -0.250 BEARISH +0.000 -0.250 No $94.59 BEARISH_BUILD RISK_OFF
2026-03-20 05:21 -0.150 BEARISH +0.000 -0.150 No $94.59 BEARISH_BUILD RISK_OFF
2026-03-20 05:17 -0.250 BEARISH +0.000 -0.250 No $94.59 BEARISH_BUILD RISK_OFF
2026-03-20 05:14 -0.150 BEARISH +0.000 -0.150 No $94.59 BEARISH_BUILD RISK_OFF
2026-03-20 05:11 -0.100 NEUTRAL +0.000 -0.100 No $94.59 BEARISH_BUILD RISK_OFF
2026-03-20 05:09 +0.150 BULLISH +0.000 +0.150 No $94.64 BEARISH_BUILD RISK_OFF
2026-03-20 05:06 +0.250 BULLISH +0.000 +0.250 No $94.66 BEARISH_BUILD RISK_OFF
2026-03-20 05:03 +0.350 BULLISH +0.000 +0.350 No $94.60 BEARISH_BUILD RISK_OFF
2026-03-20 04:59 +0.250 BULLISH +0.000 +0.250 No $94.48 BEARISH_BUILD RISK_OFF
2026-03-20 04:57 +0.150 BULLISH +0.000 +0.150 No $94.48 BEARISH_BUILD RISK_OFF
2026-03-20 04:53 +0.250 BULLISH +0.000 +0.250 No $94.68 BEARISH_BUILD RISK_OFF
2026-03-20 04:50 +0.400 BULLISH +0.000 +0.400 No $94.55 BEARISH_BUILD RISK_OFF
2026-03-20 04:48 -0.250 BEARISH +0.000 -0.250 No $94.19 BEARISH_BUILD RISK_OFF
2026-03-20 04:46 -0.150 BEARISH +0.000 -0.150 No $94.07 BEARISH_BUILD RISK_OFF
2026-03-20 04:44 -0.100 NEUTRAL +0.000 -0.100 No $94.31 BEARISH_BUILD RISK_OFF
2026-03-20 04:41 +0.000 NEUTRAL +0.000 +0.000 No $94.33 BEARISH_BUILD RISK_OFF
2026-03-20 04:39 +0.000 NEUTRAL +0.000 +0.000 No $94.32 BEARISH_BUILD RISK_OFF
2026-03-20 04:37 +0.000 NEUTRAL +0.000 +0.000 No $94.31 BEARISH_BUILD RISK_OFF
2026-03-20 04:33 +0.000 NEUTRAL +0.000 +0.000 No $94.30 BEARISH_BUILD RISK_OFF
2026-03-20 04:28 +0.000 NEUTRAL +0.000 +0.000 No $94.34 BEARISH_BUILD RISK_OFF
2026-03-20 04:24 +0.000 NEUTRAL +0.000 +0.000 No $94.56 BEARISH_BUILD RISK_OFF
2026-03-20 04:22 +0.250 BULLISH +0.000 +0.250 No $94.56 BEARISH_BUILD RISK_OFF
2026-03-20 04:19 +0.400 BULLISH +0.000 +0.400 No $94.31 BEARISH_BUILD RISK_OFF
2026-03-20 04:16 +0.250 BULLISH +0.000 +0.250 No $94.38 BEARISH_BUILD RISK_OFF
2026-03-20 04:14 +0.400 BULLISH +0.000 +0.400 No $94.50 BEARISH_BUILD RISK_OFF
2026-03-20 04:11 +0.250 BULLISH +0.000 +0.250 No $94.23 BEARISH_BUILD RISK_OFF